3021 Avenue Z Unit 2L · New York, NY 11235

$258,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo public records · 31 Days on market

Built 1956 ↓ 22% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.8/30.0
• DSCR +9.8/10.0
• 1% rule +7.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

For sale one of the largest all in move in condition 2 bedroom apartments in American Park featuring 2 bedrooms, eat in kitchen plus dinette, large living room, plenty of closet space, new floors, kitchen, bath, extra windows, financially secure building, maint includes gas, electric, heat, taxes, satellite, next to transportation, Emmons Ave, stores, parks.

Key facts

• Large closet
• Stylish backsplash
• Close to elevator

Tags

• LARGE CLOSET
• TILED BATHROOM
• STYLISH BACKSPLASH
• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• CLOSE TO ELEVATOR
• EASY ACCESS TO BELT PARKWAY

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $258k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $258k).
• Recommended offer: $250k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 524 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,250/mo this rent would consume 65% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $72k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $250,260 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.26% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.94%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.03%
• DSCR: 1.58
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 3.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.15×
• Total profit: $10,809
• Equity at exit: $38,469

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.35×
• Total profit: $97,768
• Equity at exit: $22,307

Cash invested: $72,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11235

• Rents YoY: 5.0%
• Active inventory: 524
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,250 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,353
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$322 /mo · $3,870/yr
• Insurance: −$108
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$682
• Net cashflow: $718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,341

Max offer price $258,000

Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $896	-5% $807	+0% $718	+5% $629	+10% $540
Rent	-10% $461	-5% $589	+0% $718	+5% $846	+10% $975
Rate	-1.0pp $848	-0.5pp $783	base $718	+0.5pp $651	+1.0pp $583

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $64,500
• Closing costs: $7,740
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3112 Emmons Ave Unit 203 Brooklyn, NY	1.0	1.0	734	$3,200	$4.36	25d	1	0.43mi
3000 Emmons Ave Unit 5 Brooklyn, NY	2.0	2.0	840	$4,085	$4.86	25d	1	0.47mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: gaselectric
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-02-03
   status Pending
2. 2026-01-02
   listed $258,000 Active
3. 2025-09-03
   price $258,500
4. 2024-05-31
   price $259,000
5. 2024-03-02
   price $279,000
6. 2023-11-27
   price $299,000
7. 2021-04-06
   soldstatus $300,000 Sold 360-char remark

   Show marketing remark (360 chars)

   For sale one of the largest all in move in condition 2 bedroom apartments in American Park featuring 2 bedrooms, eat in kitchen plus dinette, large living room, plenty of closet space, new floors, kitchen, bath, extra windows, financially secure building, maint includes gas, electric, heat, taxes, satellite, next to transportation, Emmons Ave, stores, parks.

8. 2020-10-08
   status Pending 360-char remark

   Show marketing remark (360 chars)

   For sale one of the largest all in move in condition 2 bedroom apartments in American Park featuring 2 bedrooms, eat in kitchen plus dinette, large living room, plenty of closet space, new floors, kitchen, bath, extra windows, financially secure building, maint includes gas, electric, heat, taxes, satellite, next to transportation, Emmons Ave, stores, parks.

9. 2020-08-26
   listed $329,000 Active 360-char remark

   Show marketing remark (360 chars)

   For sale one of the largest all in move in condition 2 bedroom apartments in American Park featuring 2 bedrooms, eat in kitchen plus dinette, large living room, plenty of closet space, new floors, kitchen, bath, extra windows, financially secure building, maint includes gas, electric, heat, taxes, satellite, next to transportation, Emmons Ave, stores, parks.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,997
• − Mortgage interest: −$14,452
• − Property taxes: −$3,870
• − Insurance: −$2,088
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,120
• − Management: −$3,120
• − Depreciation: −$7,505
• Taxable income: $4,842
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,162
• After-tax cash flow: $7,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Kings County · 2,614,986 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 78,558
• Household income: $59,661
• Rent vs Own: 65.2% rent · 34.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 7823.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,847,441 people
• By 2030: 2,937,006 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 3,095,491 · +8.7%
• By 2050: 3,228,968 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 3,321,723 · +16.7%
• By 2100: 3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (67%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 67% Asian 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 15% Subsaharan African 12% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 63% · China, Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 24% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 48% Chinese 7% Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -181.73%
• Current HPI: 303.6714
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.04%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-21.6% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-03 Pending — BNYMLS
• 2026-01-02 Listed $258,000 BNYMLS
• 2025-09-03 Price Changed $258,500 BNYMLS
• 2024-05-31 Price Changed $259,000 BNYMLS
• 2024-03-02 Price Changed $279,000 BNYMLS
• 2023-11-27 Price Changed $299,000 BNYMLS
• 2021-04-06 Sold (MLS) $300,000 BNYMLS
• 2020-10-08 Pending — BNYMLS
• 2020-08-26 Listed $329,000 BNYMLS