1147 Hubbard St SW · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
Key facts
- 5,314 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 198 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $886 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kipp Ways Primary Charter School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 477 students, 100% FRL, charter); Sylvan Hills Middle School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #439 of 470 statewide, top 94%, 445 students, 100% FRL); Carver High School Early College (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #269 of 424 statewide, top 65%, 575 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 71% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Atlanta Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 459 active listings in the ZIP; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 198 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $99k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 198 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.36%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.77% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $35,698
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 32.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $101,888
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30310
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 459
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,336 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$252 /mo · $3,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$491
- Net cashflow
- $886
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $956 | -5% $921 | +0% $886 | +5% $850 | +10% $815 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $701 | -5% $793 | +0% $886 | +5% $978 | +10% $1,070 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $948 | -0.5pp $917 | base $886 | +0.5pp $853 | +1.0pp $820 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 39 events
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2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-05-07status Back On Market 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
-
2026-05-07status Active 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
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2026-01-14status Under Contract 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
-
2026-01-14status Pending 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
-
2025-12-05status Back On Market 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
-
2025-12-05status Active 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
-
2025-11-06status Under Contract 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
-
2025-11-06status Pending 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
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2025-08-20price $125,000 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
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2025-08-20price $125,000 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
-
2025-07-17$150,000 New 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
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2025-07-17$150,000 Active 53-char remark
Show marketing remark (53 chars)
Investor Special...in the Atlanta Beltline Community.
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2019-05-06soldstatus $99,000
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2019-04-24soldstatus $99,000 Closed
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2019-04-24soldstatus $99,000 Sold
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2019-04-03status Under Contract
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2019-04-03status Pending
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2019-03-20price $120,000
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2019-03-19price $120,000
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2019-03-13$130,000 Active
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2019-03-13$130,000 New
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2005-07-25soldstatus $250,000
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2003-12-10soldstatus $129,900
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2001-07-26soldstatus $85,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,027 · $252/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,027 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,031
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$3,027
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,242
- − Management
- −$2,242
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $9,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,221
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,186
- Household income
- $53,037
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1676.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 14% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.00%
- Current HPI
- 418.7297
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.77%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+47.1% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-01-14 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-01-14 Pending — FMLS
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-12-05 Relisted — FMLS
- 2025-11-06 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-11-06 Pending — FMLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-20 Price Changed $125,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $150,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-17 Listed $150,000 GAMLS
- 2019-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $99,000 Public Records
- 2019-04-24 Sold (MLS) $99,000 GAMLS
- 2019-04-24 Sold (MLS) $99,000 FMLS
- 2019-04-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2019-04-03 Pending — FMLS
- 2019-03-20 Price Changed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2019-03-19 Price Changed $120,000 FMLS
- 2019-03-13 Listed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2019-03-13 Listed $130,000 FMLS
- 2005-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2003-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 2001-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,027 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…