3247 Wren Brook Dr · New Braunfels, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$188,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this inviting 4 bedroom, 2.5 bathroom two story home located in an established New Braunfels neighborhood with easy access to IH35. Inside, you'll find a spacious living room that opens to a nicely sized dining area, creating a comfortable flow for everyday living. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, a large walk-in pantry, and the convenience of a downstairs laundry room. Step outside to a surprisingly large backyard for the neighborhood - perfect for gatherings, play, or gardening - complete with a back patio, rose bushes, and mature trees. A long front porch adds charm and curb appeal. The heating and A/C system was updated in Summer 2025, offering peace of mind. Located i
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Ample cabinet space
- Large walk-in pantry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA fee $82.50 paid quarterly; Association transfer fee $200; Neighborhood park/playground
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Water service: NBU; Sewer service: NBU; Electricity provider: NBU; Garbage service: NBU; Water system and sewer system
- Home design: Pre-owned single-family home; Approximate age: 20 years; Subdivision: Quail Valley
- Construction: Cement fiber exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built by DR Horton
- Exterior features: Patio slab; Privacy fence; Double pane windows; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Stove/Range; Refrigerator; Walk-in pantry; Kitchen dimensions: 9 x 8
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level with walk-in closet, ceiling fan, and full bath; Second bedroom: 9 x 10; Third bedroom: 11 x 10; Fourth bedroom: 11 x 10; Master bedroom dimensions: 13 x 12
- Flooring: Ceramic tile flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom; Master bath with tub/shower combination and single vanity; Master bath dimensions: 8 x 6
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (1 unit)
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Smoke alarm; Electric water heater; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Living/dining room combination; Walk-in pantry; Utility room inside; Laundry room (main level); Washer and dryer connections; Custom cabinets; Cable TV available; High speed internet; Some window coverings remain; City garbage service
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry on main level; Utility room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $182k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.3% in New Braunfels — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in TX, #925 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Comal ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #58 of 826 in TX (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oak Creek El (math 53% / reading 57%, grade C, #602 of 4,322 statewide, top 14%, 765 students, 37% FRL); Church Hill Middle (math 64% / reading 60%, grade B+, #134 of 1,662 statewide, top 8%, 748 students, 29% FRL); Canyon H S (math 59% / reading 65%, grade B-, #237 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,348 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 1931 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,420 units permitted in Comal County in 2024 (1,164 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comal County population projected at +70% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.51%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,532
- List price
- $188,000
- Delta
- -28.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3229 Swallow Pointe | 0.07mi | 4/2.5 | 1,665 (0%) | 1mo | $269,000 | $162 | 94 |
| 3324 Falcon Grv | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,644 (-1%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $140 | 71 |
| 640 NW Crossing | 0.26mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,574 (-6%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $137 | 71 |
| 348 Ibis Fls | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,535 (-8%) | 2mo | $266,000 | $173 | 68 |
| 3250 Morning Quail | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,781 (+7%) | 4mo | $268,000 | $150 | 67 |
| 219 Starling | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,608 (-3%) | 5mo | $239,999 | $149 | 63 |
| 2926 Oak Branch Rdg | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,610 (-3%) | 1mo | $268,475 | $167 | 62 |
| 144 Crane Crst | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,766 (+6%) | 5mo | $249,000 | $141 | 59 |
| 637 Northhill Cir | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,460 (-12%) | 3mo | $239,000 | $164 | 56 |
| 2877 Oakdell Trl | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,755 (+5%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $171 | 55 |
| 649 Broomsedge St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,607 (-4%) | 5mo | $329,990 | $205 | 51 |
| 3140 Sparrow Vw | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 1,436 (-14%) | 0mo | $195,000 | $136 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-29,093
- Equity at exit
- $28,031
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-38,061
- Equity at exit
- $16,255
Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78130
- Rents YoY
- -2.0%
- Active inventory
- 1931
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,962 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$986
- Tax from tax record
- −$348 /mo · $4,181/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$27
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$412
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $216 | -5% $163 | +0% $110 | +5% $57 | +10% $4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-45 | -5% $32 | +0% $110 | +5% $187 | +10% $265 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $205 | -0.5pp $158 | base $110 | +0.5pp $61 | +1.0pp $12 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,000
- Closing costs
- $5,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3235 Blue Jay Dr New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1282 | $1,725 | $1.35 | 4d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 505 Starling Crk New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 373 Starling Crk New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1794 | $1,950 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 378 Tanager Dr New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $1,825 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3103 Swallow Pointe New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $1,775 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 620 Northgap Dr New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,500 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 635 NW Crossing Dr New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1475 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 6d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 307 Limestone Crk New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 138 Woodpecker Run New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1936 | $1,725 | $0.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3215 Northwest Blvd New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $1,625 | $1.03 | 6d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2937 Post Oak Cir New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,875 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 259 Creekview Way New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1668 | $1,800 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 108 Oak Creek Way New Braunfels, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1051 | $2,000 | $1.90 | 0d | 45 | 0.52mi |
| 2983 Panther Spg New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2142 | $2,195 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 908 Ulster Unit NA New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2219 | $2,795 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2952 Panther Spg New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 388 Arbor Hls New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,775 | $1.46 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 380 Arbor Hls New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,875 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 2984 Burrow Way New Braunfels, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $1,675 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3629 Blue Cloud Dr New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1877 | $2,295 | $1.22 | 16d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2845 Wolfcreek New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1396 | $1,850 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2837 Brogan Crk New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2042 | $2,275 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2826 Wolfcreek New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2118 | $2,800 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2722 Wolfcreek New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,000 | $0.69 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5430 Addante St New Braunfels, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 981 | $2,299 | $2.34 | 0d | 183 | 1.00mi |
| 566 Gateway Cir New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1456 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 301 Tahoe Ave New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1276 | $1,650 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 298 Tahoe Ave New Braunfels, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 116 Radnor Rd New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1825 | $2,450 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 131 Trifle Trl New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $1,863 | $1.56 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 520 Farm to Market Road 306 Unit 3212 New Braunfels, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1191 | $1,731 | $1.45 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $27 · $324/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $188,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $188,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $188,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $188,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $188,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $188,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $188,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $188,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $188,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $188,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $188,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $188,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $188,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $188,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $188,000 931-char remark
-
2026-05-08$199,000 New 931-char remark
-
2026-05-04historical
-
2026-04-27price $199,900
-
2026-02-08$199,000 New
-
2023-07-21soldstatus
-
2023-07-20soldstatus
-
2021-02-06status Pending
-
2021-02-06historical
-
2021-02-02$217,700 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,181 · $348/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,181 · $348/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,531
- − Property taxes
- −$4,181
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,883
- − Management
- −$1,883
- − HOA
- −$324
- − Depreciation
- −$5,469
- Taxable loss
- −$1,673
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$401
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Comal ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4814730
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,792
- Composite
- 51.79/100
- National rank
- #1671
- State rank
- #58 of 826 in TX
Livability — New Braunfels
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #925
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Braunfels, TX
- County
- Comal County · 206,262 people
- City population
- 144,962
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 104,009
- Household income
- $83,064
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2912.0
Population outlook (Comal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 175,637 people
- By 2030
- 199,911 · +13.8%
- By 2040
- 249,436 · +42.0%
- By 2050
- 299,430 · +70.5%
- By 2075
- 423,857 · +141.3%
- By 2100
- 512,048 · +191.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (58%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 19% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comal
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.9pp toward D · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -45.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+54.1 2008: R+47.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.61%
- Current HPI
- 173.7128
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.97%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-13.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $188,000 LERA
- 2026-05-08 Listed $199,000 LERA
- 2026-05-04 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $199,900 LERA
- 2026-02-08 Listed $199,000 LERA
- 2023-07-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-07-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-02-06 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2021-02-06 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2021-02-02 Listed $217,700 CTXMLS
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2026): $4,181 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…