Multi-family
451 Purcell · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Wanted! Great 2 family potential or rehab into a single family. Most demo work is done, time for your finishes. Reserve Auction, Min. bid is $25,000. $5,000 deposit is due within 24 hours of auction end. Auction ends December 6, 2018 at 12:00PM. Online only. 10% buyer's premium will be added to the high bid. Sold 100% AS IS.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Stone foundation
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned residential and multi-family
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space; Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas service
- Home design: Victorian architectural style; Single family residence
- Construction: Brick construction; Stone foundation; Shingle roof; Second floor area reported
- Exterior features: Double-hung windows
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen measuring 14 x 15; Breakfast room 10 x 17; Dining room 16 x 16
- Bedrooms: 8 bedrooms total; Primary bedroom is 15 x 15 on level 2; Bedroom (15 x 15) on level 1; Bedroom (14 x 12) on level 2; Bedroom (16 x 17) on level 2; Bedroom (17 x 18) on level 3
- Flooring: Wood floor in the foyer/entry
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; One full bathroom on level 1; One full bathroom on level 2; One full bathroom on level 3
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Gas water heating
- Interior features: 14 total rooms; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room 12 x 12
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 15.9% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 69 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,843/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $150k implies a 148% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.90% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 34.34%
- DSCR
- 2.53
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,968
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 930 Eatondale Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 | 3,680 (+1%) | 1mo | $180,000 | $49 | 65 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.27×
- Total profit
- $53,150
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 37.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $148,596
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45205
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,843 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$195 /mo · $2,340/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$597
- Net cashflow
- $1,202
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,842 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,421 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,421 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,843 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 775 Summit Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2700 | $2,100 | $0.78 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-19remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-19$150,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,340 · $195/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,340 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,116
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,340
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,729
- − Management
- −$2,729
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $12,802
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,072
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,350/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,651
- Household income
- $43,682
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 43% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, India, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.67%
- Current HPI
- 163.3375
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.30%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+66.9% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $150,000 Cincy MLS
- 2019-01-25 Sold (MLS) $60,500 Cincy MLS
- 2018-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $60,500 Public Records
- 2018-12-07 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2018-11-15 Listed $25,000 Cincy MLS
- 2018-11-15 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2018-10-24 Price Changed $62,400 Cincy MLS
- 2018-08-15 Price Changed $63,400 Cincy MLS
- 2018-07-19 Price Changed $65,400 Cincy MLS
- 2018-06-26 Price Changed $67,400 Cincy MLS
- 2018-06-05 Price Changed $69,900 Cincy MLS
- 2018-05-16 Listed $74,900 Cincy MLS
- 2006-02-13 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2005-08-09 Listed $105,900 Cincy MLS
- 2005-05-24 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2005-04-09 Listed $95,900 Cincy MLS
- 2003-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2003-08-20 Sold (MLS) $87,000 Cincy MLS
- 2003-05-26 Listed $89,900 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,340 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…