133 W 1st St · Ceredo, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$78,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
There is something special about a home that still holds its character. From the moment you step inside, the details stand out hardwood floors and custom built-ins that anchors the main living space. These are the kinds of features that reflect a level of craftsmanship not often found today. The main living area offers generous space and flexibility, providing multiple options for layout and use. Just beyond, the kitchen presents a functional footprint with room for updates, allowing the next owner to bring their own design and improvements over time. Upstairs, you'll find well-sized rooms and a full bath, offering practical separation of space and a layout suited for a variety of needs. Na
Key facts
- Main living area
- Well-sized rooms
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached off-street garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot
Interior
- Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate and carpet flooring; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#18 in WV, #2,195 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
- Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1884 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1884 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.40%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $192,984
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 138 2nd Street St W | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (+1%) | 24mo | $160,000 | $106 | 68 |
| 135 Park Ter | 0.26mi | 2/2.0 | 1,457 (-3%) | 19mo | $195,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 772 1st Street West | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,389 (-7%) | 9mo | $84,900 | $61 | 60 |
| 304 High Street West St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-13%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $131 | 46 |
| 148 B St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+11%) | 24mo | $215,000 | $129 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $35,844
- Equity at exit
- $41,742
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.22×
- Total profit
- $92,116
- Equity at exit
- $70,084
Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25507
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,071 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$409
- Tax from tax record
- −$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,500
- Closing costs
- $2,340
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending
-
2026-05-07status Active
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-23$78,000 Active
-
2018-04-05soldstatus $55,000
-
2014-01-13soldstatus $55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,050 · $88/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,050 · $88/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,369
- − Property taxes
- −$1,050
- − Insurance
- −$390
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,028
- − Management
- −$1,028
- − Depreciation
- −$2,269
- Taxable income
- $2,712
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$651
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401500
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,283
- Composite
- 26.08/100
- National rank
- #7297
- State rank
- #25 of 55 in WV
Livability — Ceredo
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #18
- US rank
- #2195
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ceredo, WV
- City population
- 1,180
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,180
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,267 people
- By 2030
- 36,578 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · -13.7%
- By 2050
- 29,671 · -22.5%
- By 2075
- 22,901 · -40.2%
- By 2100
- 17,421 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Korean 5% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.4% · R 75.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.48%
- Current HPI
- 131.4003
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+41.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — HBRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — HBRMLS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $78,000 HBRMLS
- 2018-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2014-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,050 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…