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192 Blevins Rd
B+ Composite 79.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$60,000

192 Blevins Rd · Narrows, VA 24124
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,087 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1940 2.00 ac lot $55/sqft · 51% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 192 Blevins Road in Narrows, VA—tucked away off the road and offering its own private slice of Southwest Virginia tranquility. This property is surrounded by mature hardwoods, creating a peaceful, secluded setting that feels like your own retreat while still being conveniently located just minutes from the New River and the towns of Narrows and Pearisburg. The home itself is in need of renovation and is being sold as-is, but presents a fantastic opportunity for buyers with vision. Previously occupied approximately eight years ago, the structure offers solid potential for restoration, customization, or investment purposes. Whether you're looking to create a private getaway,

Key facts

  • Mature hardwoods
  • Outdoor recreation
  • Private getaway

Tags

PRIVATE SLICEMATURE HARDWOODSPEACEFUL SECLUDED SETTINGPRIVATE GETAWAYOUTDOOR RECREATIONLOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property has a basement; Zoning: R

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Metal roof; Irregular, sloped, wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Heating present
  • Interior features: Electric oven; Wood flooring; See remarks (additional interior details)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $60k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#204 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Giles County Public School District (rural): math 56% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #54 of 131 in VA (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Narrows Elementary/Middle (math 60% / reading 66%, grade B, #470 of 1,108 statewide, top 43%, 859 students, 39% FRL); Narrows High (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #213 of 319 statewide, top 69%, 411 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools at 37% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Giles County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • Giles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $60k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $60,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
14.34%
Cash-on-cash
28.75%
DSCR
2.28
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$121,541
List price
$60,000
Delta
-50.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
192 Blevins Rd 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,087 (0%) 0mo $38,000 $35 100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.04% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.7%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$38,876
Equity at exit
$37,851
10-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
6.81×
Total profit
$97,613
Equity at exit
$68,756

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24124

Home prices YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
41
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$28 /mo · $338/yr
Insurance
$25
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$336

Break-even live

Break-even rent $550
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $370 -5% $353 +0% $336 +5% $319 +10% $302
Rent -10% $259 -5% $298 +0% $336 +5% $375 +10% $413
Rate -1.0pp $366 -0.5pp $351 base $336 +0.5pp $320 +1.0pp $305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 947-char remark
  2. 2026-04-28
    listed $60,000 Active 947-char remark
  3. 2024-11-26
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$338 · $28/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$492 · $41/mo
Expected delta
+$154/yr (+$13/mo · 45.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 100% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥91°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,701
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$338
− Insurance
−$1,098
− Repairs & maintenance
−$936
− Management
−$936
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$3,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$789
After-tax cash flow
$3,243/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Giles County Public School District
NCES district ID
5101590
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,394
Composite
52.25/100
National rank
#1600
State rank
#54 of 131 in VA

Livability — Narrows

Score
72/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#6289

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,177

Population outlook (Giles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,868 people
By 2030
15,306 · -3.5%
By 2040
14,149 · -10.8%
By 2050
13,059 · -17.7%
By 2075
10,837 · -31.7%
By 2100
8,648 · -45.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Giles

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.5) · D 22.4% · R 76.9%
2008→2024 swing
-38.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.3pp · 2024: -54.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.5 2020: R+51.4 2016: R+48.6 2012: R+25.6 2008: R+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.04%
Current HPI
201.2028
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+280.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $38,000 SWVAR
  • 2026-05-11 Pending SWVAR
  • 2026-04-28 Listed $60,000 SWVAR
  • 2024-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $338 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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