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451 Purcell Multi-family
B+ Composite 76.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

451 Purcell · Cincinnati, OH 45205
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,632 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1908 7,754 sqft lot Est $178k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Wanted! Great 2 family potential or rehab into a single family. Most demo work is done, time for your finishes. Reserve Auction, Min. bid is $25,000. $5,000 deposit is due within 24 hours of auction end. Auction ends December 6, 2018 at 12:00PM. Online only. 10% buyer's premium will be added to the high bid. Sold 100% AS IS.

Key facts

  • Large lot
  • Stone foundation
  • New roof

Tags

BRICK AMERICAN FOURSQUARE HOMELARGE LOTNEW ROOFFULL BRICK EXTERIOR WALLSSTONE FOUNDATIONPREVIOUSLY USED AS A DUPLEX

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential and multi-family
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
  • Home design: Victorian architectural style; Single family residence
  • Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Shingle roof; Second floor area reported
  • Exterior features: Double-hung windows

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen measuring 14 x 15; Breakfast room 10 x 17; Dining room 16 x 16
  • Bedrooms: 8 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom is 15 x 15 on level 2; Bedroom (15 x 15) on level 1; Bedroom (14 x 12) on level 2; Bedroom (16 x 17) on level 2; Bedroom (17 x 18) on level 3
  • Flooring: Wood floor in the foyer/entry
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; One full bathroom on level 1; One full bathroom on level 2; One full bathroom on level 3
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heating
  • Interior features: 14 total rooms; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room 12 x 12

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,843/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.90%
Cap rate
15.91%
Cash-on-cash
34.34%
DSCR
2.53
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$177,968
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
930 Eatondale Dr 0.69mi 4/2.0 3,680 (+1%) 1mo $180,000 $49 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.1%
Equity multiple
2.27×
Total profit
$53,150
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
37.6%
Equity multiple
4.54×
Total profit
$148,596
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45205

Rents YoY
3.3%
Active inventory
69
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,843 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,340/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$597
Net cashflow
$1,202

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,322
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 53%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,843

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
775 Summit Ave Cincinnati, OH 3.0 2.0 2700 $2,100 $0.78 14d 1 0.51mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 695-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,340 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,340 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,116
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,340
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,729
− Management
−$2,729
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$12,802
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,072
After-tax cash flow
$11,350/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cincinnati Public Schools
NCES district ID
3904375
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$35,743
Composite
25.21/100
National rank
#7508
State rank
#581 of 656 in OH

Livability — Cincinnati

Score
80/100
State rank
#130
US rank
#1856

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cincinnati, OH
County
Hamilton County · 701,295 people
City population
505,555
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
Population (ZIP)
18,651
Household income
$43,682
Rent vs Own
63.1% rent · 36.9% own
Severe rent burden
980.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
826,054 people
By 2030
830,947 · +0.6%
By 2040
832,319 · +0.8%
By 2050
822,428 · -0.4%
By 2075
788,688 · -4.5%
By 2100
710,674 · -14.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Black 43% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, India, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -138.67%
Current HPI
163.3375
Rent YoY
▲ 3.30%
Metro
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.9% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $150,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2019-01-25 Sold (MLS) $60,500 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $60,500 Public Records
  • 2018-12-07 Contingent Cincy MLS
  • 2018-11-15 Listed $25,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-11-15 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2018-10-24 Price Changed $62,400 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-08-15 Price Changed $63,400 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-07-19 Price Changed $65,400 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-06-26 Price Changed $67,400 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-06-05 Price Changed $69,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2018-05-16 Listed $74,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2006-02-13 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2005-08-09 Listed $105,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2005-05-24 Listing Removed Cincy MLS
  • 2005-04-09 Listed $95,900 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
  • 2003-08-20 Sold (MLS) $87,000 Cincy MLS
  • 2003-05-26 Listed $89,900 Cincy MLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,340 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…