2795 2795 Glade Creek Rd · Mayland, TN
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$134,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Affordable Tennessee Land & Home! 3.12 Acres - Priced to Sell! Looking for land with a home already in place? This 3.12-acre tract offers immense value with a 1200 sq ft single-wide ready for your finishing touches. This is the perfect opportunity for an investment property, a DIY enthusiast, or someone seeking an affordable starter home.
Key facts
- 3.12 acres
- Investment property
- 3.12 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property considered residential; Approximately 3.12 acres
Exterior
- Parking: No designated parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Circuit breaker electric service; Natural gas available
- Home design: Manufactured home on land; One story
- Construction: Frame construction with metal siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Creek on the property; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric range; Range hood
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling with no fireplace; Porch entry (covered)
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $134k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($994/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
- Recommended offer: $130k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 0.8% in Mayland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Putnam County (town): math 32% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #49 of 139 in TN (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 354 active listings in the ZIP; 700 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $288 of equity ($930 loan paydown + $-642 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
- Putnam County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.76%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $163,840
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3478 Glade Creek Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 968 (-6%) | 13mo | $155,000 | $160 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,589
- Equity at exit
- $35,874
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $19,997
- Equity at exit
- $40,659
Cash invested: $37,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38583
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 354
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$705
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$168 /mo · $2,018/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,625
- Closing costs
- $4,035
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $134,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $134,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $134,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $134,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $134,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$134,500 Active 346-char remark
-
2025-11-11price $169,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,386
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,534
- − Property taxes
- −$2,018
- − Insurance
- −$1,470
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$3,913
- Taxable loss
- −$1,170
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$281
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-wide manufactured home requires moderate repairs to its exterior and siding, but has a good interior and new flooring. Painting and repairing the exterior would significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior siding — Significant wear and tear
- Major exterior paint — Visible peeling and fading
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both repair exterior siding — Improves structural integrity and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Significant wear and tear | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior paint · Visible peeling and fading | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — Improves structural integrity and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Putnam County
- NCES district ID
- 4703480
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,738
- Composite
- 26.09/100
- National rank
- #7291
- State rank
- #49 of 139 in TN
Livability — Mayland
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,739
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,122 people
- By 2030
- 82,798 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 87,913 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 92,659 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 104,965 · +31.0%
- By 2100
- 113,256 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.7% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -47.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.4 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+37.1 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.48%
- Current HPI
- 357.041
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-20.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $134,500 UCMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $169,000 UCMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…