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24 4th Ave S
C+ Composite 63.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

24 4th Ave S · Algona, WA 98001
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,848 sqft · Manufactured · 43 Days on market
Built 1979 6,970 sqft lot Est $320k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks in the heart of Algona! Positioned on a Mixed Use Commercial-zoned lot, this property offers exceptional flexibility for investors, builders, and buyers seeking a value-add project. The existing 1979 Bonprix doublewide manufactured home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional footprint ready for renovation, repositioning, or replacement. Bring your vision and unlock the full potential—whether you’re looking to renovate for resale, create a long-term rental, or explore redevelopment options in a growing corridor. The mixed-use zoning opens the door to a variety of possibilities (buyer to verify), making this a rare chance to blend residential and

Key facts

  • 6,970 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1979

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported as 1,848 sq ft; Lot approx. 0.16 acre (approx. 85' x 80'); Lot number 2
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or rehab loan

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 uncovered parking spaces; Driveway and off-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Algona); Sewer connected (City of Algona); Power by Puget Sound Energy; Electric water heater located in utility room
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide, manufactured on land); One story; Main entry; Faces southeast; Property condition: fixer; Zoned mixed use commercial; Corner lot on a dead-end street, paved; value in land
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Make: Bonprix
  • Exterior features: Deck; Outbuildings; Brush and garden space

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom (main level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level); 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: No central heating listed; No cooling listed
  • Interior features: Dining room; Fireplace; Water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
  • Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#140 in WA, #2,781 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living D.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Alpac Elementary School (636 students, 67% FRL); Auburn Riverside High School (1,909 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $300k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $291,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.75%
Cash-on-cash
8.78%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$319,704
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
415 4th Ave N 0.67mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,848 (0%) 1mo $320,000 $173 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.53% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-7,723
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$50,875
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98001

Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
184
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$264 /mo · $3,162/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$685
Net cashflow
$615

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,483
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $785 -5% $700 +0% $615 +5% $530 +10% $445
Rent -10% $357 -5% $486 +0% $615 +5% $744 +10% $873
Rate -1.0pp $766 -0.5pp $691 base $615 +0.5pp $537 +1.0pp $458

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
110 2nd Ave S Algona, WA 3.0 2.0 1530 $3,600 $2.35 0d 1 0.18mi
131 Elise Ct Unit NA Pacific, WA 3.0 2.0 1668 $3,000 $1.80 0d 1 0.52mi
102 Hawthorne Ave S Pacific, WA 3.0 1.0 1285 $2,950 $2.30 0d 1 0.82mi
404 4th Ave SE Pacific, WA 3.0 2.0 2006 $3,600 $1.79 0d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-26
    listed $300,000 Active
  3. 1993-06-15
    soldstatus $82,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,162 · $264/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,162 · $264/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 53% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$39,139
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$3,162
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,131
− Management
−$3,131
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable income
$2,682
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$644
After-tax cash flow
$6,735/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Algona

Score
78/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#2781

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living D Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Algona, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,460
Household income
$106,791
Rent vs Own
26.1% rent · 73.9% own
Severe rent burden
573.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Subsaharan African 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
28% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Korean 4%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -616.80%
Current HPI
303.2883
Rent YoY
▲ 3.53%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+263.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $300,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,162 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…