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305 Grandview Ave
C+ Composite 62.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

305 Grandview Ave · Mingo Junction, OH 43938
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,618 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 326 Days on market
Built 1905 9,147 sqft lot $56/sqft · 32% above area Est $68k · 32% over ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming home is a diamond in the rough, eagerly awaiting your personal touch to restore its former glory. Featuring a spacious layout with three bedrooms, it offers ample living space for families or those who love to entertain. The large yard provides endless possibilities for outdoor activities or gardening, while the detached garage adds convenience and extra storage. Embrace the opportunity, call today for a showing!

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Detached garage
  • 9,147 sq ft lot

Tags

LARGE YARDDETACHED GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $459 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#381 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: commute D, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Indian Creek Local (suburban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #455 of 656 in OH (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Indian Creek High School (math 27% / reading 62%, grade F, #470 of 781 statewide, top 62%, 572 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 326 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 326 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
12.41%
Cash-on-cash
21.84%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$68,364
List price
$90,000
Delta
31.65%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
224 Shamrock Ave 0.04mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,465 (-10%) 1mo $39,900 $27 77
207 Summit Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-1%) 6mo $105,000 $66 74
111 Western Ave 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,536 (-5%) 14mo $25,000 $16 74
368 Mclister Ave 0.17mi 3/1.5 1,664 (+3%) 17mo $90,000 $54 72
206 Benita Dr 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,624 (+0%) 6mo $195,000 $120 62
107 Fairview Way 0.25mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,596 (-1%) 22mo $130,000 $81 61
120 Brian St 0.70mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,805 (+12%) 4mo $291,000 $161 32
124 Valuska Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,840 (+14%) 24mo $268,125 $146 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$14,610
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
23.2%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$50,268
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43938

Home prices YoY
-6.0%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,294 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$54 /mo · $647/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$459

Break-even live

Break-even rent $713
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $510 -5% $484 +0% $459 +5% $433 +10% $408
Rent -10% $356 -5% $408 +0% $459 +5% $510 +10% $561
Rate -1.0pp $504 -0.5pp $482 base $459 +0.5pp $435 +1.0pp $412

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $90,000 Active 326 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 324 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 323 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 322 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $90,000 Active 321 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 320 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 318 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $90,000 Active 317 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 314 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 313 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $90,000 Active 312 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $90,000 Active 308 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $90,000 Active 307 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $90,000 Active 306 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 305 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $90,000 Active 304 DOM
  17. 2025-09-24
    status Active 430-char remark
    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    This charming home is a diamond in the rough, eagerly awaiting your personal touch to restore its former glory. Featuring a spacious layout with three bedrooms, it offers ample living space for families or those who love to entertain. The large yard provides endless possibilities for outdoor activities or gardening, while the detached garage adds convenience and extra storage. Embrace the opportunity, call today for a showing!

  18. 2025-09-04
    historical Contingent 430-char remark
    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    This charming home is a diamond in the rough, eagerly awaiting your personal touch to restore its former glory. Featuring a spacious layout with three bedrooms, it offers ample living space for families or those who love to entertain. The large yard provides endless possibilities for outdoor activities or gardening, while the detached garage adds convenience and extra storage. Embrace the opportunity, call today for a showing!

  19. 2025-08-26
    price $90,000 430-char remark
    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    This charming home is a diamond in the rough, eagerly awaiting your personal touch to restore its former glory. Featuring a spacious layout with three bedrooms, it offers ample living space for families or those who love to entertain. The large yard provides endless possibilities for outdoor activities or gardening, while the detached garage adds convenience and extra storage. Embrace the opportunity, call today for a showing!

  20. 2025-07-30
    listed $100,000 Active 430-char remark
    Show marketing remark (430 chars)

    This charming home is a diamond in the rough, eagerly awaiting your personal touch to restore its former glory. Featuring a spacious layout with three bedrooms, it offers ample living space for families or those who love to entertain. The large yard provides endless possibilities for outdoor activities or gardening, while the detached garage adds convenience and extra storage. Embrace the opportunity, call today for a showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$647 · $54/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,026 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$378/yr (+$32/mo · 58.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,524
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$647
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,242
− Management
−$1,242
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$4,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,028
After-tax cash flow
$4,475/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian Creek Local
NCES district ID
3904780
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,695
Composite
41.39/100
National rank
#3483
State rank
#455 of 656 in OH

Livability — Mingo Junction

Score
72/100
State rank
#381
US rank
#6170

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mingo Junction, OH
County
Jefferson · 64,369 people
Metro
Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH
Population (ZIP)
5,448
Household income
$57,453
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
11.2

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,481 people
By 2030
61,067 · -3.8%
By 2040
55,860 · -12.0%
By 2050
51,236 · -19.3%
By 2075
41,804 · -34.1%
By 2100
32,344 · -49.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.9) · D 27.5% · R 71.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-44.1pp toward R · 2008: 0.2pp · 2024: -43.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.9 2020: R+38.4 2016: R+35.7 2012: R+5.5 2008: D+0.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.44%
Current HPI
179.3725
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-24 Relisted MLSNOW
  • 2025-09-04 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2025-08-26 Price Changed $90,000 MLSNOW
  • 2025-07-30 Listed $100,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+28.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $647 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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