18 Freeway Ln · Oceanside, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 81°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +2.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$380,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Amazing home 1.3 miles from the beach all ages family park, rent controlled space rent at $434 a month. Any questions contact me at 4426158265 I have a great real estate agent that deals with mobile homes in California if you need help financing.
Key facts
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 2005
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,344
- Exterior features: Located in the South Oceanside subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $380k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $717 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $380k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.5% in Oceanside — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#413 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A; Watch: schools D+, crime D, cost of living F.
- Oceanside Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #221 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 165 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,264/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 2729% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.90%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $340,032
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122 Beechwood Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $405,000 | $301 | 89 |
| 33 Parkwood Ln | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-7%) | 1mo | $371,000 | $297 | 86 |
| 100 Elmwood Ln | 0.10mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (0%) | 7mo | $290,000 | $216 | 84 |
| 85 Oakwood Ln | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,373 (+2%) | 8mo | $420,000 | $306 | 80 |
| 54 Maywood Ln #54 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,325 (-1%) | 12mo | $335,000 | $253 | 80 |
| 329 Blue Springs Ln #329 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,534 (+14%) | 16mo | $335,000 | $218 | 60 |
| 120 Sherri Ln | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,184 (-12%) | 2mo | $297,900 | $252 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-15,850
- Equity at exit
- $56,659
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.42×
- Total profit
- $45,179
- Equity at exit
- $32,855
Cash invested: $106,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92054
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 165
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,264 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,993
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $878/yr
- Insurance
- −$158
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$895
- Net cashflow
- $717
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $95,000
- Closing costs
- $11,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999 S Oceanside Blvd Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 943 | $5,550 | $5.89 | 2d | 55 | 0.17mi |
| 1109 Makena Way Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1775 | $5,055 | $2.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1107 Hibiscus Way Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1570 | $4,750 | $3.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1016 S Nevada St Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $4,395 | $3.52 | 11d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 555 Greenbrier Dr Oceanside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,495 | $2.50 | 44d | 3 | 0.52mi |
| 810 California St Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $4,150 | $4.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 810 California St Unit C 1 Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $4,350 | $4.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 433 Grant St #2 Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $3,200 | $3.56 | 11d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1202 Missouri Ave Oceanside, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $3,000 | $3.47 | 2d | 4 | 0.65mi |
| 504 Greenbrier Dr Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,395 | $2.40 | 5d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 1709 Kurtz St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,360 | $2.15 | 18d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 428 S Ditmar St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 998 | $5,595 | $5.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 330 S Horne St Unit 17 Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,995 | $2.72 | 5d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 567 Canyon Dr Oceanside, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $2,700 | $3.37 | 2d | 13 | 0.74mi |
| 417 S Ditmar St Unit A Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,100 | $3.44 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1724 S Horne St Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $10,000 | $8.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 525 S Tremont St Unit 1462279P Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 979 | $7,337 | $7.49 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 552 Canyon Dr #29 Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $2,900 | $2.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1723 Ivy Rd Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $6,400 | $4.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1622 S Tremont St Unit A Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $4,300 | $2.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 438 S Cleveland St #108 Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1551 | $5,750 | $3.71 | 17d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 506 Canyon Dr #52 Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $3,495 | $3.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 506 Canyon Dr Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $3,445 | $2.96 | 3d | 2 | 0.96mi |
| 1935 S Nevada St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $4,500 | $4.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 150 S Myers St #1 Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1669 | $10,000 | $5.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 301 Mission Ave Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1924 | $5,600 | $2.91 | 2d | 2 | 1.14mi |
| 1311 W Puls St Unit D Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $2,150 | $2.41 | 20d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1311 W Puls St Unit D Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $2,150 | $2.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 915 Civic Center Dr Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $4,750 | $3.88 | 2d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 915 Civic Center Dr Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $4,950 | $4.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 911 Civic Center Dr Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $5,250 | $4.49 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 115 N Cleveland St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 844 | $4,451 | $5.27 | 2d | 4 | 1.15mi |
| 301 Mission Ave #605 Oceanside, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1849 | $6,500 | $3.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1926 Broadway St Unit 2 Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,900 | $4.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 699 Eaton St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $3,150 | $3.32 | 22d | 2 | 1.26mi |
| 408 N Tremont St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,800 | $3.80 | 3d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 709 Eaton St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,395 | $3.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 501 N Ditmar St Unit C Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,050 | $3.05 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 501 N Ditmar St Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,150 | $3.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 401 N Coast Hwy #304 Oceanside, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $4,195 | $3.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-26$380,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $878 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,888 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,010/yr (+$168/mo · 228.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥81°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,162
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,286
- − Property taxes
- −$878
- − Insurance
- −$7,018
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,093
- − Management
- −$4,093
- − Depreciation
- −$11,055
- Taxable income
- $2,739
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$657
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,951/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oceanside Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0628250
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,158
- Composite
- 35.74/100
- National rank
- #4853
- State rank
- #221 of 517 in CA
Livability — Oceanside
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #413
- US rank
- #14081
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oceanside, CA
- County
- San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
- City population
- 198,702
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,417
- Household income
- $82,408
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2729.0
Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,678,185 people
- By 2030
- 3,856,546 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 4,171,407 · +13.4%
- By 2050
- 4,421,607 · +20.2%
- By 2075
- 4,831,599 · +31.4%
- By 2100
- 4,832,502 · +31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 23% Asian 4% Native American 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 29% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Diego
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -985.21%
- Current HPI
- 461.2228
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.99%
- Metro
- San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $380,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-4.8%/yrLatest (2013): $878 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…