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18 Freeway Ln
C Composite 58.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • DSCR +9.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$380,000

18 Freeway Ln · Oceanside, CA 92054
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2005 Est $340k · 12% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Amazing home 1.3 miles from the beach all ages family park, rent controlled space rent at $434 a month. Any questions contact me at 4426158265 I have a great real estate agent that deals with mobile homes in California if you need help financing.

Key facts

  • Built 2005

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 2005
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1,344
  • Exterior features: Located in the South Oceanside subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $380k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $380k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.5% in Oceanside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#413 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A; Watch: schools D+, crime D, cost of living F.
  • Oceanside Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #221 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,264/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 2729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $380,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.91%
Cash-on-cash
12.90%
DSCR
1.57
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$340,032
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
122 Beechwood Ln 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,344 (0%) 1mo $405,000 $301 89
33 Parkwood Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-7%) 1mo $371,000 $297 86
100 Elmwood Ln 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (0%) 7mo $290,000 $216 84
85 Oakwood Ln 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,373 (+2%) 8mo $420,000 $306 80
54 Maywood Ln #54 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,325 (-1%) 12mo $335,000 $253 80
329 Blue Springs Ln #329 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,534 (+14%) 16mo $335,000 $218 60
120 Sherri Ln 0.55mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,184 (-12%) 2mo $297,900 $252 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.0%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-15,850
Equity at exit
$56,659
10-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.42×
Total profit
$45,179
Equity at exit
$32,855

Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92054

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
165
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,264 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,993
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $878/yr
Insurance
$158
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$895
Net cashflow
$717

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,355
Max offer price $380,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$95,000
Closing costs
$11,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1999 S Oceanside Blvd Oceanside, CA 3.0 1.0–2.0 943 $5,550 $5.89 2d 55 0.17mi
1109 Makena Way Oceanside, CA 3.0 3.0 1775 $5,055 $2.85 44d 1 0.21mi
1107 Hibiscus Way Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.5 1570 $4,750 $3.03 44d 1 0.23mi
1016 S Nevada St Oceanside, CA 3.0 1.5 1250 $4,395 $3.52 11d 1 0.39mi
555 Greenbrier Dr Oceanside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 1000 $2,495 $2.50 44d 3 0.52mi
810 California St Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $4,150 $4.15 24d 1 0.56mi
810 California St Unit C 1 Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1000 $4,350 $4.35 44d 1 0.56mi
433 Grant St #2 Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 900 $3,200 $3.56 11d 1 0.63mi
1202 Missouri Ave Oceanside, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 865 $3,000 $3.47 2d 4 0.65mi
504 Greenbrier Dr Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,395 $2.40 5d 2 0.68mi
1709 Kurtz St Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,360 $2.15 18d 1 0.69mi
428 S Ditmar St Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 998 $5,595 $5.61 44d 1 0.70mi
330 S Horne St Unit 17 Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,995 $2.72 5d 1 0.71mi
567 Canyon Dr Oceanside, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 801 $2,700 $3.37 2d 13 0.74mi
417 S Ditmar St Unit A Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $3,100 $3.44 44d 1 0.74mi
1724 S Horne St Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $10,000 $8.33 24d 1 0.75mi
525 S Tremont St Unit 1462279P Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.5 979 $7,337 $7.49 5d 1 0.78mi
552 Canyon Dr #29 Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.0 1035 $2,900 $2.80 44d 1 0.80mi
1723 Ivy Rd Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1574 $6,400 $4.07 18d 1 0.81mi
1622 S Tremont St Unit A Oceanside, CA 3.0 1.0 1600 $4,300 $2.69 44d 1 0.83mi
438 S Cleveland St #108 Oceanside, CA 3.0 3.0 1551 $5,750 $3.71 17d 1 0.85mi
506 Canyon Dr #52 Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1164 $3,495 $3.00 15d 1 0.92mi
506 Canyon Dr Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1164 $3,445 $2.96 3d 2 0.96mi
1935 S Nevada St Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 1070 $4,500 $4.21 15d 1 1.06mi
150 S Myers St #1 Oceanside, CA 3.0 3.0 1669 $10,000 $5.99 44d 1 1.07mi
301 Mission Ave Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.5 1924 $5,600 $2.91 2d 2 1.14mi
1311 W Puls St Unit D Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 892 $2,150 $2.41 20d 1 1.14mi
1311 W Puls St Unit D Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 892 $2,150 $2.41 15d 1 1.14mi
915 Civic Center Dr Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1223 $4,750 $3.88 2d 1 1.15mi
915 Civic Center Dr Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.0 1223 $4,950 $4.05 24d 1 1.15mi
911 Civic Center Dr Oceanside, CA 3.0 1.0 1170 $5,250 $4.49 44d 1 1.15mi
115 N Cleveland St Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0–2.0 844 $4,451 $5.27 2d 4 1.15mi
301 Mission Ave #605 Oceanside, CA 3.0 2.5 1849 $6,500 $3.52 44d 1 1.16mi
1926 Broadway St Unit 2 Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $3,900 $4.33 44d 1 1.18mi
699 Eaton St Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 950 $3,150 $3.32 22d 2 1.26mi
408 N Tremont St Oceanside, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,800 $3.80 3d 1 1.29mi
709 Eaton St Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,395 $3.40 44d 1 1.29mi
501 N Ditmar St Unit C Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,050 $3.05 5d 1 1.29mi
501 N Ditmar St Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $3,150 $3.15 44d 1 1.29mi
401 N Coast Hwy #304 Oceanside, CA 2.0 2.5 1400 $4,195 $3.00 15d 1 1.30mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-05-26
    listed $380,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$878 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,888 · $241/mo
Expected delta
+$2,010/yr (+$168/mo · 228.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,162
− Mortgage interest
−$21,286
− Property taxes
−$878
− Insurance
−$7,018
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,093
− Management
−$4,093
− Depreciation
−$11,055
Taxable income
$2,739
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$657
After-tax cash flow
$7,951/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oceanside Unified
NCES district ID
0628250
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$55,158
Composite
35.74/100
National rank
#4853
State rank
#221 of 517 in CA

Livability — Oceanside

Score
64/100
State rank
#413
US rank
#14081

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D Employment A Housing B Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oceanside, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
198,702
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
38,417
Household income
$82,408
Rent vs Own
60.9% rent · 39.1% own
Severe rent burden
2729.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 23% Asian 4% Native American 3% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -985.21%
Current HPI
461.2228
Rent YoY
▲ 2.99%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $380,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

-4.8%/yr

Latest (2013): $878 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…