6022 Bellfort St · Houston, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- %
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above °F)
- days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- %
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BRICK 3 bedroom, 1 bath home with updated interior * nice size living room with ceiling fan & bright window filling the room with natural light * update kitchen with crisp white cabinetry, granite countertops & wood look plank flooring * nice size bedrooms with ceiling fans * updated bathroom with tile floor & tub surround plus vanity with storage & built-in storage cabinet * crown molding throughout * interior paint 2025 * carpet in living room & bedrooms appx 2 years old * roof & a/c appx 5 years old * single-car garage with storage cabinetry + adjoining utility area with washer & dryer connections * grand size fenced backyard
Key facts
- Updated interior
- Updated kitchen
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $575 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,821/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 1728% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.70%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,310
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6038 Belcrest St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,026 (-5%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $144 | 79 |
| 6206 Bellfort St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $205 | 71 |
| 5962 Belcrest St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,172 (+9%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $149 | 70 |
| 6162 Beldart St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,018 (-6%) | 2mo | $190,995 | $188 | 68 |
| 5951 Willow Glen Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+3%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $94 | 65 |
| 6107 Belmark St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (+12%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 5879 Belneath St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+11%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $79 | 59 |
| 5774 Belarbor St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (+7%) | 4mo | $89,000 | $77 | 55 |
| 5934 Longmeadow St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,017 (-6%) | 3mo | $104,900 | $103 | 52 |
| 5842 Beldart St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,185 (+10%) | 1mo | $194,700 | $164 | 51 |
| 5831 Lyndhurst Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (+12%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $87 | 47 |
| 5822 Beldart St | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $181 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.60×
- Total profit
- $20,967
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 25.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $85,335
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77033
- Home prices YoY
- -16.3%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,821 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $575
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6419 Belarbor St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $1,425 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5942 Ridgeway Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,250 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5767 Belcrest St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,790 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5954 Doolittle Blvd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1371 | $1,575 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5623 Bellfort St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,700 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5314 Northridge Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,185 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5407 Thrush Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1407 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 9509 Merle St Unit 9509A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1404 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5222 Northridge Dr Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,850 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Pending 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 671-char remark
-
2026-06-18$125,000 Pending 21 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,850
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,748
- − Management
- −$1,748
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $5,216
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,252
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,644/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,154
- Household income
- $38,071
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1728.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 17% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 61% English-only · Spanish 39%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.49%
- Current HPI
- 212.6472
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.45%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…