8071 Dunnwood Rd · Verdigris, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$23,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into this inviting home in The Vintage, where tall ceilings and a well-designed split floor plan create a bright, open feel. The living room features a cozy corner fireplace, complemented by fresh interior paint throughout the home. The kitchen is both functional and welcoming, offering a corner pantry, gas range, built-in microwave, eat-in bar, and a spacious dining area highlighted by a large bay window. Outside, you'll find a private backyard retreat with a covered patio, mature shade trees, and a full privacy fence backing up to a green belt - perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Located in the highly sought-after Verdigris school district, this home combines comfort, style, and convenience.
Key facts
- Built 2003
- Listed 8 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $23k).
- Cap rate 62.8% vs local median 4.0% in Verdigris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#40 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Verdigris (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #29 of 270 in OK (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 118 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 608 units permitted in Rogers County in 2024 (7 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $159 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $690 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rogers County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.84% ✓
- Cap rate
- 62.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 201.98%
- DSCR
- 9.99
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,864
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8071 Dunnwood Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,584 (0%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $167 | 99 |
| 8145 Quail Ridge Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,502 (-5%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $170 | 79 |
| 8055 Quail Ridge Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-10%) | 2mo | $252,000 | $176 | 77 |
| 25996 S Clayton Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,574 (-1%) | 8mo | $269,900 | $171 | 77 |
| 26470 Arrowood Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,497 (-6%) | 10mo | $227,000 | $152 | 76 |
| 8047 Vintage Trace Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,729 (+9%) | 4mo | $267,000 | $154 | 73 |
| 7752 E 540 Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-9%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $132 | 63 |
| 8461 Dunnwood Rd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+5%) | 8mo | $284,000 | $171 | 59 |
| 7808 E 540 Rd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,716 (+8%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 8558 E Melody Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (-8%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $220 | 53 |
| 7655 E Brit Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,776 (+12%) | 0mo | $373,000 | $210 | 45 |
| 25475 Humphries Cir | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,758 (+11%) | 12mo | $305,000 | $173 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.15×
- Total profit
- $65,335
- Equity at exit
- $3,429
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 23.65×
- Total profit
- $145,886
- Equity at exit
- $1,989
Cash invested: $6,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74019
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Active inventory
- 118
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,573 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$121
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$29 /mo · $345/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$330
- Net cashflow
- $1,084
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,100 | -5% $1,092 | +0% $1,084 | +5% $1,076 | +10% $1,068 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $960 | -5% $1,022 | +0% $1,084 | +5% $1,146 | +10% $1,208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,096 | -0.5pp $1,090 | base $1,084 | +0.5pp $1,078 | +1.0pp $1,072 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,750
- Closing costs
- $690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $23,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $23,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $23,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $23,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 204-char remark
-
2026-06-08$23,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,880
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,288
- − Property taxes
- −$345
- − Insurance
- −$115
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,510
- − Management
- −$1,510
- − Depreciation
- −$669
- Taxable income
- $13,441
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,226
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,782/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Verdigris
- NCES district ID
- 4031110
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,371
- Composite
- 30.77/100
- National rank
- #6156
- State rank
- #29 of 270 in OK
Livability — Verdigris
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #40
- US rank
- #7775
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Verdigris, OK
- County
- Rogers County · 50,229 people
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,023
- Household income
- $84,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 150.0
Population outlook (Rogers County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,211 people
- By 2030
- 104,381 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 111,567 · +11.3%
- By 2050
- 116,791 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 129,134 · +28.9%
- By 2100
- 132,326 · +32.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Native American 13% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rogers
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.6% · R 76.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.9pp toward R · 2008: -44.1pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.9 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+50.1 2008: R+44.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.22%
- Current HPI
- 210.9691
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tulsa, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+31.4% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $23,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-13 Sold (MLS) $265,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-22 Listed $269,497 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-12-07 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-11-13 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-10-11 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2018-10-03 Listed $164,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2016-04-29 Sold (MLS) $154,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-25 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2016-03-17 Listed $154,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $147,000 Public Records
- 2015-03-24 Sold (MLS) $147,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-01-23 Listed $159,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2015-01-15 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2014-07-14 Listed $159,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-02-12 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2010-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2009-08-11 Listed $152,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,201 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…