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9095 Idlewild Dr
C- Composite 52.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$239,000

9095 Idlewild Dr · Coolbaugh, PA 18466
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1979 9,147 sqft lot $164/sqft · 24% above area Est $273k · 12% under $148/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

These 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are sits in Amenity filled gated community of A Pocono Country Pl. The community includes Swimming pool, tennis court, Beaches, Playground, Fishing, boating, LOW Taxes, bring your whole family or get ready for your Guests. Short term Rental friendly. Close to many attractions, Mt Airy Casino, Water parks, Pocono Raceway, state parks, restaurant, outlet, ski area. .. .. . A must see!!!!!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Tennis court
  • Swimming pool

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYSWIMMING POOLTENNIS COURTSHORT TERM RENTAL FRIENDLY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $33 ($394/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (11.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $212k (11.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 355 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $239k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $212,196 (11.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.59%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$273,134
List price
$239,000
Delta
-12.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9050 Idlewild Dr 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,440 (-1%) 1mo $285,000 $198 80
9390 Birch Ln 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,376 (-6%) 3mo $215,000 $156 74
9386 Fairmount Way 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,412 (-3%) 14mo $205,000 $145 67
9378 Fairmount Way 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,622 (+11%) 0mo $360,000 $222 66
9458 Juniper Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,390 (-4%) 2mo $157,900 $114 62
9033 Idlewild Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,404 (-4%) 7mo $240,000 $171 61
2039 Skyview Ter 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,500 (+3%) 6mo $295,000 $197 60
9416 Juniper Dr 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,406 (-3%) 9mo $167,000 $119 59
1053 Country Place Dr 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,500 (+3%) 12mo $295,000 $197 48
2117 Rosemont Dr 0.65mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,524 (+5%) 6mo $290,000 $190 47
2261 Whippoorwill Dr 0.65mi 4/2.0 1,575 (+8%) 15mo $353,000 $224 42
1041 Country Place Dr 0.73mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,560 (+7%) 8mo $220,000 $141 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$22,870
Equity at exit
$98,915
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$88,827
Equity at exit
$146,098

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18466

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
355
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,122 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,712/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$148
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,080
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $168 -5% $100 +0% $33 +5% $-35 +10% $-102
Rent -10% $-135 -5% $-51 +0% $33 +5% $117 +10% $200
Rate -1.0pp $153 -0.5pp $94 base $33 +0.5pp $-29 +1.0pp $-92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9696 Stony Hollow Dr Tobyhanna, PA 5.0 2.5 1048 $2,300 $2.19 14d 1 0.39mi
9026 Idlewild Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1068 $2,300 $2.15 14d 1 0.48mi
9149 Brandywine Dr Tobyhanna, PA 4.0 3.0 1870 $2,100 $1.12 21d 1 0.51mi
954 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,900 $1.90 16d 1 0.88mi
954 Country Place Dr Unit H623 Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,900 $1.83 44d 1 0.88mi
2846 Fairhaven Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,950 $1.90 14d 1 1.20mi
1763 Rolling Hills Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,800 $1.79 8d 1 1.21mi
1354 Winding Way Coolbaugh Township, PA 4.0 3.0 1870 $2,100 $1.12 21d 1 1.21mi
7067 Vista Dr Tobyhanna, PA 3.0 2.0 1436 $2,250 $1.57 44d 1 1.26mi
776 Country Place Dr Tobyhanna, PA 4.0 3.0 1870 $2,100 $1.12 44d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$148 · $1,776/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolsecurity

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,000 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,000 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,000 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $239,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,000 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $239,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $239,000 Active 91 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,900 Active 90 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,900 Active 89 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,900 Active 88 DOM
  14. 2026-05-01
    price $239,900 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    These 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are sits in Amenity filled gated community of A Pocono Country Pl. The community includes Swimming pool, tennis court, Beaches, Playground, Fishing, boating, LOW Taxes, bring your whole family or get ready for your Guests. Short term Rental friendly. Close to many attractions, Mt Airy Casino, Water parks, Pocono Raceway, state parks, restaurant, outlet, ski area. .. .. . A must see!!!!!

  15. 2026-03-03
    listed $259,000 Active 422-char remark
    Show marketing remark (422 chars)

    These 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms are sits in Amenity filled gated community of A Pocono Country Pl. The community includes Swimming pool, tennis court, Beaches, Playground, Fishing, boating, LOW Taxes, bring your whole family or get ready for your Guests. Short term Rental friendly. Close to many attractions, Mt Airy Casino, Water parks, Pocono Raceway, state parks, restaurant, outlet, ski area. .. .. . A must see!!!!!

  16. 2025-09-29
    price $239,000
  17. 2025-09-20
    price $249,000
  18. 2025-08-29
    listed $259,000 Active
  19. 2024-07-17
    price $274,900
  20. 2024-06-14
    price $275,000
  21. 2024-04-03
    listed $285,000 Active
  22. 2009-06-04
    soldstatus $55,000
  23. 2008-11-25
    listed $64,900
  24. 2006-05-17
    soldstatus $138,900
  25. 2006-05-15
    soldstatus $138,900
  26. 2006-03-08
    listed $138,900
  27. 2005-09-30
    soldstatus $82,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,712 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,744 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$1,032/yr (+$86/mo · 60.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,464
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$1,712
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,037
− Management
−$2,037
− HOA
−$1,776
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$3,633
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$872
After-tax cash flow
$1,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Coolbaugh

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
17,997

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 24% Two or more races 17% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Portuguese 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.36%
Current HPI
202.4134
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+192.6% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $239,900 PMAR
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $259,000 PMAR
  • 2025-09-29 Price Changed $239,000 PMAR
  • 2025-09-20 Price Changed $249,000 PMAR
  • 2025-08-29 Listed $259,000 PMAR
  • 2024-07-17 Price Changed $274,900 PMAR
  • 2024-06-14 Price Changed $275,000 PMAR
  • 2024-04-03 Listed $285,000 PMAR
  • 2009-06-04 Sold (MLS) $55,000 PMAR
  • 2008-11-25 Listed $64,900 PMAR
  • 2006-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $138,900 Public Records
  • 2006-05-15 Sold (MLS) $138,900 PMAR
  • 2006-03-08 Listed $138,900 PMAR
  • 2005-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,712 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…