CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
644 Briar Rd
B- Composite 65.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

644 Briar Rd · Wauconda, IL 60084
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,284 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1964 0.25 ac lot Est $281k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained 1964 Ranch home - 3BR 1BA home, FULL basement (36x25), 2 car att. garage sits on Corner lot. The home needs updating, not touched in several years. Sliding glass doors off kitchen and living room to concrete patio. Wood floor in the Living Room. Wood floors under carpet. Wood burning fireplace. Near Route 176 & Route 12. EZ on/off. Great location!! The roof was fully torn off and replaced in 2019, offering peace of mind for years to come. Gutters and downspouts are installed by Leafguard with a transferable warranty for the new owner. The home features a furnace installed in 2015 that has been professionally serviced annually, along with a newer garage furnace (2025) t

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1964

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $215k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.8% in Wauconda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#625 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Wauconda CUSD 118 (suburban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #267 of 620 in IL (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Robert Crown School (math 28% / reading 28%, grade F, #736 of 2,056 statewide, top 36%, 859 students, 0% FRL); Matthews Middle School (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #405 of 665 statewide, top 61%, 510 students, 0% FRL); Wauconda High School (math 25% / reading 33%, grade F, #210 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 1,460 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $89k; list at $215k implies a 142% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Recommended offer $215,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.58%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$281,196
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
644 Briar Rd 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,284 (0%) 0mo $225,000 $175 100
470 Oakwood Rd 0.33mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+1%) 5mo $285,000 $219 79
672 Minerva Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+1%) 19mo $245,000 $188 68
390 Willow Rd 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+1%) 12mo $279,900 $215 68
507 Indian Ridge Trl 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+1%) 14mo $375,000 $288 66
511 Indian Ridge Trl 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,458 (+14%) 13mo $351,000 $241 52
415 Oakwood Rd 0.40mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,150 (-10%) 22mo $250,000 $217 39
220 Lewis Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,156 (-10%) 13mo $275,000 $238 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-7,273
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.49×
Total profit
$29,616
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60084

Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,678 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$469 /mo · $5,623/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$562
Net cashflow
$430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,134
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
235 Regency Ct Unit c Wauconda, IL 3.0 2.5 1785 $2,745 $1.54 43d 1 0.52mi
225 Regency Ct Unit C Wauconda, IL 3.0 2.5 1786 $2,900 $1.62 3d 1 0.53mi
225 Regency Ct Wauconda, IL 3.0 2.0 1786 $2,900 $1.62 12d 1 0.53mi
139 North Ave Wauconda, IL 3.0 1.5 1050 $2,150 $2.05 43d 1 0.75mi
608 Sheridan Dr Wauconda, IL 3.0 2.0 1008 $2,355 $2.34 7d 1 1.30mi
913 Madison Ave Wauconda, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,800 $2.33 18d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-09
    historical
  3. 1988-06-01
    soldstatus $88,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,623 · $469/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,623 · $469/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,141
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$5,623
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,571
− Management
−$2,571
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable income
$2,002
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$480
After-tax cash flow
$4,683/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wauconda CUSD 118
NCES district ID
1741190
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$72,358
Composite
24.59/100
National rank
#7635
State rank
#267 of 620 in IL

Livability — Wauconda

Score
65/100
State rank
#625
US rank
#12780

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wauconda, IL
Population (ZIP)
17,267

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
700,217 people
By 2030
693,290 · -1.0%
By 2040
673,588 · -3.8%
By 2050
643,556 · -8.1%
By 2075
562,792 · -19.6%
By 2100
457,715 · -34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 15% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -120.30%
Current HPI
204.0309
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1988-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $88,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $5,623 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…