24 4th Ave S · Algona, WA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.53%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- ARV discount +10.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Algona! Positioned on a Mixed Use Commercial-zoned lot, this property offers exceptional flexibility for investors, builders, and buyers seeking a value-add project. The existing 1979 Bonprix doublewide manufactured home features 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms with a functional footprint ready for renovation, repositioning, or replacement. Bring your vision and unlock the full potential—whether you’re looking to renovate for resale, create a long-term rental, or explore redevelopment options in a growing corridor. The mixed-use zoning opens the door to a variety of possibilities (buyer to verify), making this a rare chance to blend residential and
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1979
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,848 sq ft; Lot approx. 0.16 acre (approx. 85' x 80'); Lot number 2
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or rehab loan
Exterior
- Parking: 2 uncovered parking spaces; Driveway and off-street parking
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water (City of Algona); Sewer connected (City of Algona); Power by Puget Sound Energy; Electric water heater located in utility room
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide, manufactured on land); One story; Main entry; Faces southeast; Property condition: fixer; Zoned mixed use commercial; Corner lot on a dead-end street, paved; value in land
- Construction: Metal/vinyl exterior; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Make: Bonprix
- Exterior features: Deck; Outbuildings; Brush and garden space
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom (main level)
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level); 2 bathtubs; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: No central heating listed; No cooling listed
- Interior features: Dining room; Fireplace; Water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $615 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
- Recommended offer: $291k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#140 in WA, #2,781 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living D.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Alpac Elementary School (636 students, 67% FRL); Auburn Riverside High School (1,909 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 184 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $300k implies a 264% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.78%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $319,704
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 4th Ave N | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,848 (0%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $173 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-7,723
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $50,875
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98001
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$264 /mo · $3,162/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$685
- Net cashflow
- $615
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $785 | -5% $700 | +0% $615 | +5% $530 | +10% $445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $357 | -5% $486 | +0% $615 | +5% $744 | +10% $873 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $766 | -0.5pp $691 | base $615 | +0.5pp $537 | +1.0pp $458 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 2nd Ave S Algona, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $3,600 | $2.35 | 0d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 131 Elise Ct Unit NA Pacific, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $3,000 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 102 Hawthorne Ave S Pacific, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $2,950 | $2.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 404 4th Ave SE Pacific, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2006 | $3,600 | $1.79 | 0d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-03-26$300,000 Active
-
1993-06-15soldstatus $82,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,162 · $264/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,162 · $264/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 53% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$3,162
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,131
- − Management
- −$3,131
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable income
- $2,682
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$644
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,735/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Algona
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #140
- US rank
- #2781
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Algona, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,460
- Household income
- $106,791
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Asian 17% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Subsaharan African 5% Portuguese 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 28% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 12% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Korean 4%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -616.80%
- Current HPI
- 303.2883
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.53%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+263.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Listed $300,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,162 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…