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3436 Potomac St Fourplex
C+ Composite 61.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.8/15.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

3436 Potomac St · St. Louis, MO 63118
16 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,400 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 120 Days on market
Built 1927 5,876 sqft lot $76/sqft · 13% above area Est $231k · 13% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors! Here’s a fantastic opportunity for you to own a 4-family unit about a block from Cherokee St. Two-story, fully leased 4-unit brick building. Each one bedroom unit offers generously-sized rooms including a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bath and some hardwood floors. Both the front porch and rear balcony have decorative wrought iron spindles. The rear balconies overlook a grassy back yard. This is an ideal property to add to your investment portfolio. Please do not disturb tenants. 24 hour notice for approval required in order to show.

Key facts

  • 5,876 sq ft lot
  • Built 1927
  • Listed 120 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive. Per door: $411/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $260k).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,097/mo this rent would consume 85% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1495% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 117% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $120k; list at $260k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,600 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.89%
Cash-on-cash
27.12%
DSCR
2.21
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$230,596
List price
$260,000
Delta
12.75%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$70,528
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
32.1%
Equity multiple
4.16×
Total profit
$229,936
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63118

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
240
Price-to-rent
21.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,097 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,435/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$860
Net cashflow
$1,645

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,014
Max offer price $260,000
Occupancy floor 55%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $4,097

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 120 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 119 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Active 118 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $260,000 Active 117 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 115 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $260,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    remarks 647-char remark
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $260,000 Active 106 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $260,000 Active 105 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $260,000 Active 104 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $260,000 Active 103 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $260,000 Active 102 DOM
  15. 2026-04-27
    price $260,000 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Attention Investors! Here’s a fantastic opportunity for you to own a 4-family unit about a block from Cherokee St. Two-story, fully leased 4-unit brick building. Each one bedroom unit offers generously-sized rooms including a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bath and some hardwood floors. Both the front porch and rear balcony have decorative wrought iron spindles. The rear balconies overlook a grassy back yard. This is an ideal property to add to your investment portfolio. Please do not disturb tenants. 24 hour notice for approval required in order to show.

  16. 2026-02-18
    status Active 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Attention Investors! Here’s a fantastic opportunity for you to own a 4-family unit about a block from Cherokee St. Two-story, fully leased 4-unit brick building. Each one bedroom unit offers generously-sized rooms including a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bath and some hardwood floors. Both the front porch and rear balcony have decorative wrought iron spindles. The rear balconies overlook a grassy back yard. This is an ideal property to add to your investment portfolio. Please do not disturb tenants. 24 hour notice for approval required in order to show.

  17. 2018-09-10
    status Pending 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a 4-family unit about a block from Cherokee St. Two-story, fully leased 4-unit brick building. Each one bedroom unit offers generously-sized rooms including a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bath and some hardwood floors. Both the front porch and rear balcony have decorative wrought iron spindles. The rear balconies overlook a grassy back yard. An ideal property to have as your investments.

  18. 2018-09-04
    soldstatus $120,000
  19. 2018-08-28
    soldstatus Closed 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a 4-family unit about a block from Cherokee St. Two-story, fully leased 4-unit brick building. Each one bedroom unit offers generously-sized rooms including a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bath and some hardwood floors. Both the front porch and rear balcony have decorative wrought iron spindles. The rear balconies overlook a grassy back yard. An ideal property to have as your investments.

  20. 2018-07-19
    historical Active Under Contract 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a 4-family unit about a block from Cherokee St. Two-story, fully leased 4-unit brick building. Each one bedroom unit offers generously-sized rooms including a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bath and some hardwood floors. Both the front porch and rear balcony have decorative wrought iron spindles. The rear balconies overlook a grassy back yard. An ideal property to have as your investments.

  21. 2018-07-17
    listed $120,000 Active 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    Excellent opportunity to own a 4-family unit about a block from Cherokee St. Two-story, fully leased 4-unit brick building. Each one bedroom unit offers generously-sized rooms including a living room, eat-in kitchen, a bath and some hardwood floors. Both the front porch and rear balcony have decorative wrought iron spindles. The rear balconies overlook a grassy back yard. An ideal property to have as your investments.

  22. 2015-12-02
    soldstatus $48,000
  23. 2015-12-02
    soldstatus $57,000
  24. 2015-11-24
    soldstatus Closed
  25. 2015-11-17
    historical
  26. 2015-10-11
    price $59,900
  27. 2015-09-10
    listed $74,900 Active
  28. 2013-11-08
    soldstatus $31,000
  29. 2005-08-23
    soldstatus $125,000
  30. 2001-05-08
    soldstatus $60,500
  31. 1996-05-15
    soldstatus
  32. 1996-05-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,435 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,522 · $210/mo
Expected delta
+$1,087/yr (+$91/mo · 75.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$49,164
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$1,435
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,933
− Management
−$3,933
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable income
$16,435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,944
After-tax cash flow
$15,798/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
County
Saint Louis City · 254,015 people
City population
283,259
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
25,913
Household income
$57,762
Rent vs Own
56.1% rent · 43.9% own
Severe rent burden
1495.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 41% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 5% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -347.51%
Current HPI
171.5963
Rent YoY
▲ 4.89%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+329.8% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $260,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-18 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-10 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2018-08-28 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-19 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-07-17 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2015-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2015-11-24 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-11-17 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-10-11 Price Changed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-10 Listed $74,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records
  • 2005-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,500 Public Records
  • 1996-05-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-05-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,435 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…