1121 Fayette St · Portsmouth, VA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.29%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment with immediate income potential OR with a little TLC, this all-brick townhome could be the perfect place to call home. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and approx. 1320 sq ft. this townhome provides comfortable living space, and a nice sized-yard. Opportunity is knocking call to schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1990
- Listed 71 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.6% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#172 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, commute F.
- Portsmouth City Public School District (urban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #107 of 131 in VA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 300 units permitted in Portsmouth city in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,875/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1727% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.3% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.72%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $211,862
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -19.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $77
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $37,181
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23704
- Home prices YoY
- -4.6%
- Rents YoY
- 3.3%
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,875 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$94 /mo · $1,128/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$394
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 Elm Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2215 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1628 | $2,150 | $1.32 | 7d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2111 Atlanta Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,395 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 1802 Atlanta Ave Unit 2 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 818 Coolidge St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1230 | $2,100 | $1.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2756 Peach St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1040 | $1,495 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1314 Summit Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $1,750 | $1.52 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1915 Lansing Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,675 | $1.54 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1915 Des Moines Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,700 | $1.59 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1508 Richmond Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,000 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1440 Lasalle Ave Portsmouth, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1493 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2906 Chestnut St Unit 1328007P Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 947 | $4,650 | $4.91 | 7d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1409 Wilcox Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,500 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1416 Richmond Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2810 Roanoke Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 548 Madison St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,349 | $1.50 | 16d | 3 | 0.62mi |
| 548 Madison St Unit 542-21-C Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,349 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2304 Nashville Ave Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1226 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1321 Columbia St Unit 1533640P Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1582 | $5,609 | $3.55 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1447 Talley Cir Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1440 | $2,000 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 20149 County St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1738 | $2,400 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Unit 231 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,275 | $1.21 | 10d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 231 Edison Ave Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,275 | $1.16 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 622 Effingham St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1027 | $1,797 | $1.75 | 23d | 2 | 0.89mi |
| 533 Columbia St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1110 | $1,495 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1100 High St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1003 | $1,545 | $1.54 | 3d | 5 | 0.92mi |
| 714 King St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 935 | $1,899 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 605 Dinwiddie St Unit B Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1914 King St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1332 | $2,200 | $1.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1140 London Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $1,902 | $1.87 | 3d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 213 Beacon Rd Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,300 | $1.80 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 414 London St Unit 3 Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 10d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3317 Downes St Portsmouth, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,995 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 111 High St #409 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1078 | $2,500 | $2.32 | 7d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 70 Manly St Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2715 Portsmouth Blvd Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1428 | $1,425 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3724 Deep Creek Blvd Unit 3754 Portsmouth, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $170,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$170,000 Active 329-char remark
Show marketing remark (329 chars)
Great investment with immediate income potential OR with a little TLC, this all-brick townhome could be the perfect place to call home. Offering 3 bedrooms, 1.5 bathrooms, and approx. 1320 sq ft. this townhome provides comfortable living space, and a nice sized-yard. Opportunity is knocking call to schedule your showing today.
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-09-29price $170,000
-
2025-09-12price $175,000
-
2025-08-14price $180,000
-
2025-06-26$190,000 Active
-
2022-05-27soldstatus $115,000
-
2016-01-05soldstatus $60,000
-
2005-07-29soldstatus $69,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,128 · $94/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,394 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$266/yr (+$22/mo · 23.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 29% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,505
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,128
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,800
- − Management
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $2,458
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$590
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,513/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Portsmouth City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103000
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -40.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,152
- Composite
- 39.01/100
- National rank
- #4071
- State rank
- #107 of 131 in VA
Livability — Portsmouth
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #5381
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Portsmouth, VA
- County
- Portsmouth City · 96,366 people
- City population
- 96,366
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,207
- Household income
- $49,583
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1727.0
Population outlook (Portsmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,730 people
- By 2030
- 96,760 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 96,573 · -0.2%
- By 2050
- 95,606 · -1.2%
- By 2075
- 93,579 · -3.3%
- By 2100
- 83,756 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Portsmouth
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.6) · D 68.6% · R 30.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.7pp no change · 2008: 39.3pp · 2024: 38.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.6 2020: D+40.8 2016: D+36.5 2012: D+39.6 2008: D+39.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.69%
- Current HPI
- 322.7335
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.31%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+144.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $170,000 REINMLS
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2025-09-29 Price Changed $170,000 REINMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $175,000 REINMLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $180,000 REINMLS
- 2025-06-26 Listed $190,000 REINMLS
- 2022-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,128 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…