200 Byrd Dr #6 · Huntsville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.6/30.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Sanctuary at Green Mountain! Our Talus home has been SUPER popular with its cozy front porch fireplace, and we are excited to offer this one for sale - available today! Our homeowners love the open kitchen, natural light, and all the luxury finishes. Check out our website for FAQs and to schedule a visit to the community: SanctuaryatGreenMountain.com
Key facts
- Luxury finishes
- Natural light
- Open kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-511/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (7.3% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.8% in Huntsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#3 in AL, #1,082 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Madison County Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 412 students, 59% FRL); Madison County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #39 of 305 statewide, top 13%, 483 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 29% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 366 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 12% of the median local income ($123k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 293 days — a 12% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 293 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.15%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,845
- List price
- $84,900
- Delta
- -48.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.54% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-15,487
- Equity at exit
- $12,659
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-12,925
- Equity at exit
- $7,341
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35763
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 366
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,258 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$106 /mo · $1,274/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$450
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $-43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $16 | -5% $-13 | +0% $-43 | +5% $-72 | +10% $-101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-142 | -5% $-92 | +0% $-43 | +5% $7 | +10% $57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $0 | -0.5pp $-21 | base $-43 | +0.5pp $-65 | +1.0pp $-87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $450 · $5,400/yr
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,900 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,900 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 283 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 274 DOM
-
2025-08-29$84,900 Active 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Welcome to Sanctuary at Green Mountain! Our Talus home has been SUPER popular with its cozy front porch fireplace, and we are excited to offer this one for sale - available today! Our homeowners love the open kitchen, natural light, and all the luxury finishes. Check out our website for FAQs and to schedule a visit to the community: SanctuaryatGreenMountain.com
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,101
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$1,274
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − HOA
- −$5,400
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable loss
- −$1,639
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$393
- After-tax cash flow
- $-118/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This single-family home is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is ready for a new owner or tenant with minor maintenance items to address.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value
- Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Upgrading lighting can make the home more inviting and safer
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value ↑
- Rental Replace outdoor lighting — Upgrading lighting can make the home more inviting and safer ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can increase convenience and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Huntsville
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1082
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Madison County · 380,832 people
- City population
- 220,435
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,819
- Household income
- $123,497
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 73.0
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -10.43%
- Current HPI
- 281.0561
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- Metro
- Huntsville, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-08-29 Listed $84,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…