554 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit 6755 B-1 · National Harbor, MD
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 554 Wilson Bridge Drive, a freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath condominium ready for its next owner. The unit has been recently refreshed with new paint and professionally cleaned carpet, giving it a bright, clean feel throughout and making it truly move-in ready. The spacious layout offers comfortable living with plenty of natural light, while the $506/month condo fee covers all utilities, making ownership simple and predictable. Ideally located just minutes from National Harbor, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes into DC and Northern Virginia, this property offers both convenience and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking for an affordable home or an investor seeking a solid rental opportunity, this unit checks the boxes. Priced at $138,000 Call and schedule your showing today and come see the value for yourself.
Key facts
- New paint
- Natural light
- Freshly updated
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $129k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $129k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 1.9% in National Harbor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#48 in MD, #1,799 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D-.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Oxon Hill Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #699 of 860 statewide, top 84%, 237 students, 85% FRL); Oxon Hill Middle (math 4% / reading 22%, grade F, #199 of 225 statewide, top 88%, 767 students, 82% FRL); Oxon Hill High (math 43% / reading 68%, grade C, #85 of 222 statewide, top 39%, 1,553 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $892 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 23% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.27%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $120,974
- List price
- $129,000
- Delta
- 6.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-11,396
- Equity at exit
- $19,234
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-12,929
- Equity at exit
- $11,154
Cash invested: $36,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20745
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,160 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$676
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$161 /mo · $1,935/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$506
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $332 | -5% $287 | +0% $243 | +5% $198 | +10% $153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $72 | -5% $157 | +0% $243 | +5% $328 | +10% $413 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $308 | -0.5pp $275 | base $243 | +0.5pp $209 | +1.0pp $175 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,250
- Closing costs
- $3,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit 6711 C1 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $1,550 | $2.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 546 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit A-2 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $1,580 | $2.37 | 6d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 519 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit A1 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $1,495 | $2.24 | 6d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 541 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit C1 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 829 | $1,800 | $2.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 522 Wilson Bridge Dr Unit C2 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,800 | $2.01 | 18d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 7903 Indian Head Hwy Unit 207 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $1,950 | $2.35 | 26d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 7907 Indian Head Hwy Unit 310 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,575 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7911 Indian Head Hwy Unit 205 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 688 | $1,575 | $2.29 | 26d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #451 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $3,400 | $4.59 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #445 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,300 | $3.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #305 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $2,400 | $3.28 | 20d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #549 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,695 | $3.66 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #335 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $3,200 | $3.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #314 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $3,200 | $3.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #214 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $2,975 | $3.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #533 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,400 | $3.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr #428 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 741 | $2,200 | $2.97 | 26d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr Unit 1 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 737 | $2,695 | $3.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 145 Riverhaven Dr Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 635 | $2,395 | $3.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 250 American Way Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 906 | $3,255 | $3.59 | 0d | 14 | 0.92mi |
| 155 Potomac Psge #436 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 701 | $2,350 | $3.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 155 Potomac Psge #908 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1111 | $3,200 | $2.88 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 155 Potomac Psge #712 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 994 | $3,500 | $3.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 155 Potomac Psge Ph 10 Oxon Hill, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $3,050 | $3.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 155 Potomac Psge #408 Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 629 | $2,200 | $3.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 157 Fleet St Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 692 | $2,795 | $4.04 | 17d | 4 | 1.01mi |
| 157 Fleet St Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 804 | $2,522 | $3.14 | 4d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 157 Fleet St Oxon Hill, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $2,795 | $3.48 | 14d | 2 | 1.01mi |
| 6801 Bock Rd Fort Washington, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,609 | $2.05 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8704 Cumbria Ct Unit C Fort Washington, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 979 | $2,199 | $2.25 | 12d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $506 · $6,072/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $129,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $129,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $135,000 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Welcome to 554 Wilson Bridge Drive, a freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath condominium ready for its next owner. The unit has been recently refreshed with new paint and professionally cleaned carpet, giving it a bright, clean feel throughout and making it truly move-in ready. The spacious layout offers comfortable living with plenty of natural light, while the $506/month condo fee covers all utilities, making ownership simple and predictable. Ideally located just minutes from National Harbor, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes into DC and Northern Virginia, this property offers both convenience and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking for an affordable home or an investor seeking a solid rental opportunity, this unit checks the boxes. Priced at $138,000 Call and schedule your showing today and come see the value for yourself.
-
2026-04-23status Active 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Welcome to 554 Wilson Bridge Drive, a freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath condominium ready for its next owner. The unit has been recently refreshed with new paint and professionally cleaned carpet, giving it a bright, clean feel throughout and making it truly move-in ready. The spacious layout offers comfortable living with plenty of natural light, while the $506/month condo fee covers all utilities, making ownership simple and predictable. Ideally located just minutes from National Harbor, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes into DC and Northern Virginia, this property offers both convenience and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking for an affordable home or an investor seeking a solid rental opportunity, this unit checks the boxes. Priced at $138,000 Call and schedule your showing today and come see the value for yourself.
-
2026-04-17historical Active Under Contract 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Welcome to 554 Wilson Bridge Drive, a freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath condominium ready for its next owner. The unit has been recently refreshed with new paint and professionally cleaned carpet, giving it a bright, clean feel throughout and making it truly move-in ready. The spacious layout offers comfortable living with plenty of natural light, while the $506/month condo fee covers all utilities, making ownership simple and predictable. Ideally located just minutes from National Harbor, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes into DC and Northern Virginia, this property offers both convenience and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking for an affordable home or an investor seeking a solid rental opportunity, this unit checks the boxes. Priced at $138,000 Call and schedule your showing today and come see the value for yourself.
-
2026-03-11$138,000 Active 856-char remark
Show marketing remark (856 chars)
Welcome to 554 Wilson Bridge Drive, a freshly updated 2-bedroom, 1-bath condominium ready for its next owner. The unit has been recently refreshed with new paint and professionally cleaned carpet, giving it a bright, clean feel throughout and making it truly move-in ready. The spacious layout offers comfortable living with plenty of natural light, while the $506/month condo fee covers all utilities, making ownership simple and predictable. Ideally located just minutes from National Harbor, shopping, dining, and major commuter routes into DC and Northern Virginia, this property offers both convenience and value. Whether you're a first-time buyer looking for an affordable home or an investor seeking a solid rental opportunity, this unit checks the boxes. Priced at $138,000 Call and schedule your showing today and come see the value for yourself.
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2025-09-17$139,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,923
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,226
- − Property taxes
- −$1,935
- − Insurance
- −$1,442
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,074
- − Management
- −$2,074
- − HOA
- −$6,072
- − Depreciation
- −$3,753
- Taxable income
- $1,347
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This move-in ready condo is in good condition with fresh paint and carpet, making it an attractive option for both buyers and investors.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and adds value.
- Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and curb appeal.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint touch-ups — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace carpet — New carpet improves comfort and adds value. ↑
- Both Replace windows — New windows improve energy efficiency and curb appeal. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — National Harbor
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #48
- US rank
- #1799
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- National Harbor, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,605
- Household income
- $75,236
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1770.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% White 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 26% Tagalog/Filipino 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.85%
- Current HPI
- 300.5172
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-23 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-17 Contingent — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-11 Listed $138,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $139,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…