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19515 E Market
D+ Composite 49.07
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$208,000

19515 E Market · Mabank, TX 75147
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,289 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 2001 1.08 ac lot Est $204k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Recently refreshed and move-in ready, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and space on a full 1-acre lot. Inside, you'll find a spacious primary suite along with two additional guest bedrooms, plus an open-concept living area ideal for everyday living and entertaining. A second living area provides added flexibility and opens directly to a covered patio overlooking the large, fenced backyard. Complete with a storage building and convenient access to Hwy 175, this home delivers both functionality and location.

Key facts

  • Storage building
  • Full 1-acre lot
  • Covered patio

Tags

FULL 1-ACRE LOTOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREACOVERED PATIOLARGE FENCED BACKYARDSTORAGE BUILDINGCONVENIENT ACCESS TO HWY 175

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, USDA, and VA financing
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; Concrete parking
  • Utilities: City water; Aerobic septic; Co-op electric; All-weather road access; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property; One story; Built in 2001; Located in the Lawndale subdivision
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered front and rear porches; Covered patio; Storage; Wood fencing; Landscaped yard with few trees; Large backyard with grass; Utilities easement

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; High-speed internet available; Walk-in closet(s); Two living areas; One dining area; One level
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-798/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (5.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $172k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.1% in Mabank — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#446 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Mabank ISD (town): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #273 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Central El (math 48% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,133 of 4,322 statewide, top 27%, 675 students, 64% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 77% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $58k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 74% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $172,297 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.37%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,662
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19515 E Market 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,316 (+2%) 1mo $208,000 $158 96
115 Mcanally Dr 0.39mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-0%) 2mo $160,000 $124 78
116 Mcanally Dr 0.42mi 3/1.5 1,316 (+2%) 6mo $189,000 $144 70
111 Bexar St 0.31mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,401 (+9%) 4mo $289,900 $207 61
106 Mcanally Dr 0.43mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,316 (+2%) 11mo $194,500 $148 61
618 E Kempner St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,328 (+3%) 20mo $249,000 $188 60
205 N Canton St 0.52mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,321 (+2%) 11mo $265,000 $201 54
532 E Kempner St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,294 (+0%) 23mo $100,000 $77 48
510 E Kempner St 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,360 (+6%) 20mo $225,000 $165 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$118,175
Equity at exit
$187,383
10-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
7.42×
Total profit
$373,932
Equity at exit
$404,098

Cash invested: $58,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75147

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Rents YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
214
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,723 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,091
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $3,002/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$362
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,807
Max offer price $196,260
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $51 -5% $-8 +0% $-66 +5% $-125 +10% $-184
Rent -10% $-203 -5% $-135 +0% $-66 +5% $2 +10% $70
Rate -1.0pp $38 -0.5pp $-14 base $-66 +0.5pp $-120 +1.0pp $-175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,000
Closing costs
$6,240
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
471 Bobbie St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1571 $1,664 $1.06 44d 1 0.75mi
433 Shorty St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1571 $1,664 $1.06 44d 1 0.77mi
429 Shorty St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,499 $1.07 44d 1 0.79mi
427 Shorty St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1571 $1,664 $1.06 44d 1 0.80mi
430 Shorty St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1571 $1,614 $1.03 44d 1 0.80mi
425 Shorty St Mabank, TX 4.0 2.0 1788 $1,614 $0.90 44d 1 0.80mi
414 Shorty St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1405 $1,564 $1.11 44d 1 0.86mi
813 S Sutton St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1197 $1,399 $1.17 44d 1 0.89mi
18409 County Road 4001 Mabank, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0 1750 $1,725 $0.99 2d 16 1.18mi
2730 William St Mabank, TX 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,649 $0.97 44d 1 1.40mi
2503 Jax St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,695 $1.57 22d 1 1.43mi
2712 William St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1028 $1,440 $1.40 44d 1 1.48mi
2031 Clay St Mabank, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,314 $1.01 2d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Recently refreshed and move-in ready, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and space on a full 1-acre lot. Inside, you'll find a spacious primary suite along with two additional guest bedrooms, plus an open-concept living area ideal for everyday living and entertaining. A second living area provides added flexibility and opens directly to a covered patio overlooking the large, fenced backyard. Complete with a storage building and convenient access to Hwy 175, this home delivers both functionality and location.

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Recently refreshed and move-in ready, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and space on a full 1-acre lot. Inside, you'll find a spacious primary suite along with two additional guest bedrooms, plus an open-concept living area ideal for everyday living and entertaining. A second living area provides added flexibility and opens directly to a covered patio overlooking the large, fenced backyard. Complete with a storage building and convenient access to Hwy 175, this home delivers both functionality and location.

  3. 2026-04-29
    historical Active Option Contract
  4. 2026-04-21
    listed $208,000 Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Recently refreshed and move-in ready, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and space on a full 1-acre lot. Inside, you'll find a spacious primary suite along with two additional guest bedrooms, plus an open-concept living area ideal for everyday living and entertaining. A second living area provides added flexibility and opens directly to a covered patio overlooking the large, fenced backyard. Complete with a storage building and convenient access to Hwy 175, this home delivers both functionality and location.

  5. 2026-04-21
    listed $208,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Recently refreshed and move-in ready, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and space on a full 1-acre lot. Inside, you'll find a spacious primary suite along with two additional guest bedrooms, plus an open-concept living area ideal for everyday living and entertaining. A second living area provides added flexibility and opens directly to a covered patio overlooking the large, fenced backyard. Complete with a storage building and convenient access to Hwy 175, this home delivers both functionality and location.

  6. 2017-01-03
    soldstatus
  7. 2016-12-30
    soldstatus Sold 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    PSSST! I won't be available for long so be the first to see and the first to buy! No restrictions! One acre, 3-2 that has been recently refreshed! Bring the cow, horse, pig, chickens, build your workshop. .so much can happen here. Affordable, cute and clean. Ready to move in. (My current owners even installed an outdoor movie screen).

  8. 2016-12-05
    status Pending 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    PSSST! I won't be available for long so be the first to see and the first to buy! No restrictions! One acre, 3-2 that has been recently refreshed! Bring the cow, horse, pig, chickens, build your workshop. .so much can happen here. Affordable, cute and clean. Ready to move in. (My current owners even installed an outdoor movie screen).

  9. 2016-11-23
    historical Active Option Contract 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    PSSST! I won't be available for long so be the first to see and the first to buy! No restrictions! One acre, 3-2 that has been recently refreshed! Bring the cow, horse, pig, chickens, build your workshop. .so much can happen here. Affordable, cute and clean. Ready to move in. (My current owners even installed an outdoor movie screen).

  10. 2016-11-21
    listed $124,900 Active 336-char remark
    Show marketing remark (336 chars)

    PSSST! I won't be available for long so be the first to see and the first to buy! No restrictions! One acre, 3-2 that has been recently refreshed! Bring the cow, horse, pig, chickens, build your workshop. .so much can happen here. Affordable, cute and clean. Ready to move in. (My current owners even installed an outdoor movie screen).

  11. 2001-03-14
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,002 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,806 · $317/mo
Expected delta
+$804/yr (+$67/mo · 26.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 74% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,676
− Mortgage interest
−$11,651
− Property taxes
−$3,002
− Insurance
−$1,040
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,654
− Management
−$1,654
− Depreciation
−$6,051
Taxable loss
−$4,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,050
After-tax cash flow
$253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mabank ISD
NCES district ID
4828680
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$40,321
Composite
38.15/100
National rank
#4267
State rank
#273 of 826 in TX

Livability — Mabank

Score
69/100
State rank
#446
US rank
#9068

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Van Zandt County · 9,177 people
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,177
Household income
$56,940
Rent vs Own
36.9% rent · 63.1% own
Severe rent burden
279.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.14%
Current HPI
254.32
Rent YoY
▲ 8.13%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+66.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending HCBOR
  • 2026-05-07 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-29 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $208,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $208,000 HCBOR
  • 2017-01-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2016-12-30 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2016-12-05 Pending NTREIS
  • 2016-11-23 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2016-11-21 Listed $124,900 NTREIS
  • 2001-03-14 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,002 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…