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246 S Lawn Ave
C Composite 57.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

246 S Lawn Ave · Bluffton, OH 45817
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,257 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1920 0.30 ac lot Est $209k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CASE#413-534783. ALL PROPERTIES ARE SOLD AS IS CONDITION. HUD KEY OR LOCKBOX. EQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY. INSURABILITY STATUS UI(UNINSURED), Under 1 Acre

Key facts

  • Full basement
  • Major updates
  • Good-sized backyard

Tags

MAJOR UPDATESDETACHED GARAGEFULL BASEMENTGOOD-SIZED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (4.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $190k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#7 in OH, #68 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Bluffton Exempted Village (town): math 79% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #63 of 656 in OH (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Bluffton Elementary School (math 90% / reading 84%, grade A+, #44 of 1,584 statewide, top 3%, 542 students, 0% FRL); Bluffton Middle School (math 70% / reading 70%, grade A, #136 of 654 statewide, top 22%, 283 students, 58% FRL); Bluffton High School (math 72% / reading 82%, grade A-, #56 of 781 statewide, top 8%, 379 students, 16% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $199k implies a 623% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $190,152 (4.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.89%
Cash-on-cash
5.71%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$208,662
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
151 S Lawn Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,412 (+12%) 2mo $195,000 $138 72
135 Grove St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+11%) 7mo $270,900 $194 68
241 N Lawn Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (-4%) 3mo $180,000 $150 66
204 N Jackson St St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,249 (-1%) 12mo $125,000 $100 65
427 S Jackson St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,194 (-5%) 14mo $205,000 $172 63
130 Grove St 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,438 (+14%) 15mo $229,900 $160 62
151 Riley St 0.50mi 3/1.5 1,298 (+3%) 12mo $215,000 $166 60
656 S Main St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,429 (+14%) 4mo $220,000 $154 46
503 N Main St 0.57mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,364 (+8%) 11mo $159,900 $117 45
178 E Elm St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (-6%) 16mo $200,000 $170 38
329 Riley St 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,392 (+11%) 15mo $239,900 $172 36
215 Hillcrest Dr 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,419 (+13%) 9mo $285,000 $201 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-15,421
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$8,082
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45817

Home prices YoY
-33.5%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,902 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,328/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,566
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $378 -5% $321 +0% $265 +5% $209 +10% $152
Rent -10% $115 -5% $190 +0% $265 +5% $340 +10% $415
Rate -1.0pp $365 -0.5pp $316 base $265 +0.5pp $213 +1.0pp $161

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
358 Cherry St Bluffton, OH 3.0 1.0 1212 $2,295 $1.89 45d 1 0.60mi
44 Ohio 103 Unit 1 Bluffton, OH 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 45d 1 0.91mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $199,000 Contingent 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $199,000 Active 1 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $199,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 280-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $199,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,328 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,216 · $185/mo
Expected delta
+$888/yr (+$74/mo · 66.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,818
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$1,328
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,825
− Management
−$1,825
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$92
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$22
After-tax cash flow
$3,203/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bluffton Exempted Village
NCES district ID
3904521
Math proficiency
79% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$59,825
Composite
66.95/100
National rank
#398
State rank
#63 of 656 in OH

Livability — Bluffton

Score
91/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#68

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bluffton, OH
County
Allen · 98,169 people
Metro
Lima, OH
Population (ZIP)
5,820
Household income
$82,784
Rent vs Own
17.7% rent · 82.3% own

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,321 people
By 2030
97,693 · -2.6%
By 2040
91,802 · -8.5%
By 2050
86,152 · -14.1%
By 2075
73,659 · -26.6%
By 2100
58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.21%
Current HPI
206.5891
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+298.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-07 Listed $199,000 FSBO.com
  • 2015-06-12 Sold (MLS) $27,514 WCARE
  • 2014-11-05 Listed $64,050 WCARE
  • 2010-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $76,400 Public Records
  • 2009-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2007-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-21 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 1996-05-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,328 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…