19444 Ryan Rd · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully renovated 3-bedroom bungalow offering the perfect blend of classic Detroit charm and modern updates. This move-in ready home features a bright living area, updated kitchen and bath, and spacious bedrooms including a large upper-level primary suite. Beautiful flooring and fresh finishes run throughout the home. The property also includes a basement providing additional storage or living potential, along with a detached garage and private backyard. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and neighborhood amenities, this is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors looking for a turnkey Detroit property.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Updated bath
- Private backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 35 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,332/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2372% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $110k implies a 1050% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.70%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $57,008
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- 92.78%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19672 Justine St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+3%) | 2mo | $47,500 | $45 | 82 |
| 19360 Revere St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+3%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $74 | 81 |
| 19155 Ryan Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,068 (+5%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $42 | 78 |
| 19619 Norwood St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 941 (-8%) | 2mo | $30,500 | $32 | 75 |
| 19227 Ryan Rd | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 919 (-10%) | 1mo | $38,000 | $41 | 74 |
| 20426 Wexford St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,009 (-1%) | 0mo | $117,000 | $116 | 70 |
| 19416 Lamont St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,065 (+4%) | 1mo | $9,000 | $8 | 70 |
| 20409 Yonka St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (+3%) | 1mo | $93,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 19235 Lamont St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-6%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $42 | 64 |
| 19610 Conley St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+10%) | 0mo | $80,000 | $71 | 58 |
| 3952 Stockton St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,149 (+13%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $48 | 44 |
| 18660 Klinger St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 880 (-14%) | 0mo | $21,000 | $24 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $9,726
- Equity at exit
- $16,386
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.95×
- Total profit
- $60,129
- Equity at exit
- $9,502
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,332 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$78 /mo · $942/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $351
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 35 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 19930 Binder St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,450 | $1.45 | 16d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 19360 Revere St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,250 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 20000 Norwood St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,384 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 18d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 19162 Conley St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 18557 Wexford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,250 | $1.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 16d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,195 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 20255 Harned St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,374 | $1.37 | 16d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 20058 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 19995 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1292 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 18677 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 790 | $1,050 | $1.33 | 16d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2034 John B Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,261 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 21456 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 18503 Riopelle St Highland Park, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1254 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 5d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $109,900 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Fully renovated 3-bedroom bungalow offering the perfect blend of classic Detroit charm and modern updates. This move-in ready home features a bright living area, updated kitchen and bath, and spacious bedrooms including a large upper-level primary suite. Beautiful flooring and fresh finishes run throughout the home. The property also includes a basement providing additional storage or living potential, along with a detached garage and private backyard. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and neighborhood amenities, this is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors looking for a turnkey Detroit property.
-
2026-04-08price $109,900 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Fully renovated 3-bedroom bungalow offering the perfect blend of classic Detroit charm and modern updates. This move-in ready home features a bright living area, updated kitchen and bath, and spacious bedrooms including a large upper-level primary suite. Beautiful flooring and fresh finishes run throughout the home. The property also includes a basement providing additional storage or living potential, along with a detached garage and private backyard. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and neighborhood amenities, this is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors looking for a turnkey Detroit property.
-
2026-03-05$119,000 Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Fully renovated 3-bedroom bungalow offering the perfect blend of classic Detroit charm and modern updates. This move-in ready home features a bright living area, updated kitchen and bath, and spacious bedrooms including a large upper-level primary suite. Beautiful flooring and fresh finishes run throughout the home. The property also includes a basement providing additional storage or living potential, along with a detached garage and private backyard. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and neighborhood amenities, this is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors looking for a turnkey Detroit property.
-
2026-03-05$119,000 Active 635-char remark
Show marketing remark (635 chars)
Fully renovated 3-bedroom bungalow offering the perfect blend of classic Detroit charm and modern updates. This move-in ready home features a bright living area, updated kitchen and bath, and spacious bedrooms including a large upper-level primary suite. Beautiful flooring and fresh finishes run throughout the home. The property also includes a basement providing additional storage or living potential, along with a detached garage and private backyard. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and neighborhood amenities, this is a great opportunity for both homeowners and investors looking for a turnkey Detroit property.
-
2012-12-28soldstatus $9,555
-
2012-12-28soldstatus $9,555
-
2012-11-19$11,900
-
2012-11-19$11,900
-
2000-08-29soldstatus $64,900
-
1999-09-28soldstatus $64,900
-
1999-08-25historical
-
1999-08-09$64,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $942 · $78/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,317 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$375/yr (+$31/mo · 39.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$942
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $2,578
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$619
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+69.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $109,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $109,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-05 Listed $119,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-05 Listed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-12-28 Sold (MLS) $9,555 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-12-28 Sold (MLS) $9,555 REALCOMP
- 2012-11-19 Listed $11,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-11-19 Listed $11,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $64,900 Public Records
- 1999-09-28 Sold (MLS) $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-08-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-08-09 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $942 · -53.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…