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928 Burch Ave
D+ Composite 48.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.4/15.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$162,000

928 Burch Ave · Lima, OH 45801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 1913 8,755 sqft lot Est $162k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

hud case#413-282642, fha insured financing available, home is sold as-is, hud will not make any repairs, electronic bidding via phone or internet only.....MCB makes no warranty as to the existence ofmold in this property, and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof.

Key facts

  • New metal roof
  • Fresh paint
  • 2 bedrooms added

Tags

SPACIOUS ROOMSDEEP FENCED IN BACK YARDNEW VINYL SIDINGNEW METAL ROOFFRESH PAINT2 BEDROOMS ADDED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Lot: 0.2 acres (residential zoning)

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Updated/remodeled
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Built with block foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Fenced yard; Detached garage structure

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning
  • Interior features: Hardwood and laminate flooring; Living room fireplace; Unfinished block basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $162k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lima City (urban): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #575 of 656 in OH (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($152k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $162k implies a 434% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $149,767 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.73%
Cash-on-cash
5.14%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$161,820
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1041 N Elizabeth St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,752 (+1%) 5mo $100,000 $57 71
716 Ruth Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,714 (-2%) 0mo $190,000 $111 65
735 N Main St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,638 (-6%) 6mo $161,000 $98 58
720 N West St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,496 (-14%) 0mo $90,000 $60 57
635 W Ashton Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,485 (-15%) 2mo $188,000 $127 55
735 Brice Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,795 (+3%) 3mo $155,000 $86 54
416 Hazel Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,494 (-14%) 1mo $158,000 $106 52
458 W Mckibben St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,816 (+4%) 10mo $150,000 $83 52
608 W Grand Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,548 (-11%) 10mo $62,000 $40 52
517 Marian Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,552 (-11%) 11mo $160,000 $103 52
623 N Metcalf St 0.45mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,520 (-13%) 11mo $141,000 $93 42
1000 Rice Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,485 (-15%) 12mo $43,670 $29 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-13,943
Equity at exit
$24,155
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$3,548
Equity at exit
$14,007

Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45801

Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,498 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$850
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $864/yr
Insurance
$68
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$194

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,252
Max offer price $162,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,500
Closing costs
$4,860
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 W Ashton Ave Lima, OH 3.0 1.0 1288 $2,000 $1.55 43d 1 0.18mi
555 Haller St Lima, OH 3.0 2.0 1953 $1,700 $0.87 43d 1 0.48mi
420 N Baxter St Lima, OH 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,200 $0.87 43d 1 0.69mi
43 Town Sq Lima, OH 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1100 $956 $0.87 43d 9 1.01mi
405 N Kenilworth Ave Lima, OH 3.0 1.0 1352 $1,795 $1.33 43d 1 1.15mi
1436 W High St Lima, OH 2.0 1.0 1205 $895 $0.74 43d 1 1.37mi
138 Harrison Ave Lima, OH 3.0 1.0 1152 $975 $0.85 43d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $162,000 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $162,000 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $162,000 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $162,000 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $162,000 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $162,000 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $162,000 Active 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $162,000 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $162,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $162,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $162,000 Active 70 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $162,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $162,000 Active 68 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 67 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $162,000 Active 66 DOM
  17. 2026-04-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-03-24
    listed $167,000 Active
  19. 2025-10-09
    price $30,345 284-char remark
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    hud case#413-282642, fha insured financing available, home is sold as-is, hud will not make any repairs, electronic bidding via phone or internet only.....MCB makes no warranty as to the existence ofmold in this property, and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof.

  20. 2003-03-19
    soldstatus $30,345 284-char remark
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    hud case#413-282642, fha insured financing available, home is sold as-is, hud will not make any repairs, electronic bidding via phone or internet only.....MCB makes no warranty as to the existence ofmold in this property, and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof.

  21. 2003-02-06
    price $31,950 284-char remark
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    hud case#413-282642, fha insured financing available, home is sold as-is, hud will not make any repairs, electronic bidding via phone or internet only.....MCB makes no warranty as to the existence ofmold in this property, and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof.

  22. 2003-02-01
    listed $31,950 284-char remark
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    hud case#413-282642, fha insured financing available, home is sold as-is, hud will not make any repairs, electronic bidding via phone or internet only.....MCB makes no warranty as to the existence ofmold in this property, and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof.

  23. 2003-02-01
    historical
    Show marketing remark (284 chars)

    hud case#413-282642, fha insured financing available, home is sold as-is, hud will not make any repairs, electronic bidding via phone or internet only.....MCB makes no warranty as to the existence ofmold in this property, and is not liable for the potentially harmful effects thereof.

  24. 2002-11-15
    listed $31,950
  25. 1994-07-29
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$864 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,695 · $141/mo
Expected delta
+$832/yr (+$69/mo · 96.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,972
− Mortgage interest
−$9,075
− Property taxes
−$864
− Insurance
−$810
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,438
− Management
−$1,438
− Depreciation
−$4,713
Taxable loss
−$364
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$87
After-tax cash flow
$2,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lima City
NCES district ID
3904422
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,685
Composite
26.31/100
National rank
#7243
State rank
#575 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lima

Score
64/100
State rank
#787
US rank
#14288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lima, OH
County
Allen County · 21,739 people
City population
21,739
Metro
Lima, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,739
Household income
$51,731
Rent vs Own
45.7% rent · 54.3% own
Severe rent burden
1141.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,321 people
By 2030
97,693 · -2.6%
By 2040
91,802 · -8.5%
By 2050
86,152 · -14.1%
By 2075
73,659 · -26.6%
By 2100
58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 14% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.79%
Current HPI
219.5329
Rent YoY
Metro
Lima, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+328.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent WCARE
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $167,000 WCARE
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $30,345 NORIS
  • 2003-03-19 Sold (MLS) $30,345 NORIS
  • 2003-02-06 Price Changed $31,950 NORIS
  • 2003-02-01 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2003-02-01 Listed $31,950 NORIS
  • 2002-11-15 Listed $31,950 NORIS
  • 1994-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $864 · -5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…