9095 Idlewild Dr · Coolbaugh, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
These 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are sits in Amenity filled gated community of A Pocono Country Pl. The community includes Swimming pool, tennis court, Beaches, Playground, Fishing, boating, LOW Taxes, bring your whole family or get ready for your Guests. Short term Rental friendly. Close to many attractions, Mt Airy Casino, Water parks, Pocono Raceway, state parks, restaurant, outlet, ski area. .. .. . A must see!!!!!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Tennis court
- Swimming pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($394/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $239k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.59%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $273,134
- List price
- $239,000
- Delta
- -12.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9050 Idlewild Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 | 1,440 (-1%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $198 | 80 |
| 9390 Birch Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-6%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $156 | 74 |
| 9386 Fairmount Way | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,412 (-3%) | 14mo | $205,000 | $145 | 67 |
| 9378 Fairmount Way | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,622 (+11%) | 0mo | $360,000 | $222 | 66 |
| 9458 Juniper Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,390 (-4%) | 2mo | $157,900 | $114 | 62 |
| 9033 Idlewild Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-4%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $171 | 61 |
| 2039 Skyview Ter | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (+3%) | 6mo | $295,000 | $197 | 60 |
| 9416 Juniper Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,406 (-3%) | 9mo | $167,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 1053 Country Place Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 1,500 (+3%) | 12mo | $295,000 | $197 | 48 |
| 2117 Rosemont Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,524 (+5%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $190 | 47 |
| 2261 Whippoorwill Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 | 1,575 (+8%) | 15mo | $353,000 | $224 | 42 |
| 1041 Country Place Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,560 (+7%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $141 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $22,870
- Equity at exit
- $98,915
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $88,827
- Equity at exit
- $146,098
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18466
- Home prices YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 355
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,122 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$143 /mo · $1,712/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$148
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $33
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $168 | -5% $100 | +0% $33 | +5% $-35 | +10% $-102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-135 | -5% $-51 | +0% $33 | +5% $117 | +10% $200 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $153 | -0.5pp $94 | base $33 | +0.5pp $-29 | +1.0pp $-92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9696 Stony Hollow Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1048 | $2,300 | $2.19 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9149 Brandywine Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1870 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,900 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2846 Fairhaven Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1763 Rolling Hills Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 8d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1354 Winding Way Coolbaugh Township, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1870 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $2,250 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 776 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1870 | $2,100 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $148 · $1,776/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolsecurity
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $239,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $239,900 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
These 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are sits in Amenity filled gated community of A Pocono Country Pl. The community includes Swimming pool, tennis court, Beaches, Playground, Fishing, boating, LOW Taxes, bring your whole family or get ready for your Guests. Short term Rental friendly. Close to many attractions, Mt Airy Casino, Water parks, Pocono Raceway, state parks, restaurant, outlet, ski area. .. .. . A must see!!!!!
-
2026-03-03$259,000 Active 422-char remark
Show marketing remark (422 chars)
These 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are sits in Amenity filled gated community of A Pocono Country Pl. The community includes Swimming pool, tennis court, Beaches, Playground, Fishing, boating, LOW Taxes, bring your whole family or get ready for your Guests. Short term Rental friendly. Close to many attractions, Mt Airy Casino, Water parks, Pocono Raceway, state parks, restaurant, outlet, ski area. .. .. . A must see!!!!!
-
2025-09-29price $239,000
-
2025-09-20price $249,000
-
2025-08-29$259,000 Active
-
2024-07-17price $274,900
-
2024-06-14price $275,000
-
2024-04-03$285,000 Active
-
2009-06-04soldstatus $55,000
-
2008-11-25$64,900
-
2006-05-17soldstatus $138,900
-
2006-05-15soldstatus $138,900
-
2006-03-08$138,900
-
2005-09-30soldstatus $82,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,712 · $143/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,744 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,032/yr (+$86/mo · 60.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,464
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$1,712
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,037
- − Management
- −$2,037
- − HOA
- −$1,776
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$3,633
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$872
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,266/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Coolbaugh
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,997
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Current HPI
- 202.4134
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+192.6% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $239,900 PMAR
- 2026-03-03 Listed $259,000 PMAR
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $239,000 PMAR
- 2025-09-20 Price Changed $249,000 PMAR
- 2025-08-29 Listed $259,000 PMAR
- 2024-07-17 Price Changed $274,900 PMAR
- 2024-06-14 Price Changed $275,000 PMAR
- 2024-04-03 Listed $285,000 PMAR
- 2009-06-04 Sold (MLS) $55,000 PMAR
- 2008-11-25 Listed $64,900 PMAR
- 2006-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $138,900 Public Records
- 2006-05-15 Sold (MLS) $138,900 PMAR
- 2006-03-08 Listed $138,900 PMAR
- 2005-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2026): $1,712 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…