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521 N 1st St
B- Composite 69.38
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

521 N 1st St · Lufkin, TX 75901
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,330 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1930 0.45 ac lot $34/sqft · 71% below area ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the endless possibilities in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on nearly half an acre in the heart of downtown Lufkin. With generous room sizes, this property offers a wealth of space for family life and entertaining. Step inside to find a charming layout featuring massive rooms that are just waiting for your personal touch. The oversized porch invites you to relax and unwind outdoors, providing ample space for gatherings or peaceful evenings watching the sunset.The island kitchen can easily be a chef’s dream, ready to be transformed into a modern culinary haven. With a little love and creativity, you can bring this home back to its former glory. Don't miss the opportunity to own a piece of this vibrant community! Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a homeowner eager to create your dream space, this property is bursting with potential. Schedule your showing today and let your imagination run wild!

Key facts

  • Oversized porch
  • Island kitchen
  • Charming layout

Tags

OVERSIZED PORCHISLAND KITCHENHALF AN ACRECHARMING LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $358 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 3.6% in Lufkin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#240 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Lufkin ISD (town): math 39% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #446 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 297 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.7% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,800 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
11.67%
Cash-on-cash
19.20%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$279,807
List price
$80,000
Delta
-71.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.3%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$10,015
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$38,730
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75901

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Active inventory
297
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,422 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$312 /mo · $3,745/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$358

Break-even live

Break-even rent $968
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    Discover the endless possibilities in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on nearly half an acre in the heart of downtown Lufkin. With generous room sizes, this property offers a wealth of space for family life and entertaining. Step inside to find a charming layout featuring massive rooms that are just waiting for your personal touch. The oversized porch invites you to relax and unwind outdoors, providing ample space for gatherings or peaceful evenings watching the sunset.The island kitchen can easily be a chef’s dream, ready to be transformed into a modern culinary haven. With a little love and creativity, you can bring this home back to its former glory. Don't miss the opportunity to own a piece of this vibrant community! Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a homeowner eager to create your dream space, this property is bursting with potential. Schedule your showing today and let your imagination run wild!

  2. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Discover the endless possibilities in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on nearly half an acre in the heart of downtown Lufkin. With generous room sizes, this property offers a wealth of space for family life and entertaining. Step inside to find a charming layout featuring massive rooms that are just waiting for your personal touch. The oversized porch invites you to relax and unwind outdoors, providing ample space for gatherings or peaceful evenings watching the sunset. The island kitchen can easily be a chef's dream, ready to be transformed into a modern culinary haven. With a little love and creativity, you can bring this home back to its former glory. Don't miss the opportunity to own a piece of this vibrant community! Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a homeowner eager to create your dream space, this property is bursting with potential. Schedule your showing today and let your imagination run wild!

  3. 2026-05-04
    price $80,000 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    Discover the endless possibilities in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on nearly half an acre in the heart of downtown Lufkin. With generous room sizes, this property offers a wealth of space for family life and entertaining. Step inside to find a charming layout featuring massive rooms that are just waiting for your personal touch. The oversized porch invites you to relax and unwind outdoors, providing ample space for gatherings or peaceful evenings watching the sunset.The island kitchen can easily be a chef’s dream, ready to be transformed into a modern culinary haven. With a little love and creativity, you can bring this home back to its former glory. Don't miss the opportunity to own a piece of this vibrant community! Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a homeowner eager to create your dream space, this property is bursting with potential. Schedule your showing today and let your imagination run wild!

  4. 2026-04-28
    price $80,000 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Discover the endless possibilities in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on nearly half an acre in the heart of downtown Lufkin. With generous room sizes, this property offers a wealth of space for family life and entertaining. Step inside to find a charming layout featuring massive rooms that are just waiting for your personal touch. The oversized porch invites you to relax and unwind outdoors, providing ample space for gatherings or peaceful evenings watching the sunset. The island kitchen can easily be a chef's dream, ready to be transformed into a modern culinary haven. With a little love and creativity, you can bring this home back to its former glory. Don't miss the opportunity to own a piece of this vibrant community! Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a homeowner eager to create your dream space, this property is bursting with potential. Schedule your showing today and let your imagination run wild!

  5. 2026-01-22
    listed $110,000 Active 953-char remark
    Show marketing remark (953 chars)

    Discover the endless possibilities in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on nearly half an acre in the heart of downtown Lufkin. With generous room sizes, this property offers a wealth of space for family life and entertaining. Step inside to find a charming layout featuring massive rooms that are just waiting for your personal touch. The oversized porch invites you to relax and unwind outdoors, providing ample space for gatherings or peaceful evenings watching the sunset.The island kitchen can easily be a chef’s dream, ready to be transformed into a modern culinary haven. With a little love and creativity, you can bring this home back to its former glory. Don't miss the opportunity to own a piece of this vibrant community! Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a homeowner eager to create your dream space, this property is bursting with potential. Schedule your showing today and let your imagination run wild!

  6. 2025-09-20
    listed $110,000 Active 948-char remark
    Show marketing remark (948 chars)

    Discover the endless possibilities in this spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on nearly half an acre in the heart of downtown Lufkin. With generous room sizes, this property offers a wealth of space for family life and entertaining. Step inside to find a charming layout featuring massive rooms that are just waiting for your personal touch. The oversized porch invites you to relax and unwind outdoors, providing ample space for gatherings or peaceful evenings watching the sunset. The island kitchen can easily be a chef's dream, ready to be transformed into a modern culinary haven. With a little love and creativity, you can bring this home back to its former glory. Don't miss the opportunity to own a piece of this vibrant community! Whether you're an investor looking for a project or a homeowner eager to create your dream space, this property is bursting with potential. Schedule your showing today and let your imagination run wild!

  7. 1986-06-17
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,745 · $312/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,745 · $312/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,063
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$3,745
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,365
− Management
−$1,365
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable income
$3,380
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$811
After-tax cash flow
$3,490/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lufkin ISD
NCES district ID
4828550
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$41,009
Composite
32.81/100
National rank
#5625
State rank
#446 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lufkin

Score
72/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#5792

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lufkin, TX
County
Angelina County · 62,696 people
City population
62,696
Metro
Lufkin, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,234
Household income
$62,966
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
930.0

Population outlook (Angelina County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
90,174 people
By 2030
90,697 · +0.6%
By 2040
91,291 · +1.2%
By 2050
91,168 · +1.1%
By 2075
88,961 · -1.3%
By 2100
80,590 · -10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 21% Black 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 28%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 25% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Angelina

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.0) · D 23.7% · R 75.7%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.0pp · 2024: -52.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.0 2020: R+46.1 2016: R+47.3 2012: R+43.9 2008: R+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -47.13%
Current HPI
232.6282
Rent YoY
Metro
Lufkin, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-07 Pending Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $80,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $80,000 Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-09-20 Listed $110,000 Deep East Texas MLS
  • 1986-06-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,745 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…