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133 W 1st St
B+ Composite 75.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$78,000

133 W 1st St · Ceredo, WV 25507
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,496 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1884 4,792 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

There is something special about a home that still holds its character. From the moment you step inside, the details stand out hardwood floors and custom built-ins that anchors the main living space. These are the kinds of features that reflect a level of craftsmanship not often found today. The main living area offers generous space and flexibility, providing multiple options for layout and use. Just beyond, the kitchen presents a functional footprint with room for updates, allowing the next owner to bring their own design and improvements over time. Upstairs, you'll find well-sized rooms and a full bath, offering practical separation of space and a layout suited for a variety of needs. Na

Key facts

  • Main living area
  • Well-sized rooms
  • Natural light

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCUSTOM BUILT-INSMAIN LIVING AREAWELL-SIZED ROOMSFULL BATHNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached off-street garage with 2 spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 2 stories
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Laminate and carpet flooring; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#18 in WV, #2,195 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.5% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1884 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1884 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
11.16%
Cash-on-cash
17.40%
DSCR
1.77
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,984
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
138 2nd Street St W 0.03mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+1%) 24mo $160,000 $106 68
135 Park Ter 0.26mi 2/2.0 1,457 (-3%) 19mo $195,000 $134 63
772 1st Street West 0.44mi 2/1.0 1,389 (-7%) 9mo $84,900 $61 60
304 High Street West St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (-13%) 8mo $170,000 $131 46
148 B St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,664 (+11%) 24mo $215,000 $129 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$35,844
Equity at exit
$41,742
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
5.22×
Total profit
$92,116
Equity at exit
$70,084

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25507

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,071 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$225
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $670
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-07
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  4. 2026-04-23
    listed $78,000 Active
  5. 2018-04-05
    soldstatus $55,000
  6. 2014-01-13
    soldstatus $55,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,050 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,050 · $88/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,847
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,028
− Management
−$1,028
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$2,712
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$651
After-tax cash flow
$3,149/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayne County Schools
NCES district ID
5401500
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$36,283
Composite
26.08/100
National rank
#7297
State rank
#25 of 55 in WV

Livability — Ceredo

Score
79/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2195

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ceredo, WV
City population
1,180
Population (ZIP)
1,180

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,267 people
By 2030
36,578 · -4.4%
By 2040
33,034 · -13.7%
By 2050
29,671 · -22.5%
By 2075
22,901 · -40.2%
By 2100
17,421 · -54.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Languages at home
94% English-only · Korean 5% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.4% · R 75.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-35.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -53.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+18.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.48%
Current HPI
131.4003
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+41.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending HBRMLS
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted HBRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Pending HBRMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $78,000 HBRMLS
  • 2018-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2014-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,050 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…