30663 E Press St · Excello, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.2/5.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming country property on 1.25 acres in Excello! This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers peaceful rural living with easy access to Highway 63, making commuting a breeze. Recent exterior updates include a durable metal roof and metal siding for low-maintenance ownership. The oversized 1-car garage provides plenty of space for parking, storage, or a workshop area. Enjoy the extra room to spread out, garden, or simply relax on your 1.25-acre lot. Located in the Macon School District, this property combines country charm with convenience. Don't miss this opportunity to make it your own!
Key facts
- Durable metal roof
- Metal siding
- Oversized garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residential property; Faces south
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Barbed wire fencing; Gravel road access; Lot measures approximately 1.25 acres (156 x 350)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range
- Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (bedroom count not separately specified)
- Flooring: Wood; Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Wood heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-262/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (3.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $84k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $84k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 45/100 on livability (#963 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Macon County R-I (town): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #54 of 324 in MO (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Macon Elementary (math 46% / reading 50%, grade D, #340 of 1,115 statewide, top 31%, 486 students, 46% FRL); Macon Middle School (math 55% / reading 44%, grade C, #74 of 391 statewide, top 20%, 286 students, 38% FRL); Macon Senior High (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 438 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (19 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- Macon County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.94%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $2,930
- Equity at exit
- $36,569
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.81×
- Total profit
- $22,574
- Equity at exit
- $50,677
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65247
- Home prices YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 7
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $843 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $47 | -5% $13 | +0% $-22 | +5% $-56 | +10% $-91 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-88 | -5% $-55 | +0% $-22 | +5% $11 | +10% $45 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $28 | -0.5pp $3 | base $-22 | +0.5pp $-48 | +1.0pp $-74 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,500 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 587-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,114
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$1,492
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$809
- − Management
- −$809
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable loss
- −$1,963
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$471
- After-tax cash flow
- $209/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Macon County R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2919410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,850
- Composite
- 41.21/100
- National rank
- #3539
- State rank
- #54 of 324 in MO
Livability — Excello
- Score
- 45/100
- State rank
- #963
- US rank
- #26605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Excello, MO
- City population
- 812
- Population (ZIP)
- 812
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,692 people
- By 2030
- 14,209 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 13,197 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 12,160 · -17.2%
- By 2075
- 9,745 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 7,314 · -50.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 9% Slovak 1% Danish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.5) · D 18.9% · R 80.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -37.4pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -61.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.5 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+56.4 2012: R+33.4 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.50%
- Current HPI
- 110.1464
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-14.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $99,500 RCBR
- 2026-06-06 Listed $99,500 CBORMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $115,900 CBORMLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $115,900 RCBR
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $161 · +13.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…