104 Pollock St · Paden City, WV
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- Appreciation +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Motivated Seller! Cozy home on a large double lot centrally located. This home features 2 bedrooms, 1 bath and new flooring through out. This property will be a great started home or investment property. Call today for your private showing. All measurements are approximate.
Key facts
- New flooring
- Large double lot
- 8,712 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family ranch residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Window air conditioning units; Forced air heating (natural gas); 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($966/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (10.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $78k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#133 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Tyler County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #18 of 55 in WV (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (9.4% local appreciation)).
- Tyler County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 8→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.88%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $49,742
- Equity at exit
- $76,104
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.68×
- Total profit
- $141,511
- Equity at exit
- $159,972
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26159
- Home prices YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 12
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $798 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $551/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $81
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $89,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-05-08price $89,000
-
2026-02-05$95,000 Active
-
2025-11-07price $99,000
-
2025-02-24status Active
-
2024-12-09historical
-
2024-10-03price $108,000
-
2024-06-09$116,000 Active
-
2023-04-06soldstatus $92,500
-
2023-04-05soldstatus $92,500
-
2023-02-05$95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $551 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $551 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,573
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$551
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$766
- − Management
- −$766
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$529
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$127
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,093/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tyler County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401440
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,906
- Composite
- 29.17/100
- National rank
- #6576
- State rank
- #18 of 55 in WV
Livability — Paden City
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #13654
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paden City, WV
- City population
- 2,523
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,523
Population outlook (Tyler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 8,409 people
- By 2030
- 8,035 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 7,233 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 6,460 · -23.2%
- By 2075
- 4,823 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 3,342 · -60.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tyler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.4) · D 15.3% · R 82.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.0pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -67.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.4 2020: R+66.2 2016: R+68.0 2012: R+43.5 2008: R+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.37%
- Current HPI
- 179.1787
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-6.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $89,000 WBOR
- 2026-02-05 Listed $95,000 WBOR
- 2025-11-07 Price Changed $99,000 WBOR
- 2025-02-24 Relisted — WBOR
- 2024-12-09 Delisted — WBOR
- 2024-10-03 Price Changed $108,000 WBOR
- 2024-06-09 Listed $116,000 WBOR
- 2023-04-06 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
- 2023-04-05 Sold (MLS) $92,500 WBOR
- 2023-02-05 Listed $95,000 WBOR
Property tax history
+14.0%/yrLatest (2025): $551 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…