211 Glenwood Dr · Dundee, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
JUST LIKE NEW! MINT CONDITION. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. INSIDE LAUNDRY RM. WONDERFUL PARK. $78 MONTHLY FEE INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, LAWN CARE, TRIMMING, COMMON AREA UPKEEP, HEATED POOL, CLUBHOUSE AND SHUFFLEBOARD. NEW A/C 2006.20X12 ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM HAS HEAT & AIR.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Eat in kitchen
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished; Directions provided to property
- Financial info: Total monthly fees $180; total annual fees $2,160; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $180; Association requires approval; Association amenities: cable TV, clubhouse, pool, recreational facilities; Association fee includes cable TV, pool, escrow reserves, internet, private road, recreational facilities, sewer, water; Community features: buyer approval required, clubhouse, deed restrictions, golf carts allowed, pool; Senior community; Pets allowed with limits (max ~25 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Has carport (1 space); Has attached garage
- Utilities: Private water; Private sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Clayton model; One story; Northeast facing; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built as double wide manufactured home
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Sprinkler (metered); Mature landscaping with trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Thermostat; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Blinds
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer; Dryer; Inside utility; Florida room (additional living space)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-260/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $136k (2.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#638 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Spook Hill Elementary School (math 28% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 584 students, 67% FRL); Mclaughlin Academy of Excellence (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #437 of 571 statewide, top 77%, 542 students, 68% FRL); Winter Haven Senior High School (math 26% / reading 38%, grade F, #415 of 667 statewide, top 63%, 2,467 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 501 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $140k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.37%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-23,871
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-21,833
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33898
- Home prices YoY
- -15.1%
- Active inventory
- 501
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,520 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,209/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$180
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $58 | -5% $18 | +0% $-22 | +5% $-61 | +10% $-101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-82 | +0% $-22 | +5% $38 | +10% $98 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $49 | -0.5pp $14 | base $-22 | +0.5pp $-58 | +1.0pp $-95 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 348 Gordon Ave Waverly, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,500 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $180 · $2,160/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewerlandscapingpool
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-03-05$139,900 Active
-
2008-04-14soldstatus $65,500
-
2008-04-10soldstatus $65,500 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
JUST LIKE NEW! MINT CONDITION. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. INSIDE LAUNDRY RM. WONDERFUL PARK. $78 MONTHLY FEE INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, LAWN CARE, TRIMMING, COMMON AREA UPKEEP, HEATED POOL, CLUBHOUSE AND SHUFFLEBOARD. NEW A/C 2006.20X12 ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM HAS HEAT & AIR.
-
2006-11-09$75,500 270-char remark
Show marketing remark (270 chars)
JUST LIKE NEW! MINT CONDITION. ALL APPLIANCES STAY. INSIDE LAUNDRY RM. WONDERFUL PARK. $78 MONTHLY FEE INCLUDES WATER, SEWER, LAWN CARE, TRIMMING, COMMON AREA UPKEEP, HEATED POOL, CLUBHOUSE AND SHUFFLEBOARD. NEW A/C 2006.20X12 ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM HAS HEAT & AIR.
-
2001-11-05soldstatus $11,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,209 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,209 · $184/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,240
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,209
- − Insurance
- −$1,497
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,459
- − Management
- −$1,459
- − HOA
- −$2,160
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable loss
- −$2,451
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$588
- After-tax cash flow
- $328/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dundee
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #638
- US rank
- #12542
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 740,051 people
- City population
- 5,431
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,527
- Household income
- $57,224
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 148.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 10% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.62%
- Current HPI
- 340.6056
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1171.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $65,500 Public Records
- 2008-04-10 Sold (MLS) $65,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-11-09 Listed $75,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,209 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…