2414 Burke St · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful two-story home located approximately one mile from the beach in desirable Gulfport! Situated in an X flood zone, this 3 bedroom, 3 bathroom home features an in-ground pool, stainless steel appliances, spacious living areas, and a great floor plan perfect for entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of coastal living while being close to shopping, dining, entertainment, and the Mississippi Gulf Coast beaches. Located in a great neighborhood with plenty of charm and curb appeal!
Key facts
- In-ground pool
- Great floor plan
- 0.3 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located at 2414 Burke St, Gulfport, MS 39507
- HOA & community: Community features include curbs, sidewalks, street lights and proximity to entertainment
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Parking for 4 vehicles total; Concrete driveway; Garage door opener; Garage storage
- Security: Privacy fencing
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity available; Water connected; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); Two levels; Move-in ready; Brick and stucco exterior; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; General residential zoning
- Construction: Brick and stucco construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Private in-ground vinyl pool (fenced); Front porch with stone/tile; Fire pit; Back yard privacy fencing; Workshop structure; Near beach and beach access; Near golf course; Curbs, sidewalks and street lights in neighborhood
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Ice maker; Microwave; Granite counters; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms with walk-in closets (specific room levels not provided)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Soaking tub included
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Ceiling fans; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Granite countertops; High ceilings; Soaking tub; Walk-in closets; Sliding doors; Blinds and screens on windows; Fireplaces in dining room, great room, kitchen, living room and primary bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in garage; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $38 ($461/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $232k (12.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $232k (12.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Anniston Avenue Elementary School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #53 of 375 statewide, top 14%, 535 students, 100% FRL); Bayou View Middle School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #27 of 179 statewide, top 16%, 826 students, 100% FRL); Gulfport High School (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #54 of 197 statewide, top 28%, 1,728 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 67% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 301 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 73% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,319/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 1059% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $181k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.62%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $297,792
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 Southern Cir #230 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 2,399 (+6%) | 1mo | $318,000 | $133 | 76 |
| 700 Sarazen Dr | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,335 (+4%) | 2mo | $269,900 | $116 | 74 |
| 2 Lexington Pl | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (-7%) | 2mo | $186,400 | $89 | 69 |
| 2405 Burke St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 2,071 (-8%) | 12mo | $299,900 | $145 | 68 |
| 2421 Collins Blvd | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,121 (-6%) | 11mo | $290,000 | $137 | 62 |
| 2305 Middlecoff Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 2,135 (-5%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $126 | 60 |
| 2416 Greenview Dr | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,469 (+9%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $132 | 56 |
| 2100 Curcor Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.5 | 2,189 (-3%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $199 | 54 |
| 2372 Park Place Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 2,033 (-10%) | 10mo | $283,000 | $139 | 52 |
| 2 Concord Pl | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 2,037 (-10%) | 10mo | $169,900 | $83 | 51 |
| 2112 Rose Ct | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,157 (-4%) | 10mo | $259,000 | $120 | 51 |
| 2904 Oakridge Pl | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,292 (+2%) | 15mo | $229,000 | $100 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.26% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-37,508
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-16,930
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39507
- Home prices YoY
- -27.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 301
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,319 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,526/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$487
- Net cashflow
- $38
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $188 | -5% $113 | +0% $38 | +5% $-37 | +10% $-112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-145 | -5% $-53 | +0% $38 | +5% $130 | +10% $222 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $172 | -0.5pp $106 | base $38 | +0.5pp $-30 | +1.0pp $-100 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2420 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2252 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1691 | $2,800 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2230 Beach Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1852 | $3,195 | $1.73 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2610 Demaret Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1215 Ocean View Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,895 | $1.69 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2668 Beach Blvd Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1813 | $2,900 | $1.60 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 924 Jefferson Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1613 | $1,675 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 910 Jefferson Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1613 | $1,675 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 153 Markham Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2589 Santa Rosa Cv Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2589 Santa Rosa Cv Biloxi, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1787 | $2,500 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $265,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $265,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $265,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $265,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $265,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$265,000 Active
-
2026-03-11historical
-
2025-09-15$284,000 Active
-
2025-09-06historical
-
2025-08-13price $284,000
-
2025-05-23price $288,000
-
2025-03-11$298,200 Active
-
2021-09-15historical
-
2014-07-17soldstatus $181,000
-
2014-07-11soldstatus
-
2014-01-23$184,900
-
2012-07-19$204,900
-
2010-01-19soldstatus
-
2007-06-11soldstatus
-
2007-05-23soldstatus
-
2006-12-12$180,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,526 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,526 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,526
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,227
- − Management
- −$2,227
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$4,025
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,427/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gulfport School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801710
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,712
- Composite
- 34.38/100
- National rank
- #5213
- State rank
- #37 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,564
- Household income
- $54,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1059.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.48%
- Current HPI
- 181.6606
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.26%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+47.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $265,000 MLSU
- 2026-03-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-09-15 Listed $284,000 MLSU
- 2025-09-06 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2025-08-13 Price Changed $284,000 MLSU
- 2025-05-23 Price Changed $288,000 MLSU
- 2025-03-11 Listed $298,200 MLSU
- 2021-09-15 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2014-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $181,000 Public Records
- 2014-07-11 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2014-01-23 Listed $184,900 MLSU
- 2012-07-19 Listed $204,900 MLSU
- 2010-01-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-06-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-05-23 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2006-12-12 Listed $180,000 MLSU
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,526 · +170.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…