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5000 Butte St #272
B+ Composite 78.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

5000 Butte St #272 · Boulder, CO 80301
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 237 Days on market
Built 1984 Est $145k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming and beautifully maintained home in Boulder. The light-filled kitchen seamlessly opens to a spacious and inviting living room-perfect for everyday living and entertaining. You'll find two generously sized bedrooms, including a primary suite that boasts a recently renovated bathroom featuring luxury vinyl tile flooring and thoughtful finishes throughout. Recent updates include a new hot water heater, new light fixtures and new blinds. Step outside to a covered porch where you can relax and enjoy the outdoors, with plenty of room for a grill and seating. A 10x10 storage shed in the backyard provides ample additional space for gear or tools. Enjoy access to community am

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • 10x10 storage shed
  • Light filled kitchen

Tags

LIGHT FILLED KITCHENRECENTLY RENOVATED BATHROOMLUXURY VINYL TILE FLOORINGCOVERED PORCH10X10 STORAGE SHEDCOMMUNITY AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Privately maintained road up to county standards; Lot features include deciduous trees, paved surface, curbs, gutters, street lights, and a fire hydrant within 500 feet; Accessible near bus
  • Financial info: $88 annual tax (2024)

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: City water (meter installed); Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Xcel gas
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home)
  • Construction: Composition exterior materials; Fiberglass roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Land lease; Storage structure; Fencing (other)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Cathedral ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Window coverings
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.9% vs local median 1.7% in Boulder — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#24 in CO, #2,958 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Boulder Valley School District No. Re2 (urban): math 49% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #6 of 86 in CO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Whittier Elementary School (math 24% / reading 52%, grade F, #393 of 966 statewide, top 41%, 329 students, 39% FRL); Boulder High School (math 64% / reading 81%, grade B+, #18 of 381 statewide, top 4%, 2,074 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 33% FRL vs 16% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,688 units permitted in Boulder County in 2024 (1,136 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Boulder County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 237 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $21k; list at $99k implies a 371% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 237 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.70%
Cap rate
24.91%
Cash-on-cash
66.48%
DSCR
3.96
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,152
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5000 Butte St #7 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (+7%) 10mo $155,000 $126 75
5000 Butte St #31 0.00mi 2/1.0 980 (-15%) 12mo $120,000 $122 61

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.5%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$73,901
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
66.0%
Equity multiple
6.77×
Total profit
$159,885
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80301

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
185
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,677 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$19 /mo · $222/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$562
Net cashflow
$1,536

Break-even live

Break-even rent $733
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,592 -5% $1,564 +0% $1,536 +5% $1,508 +10% $1,480
Rent -10% $1,324 -5% $1,430 +0% $1,536 +5% $1,641 +10% $1,747
Rate -1.0pp $1,586 -0.5pp $1,561 base $1,536 +0.5pp $1,510 +1.0pp $1,484

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3045 Kings Ridge Blvd Unit 1 Boulder, CO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,875 $1.97 21d 1 0.31mi
3073 Fulton Cir Boulder, CO 2.0 1.5 1032 $2,403 $2.33 14d 1 0.34mi
3112 Bell Dr Boulder, CO 3.0 2.5 1338 $3,300 $2.47 21d 1 0.37mi
3485 Hayden Pl Unit 3 Boulder, CO 2.0 1.5 785 $2,495 $3.18 21d 1 0.65mi
3715 Canfield St Boulder, CO 2.0 1.0–2.0 827 $2,576 $3.11 14d 24 0.68mi
3303 Bluff St Boulder, CO 3.0 1.0–2.5 1131 $3,789 $3.35 14d 38 0.81mi
3315 Chisholm Trl Unit 1546453P Boulder, CO 2.0 1.0 861 $2,639 $3.07 14d 1 0.82mi
3120 Corona Trl #209 Boulder, CO 2.0 2.0 966 $2,650 $2.74 21d 1 0.85mi
2530 Junction Pl Boulder, CO 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1204 $3,416 $2.84 14d 69 0.88mi
2995 Eagle Way Boulder, CO 2.0 1.0–1.5 639 $1,845 $2.89 21d 1 0.96mi
2995 Glenwood Dr Boulder, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 807 $2,136 $2.65 14d 17 0.97mi
3100 Pearl St Boulder, CO 2.0 1.0–2.0 849 $3,875 $4.56 14d 23 1.07mi
3000 Pearl Pkwy Boulder, CO 2.0 1.0–2.0 1249 $3,936 $3.15 14d 19 1.14mi
2820 Hibiscus AVE Boulder, CO 3.0 1.0–2.5 1010 $3,678 $3.64 14d 91 1.16mi
2850 Kalmia Ave Boulder, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 850 $2,795 $3.29 14d 4 1.19mi
2800 Kalmia Ave Boulder, CO 2.0 1.5–2.0 880 $2,150 $2.44 21d 2 1.21mi
3487 28th St #21 Boulder, CO 2.0 1.5 936 $2,600 $2.78 21d 1 1.27mi
2747 Glenwood Ct Boulder, CO 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,850 $1.85 14d 1 1.28mi
3545 28th St #308 Boulder, CO 2.0 2.0 838 $2,950 $3.52 21d 1 1.30mi
3701 Paseo del Prado Boulder, CO 2.0–3.0 2.5 1273 $2,995 $2.35 14d 8 1.31mi
2707 Valmont Rd Boulder, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0 684 $2,200 $3.22 21d 6 1.31mi
1590 Eisenhower Dr Boulder, CO 3.0 1.0–3.0 937 $3,724 $3.97 14d 20 1.33mi
3850 Paseo del Prado #1 Boulder, CO 2.0 2.0 1236 $2,520 $2.04 21d 1 1.33mi
4970 Meredith Way Boulder, CO 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 836 $2,717 $3.25 14d 15 1.36mi
3401 Arapahoe Ave Boulder, CO 1.0 1.0 871 $3,995 $4.58 14d 1 1.38mi
2650 Juniper Ave Boulder, CO 3.0 2.0 1470 $3,675 $2.50 21d 1 1.39mi
2625 Tabriz Pl Boulder, CO 3.0 1.0 1097 $3,600 $3.28 21d 1 1.40mi
3725 Birchwood Dr #23 Boulder, CO 2.0 1.5 1114 $2,295 $2.06 21d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-01-04
    status Active
  2. 2025-09-13
    status Active
  3. 2025-09-05
    status Pending
  4. 2025-09-02
    historical
  5. 2025-08-18
    price $99,000
  6. 2025-06-04
    listed $110,000 Active
  7. 2024-11-08
    historical
  8. 2024-09-30
    price $105,000
  9. 2024-09-02
    price $125,000
  10. 2024-07-14
    listed $135,000 Active
  11. 2010-07-13
    soldstatus $21,000
  12. 2008-08-14
    soldstatus $17,900
  13. 1994-07-14
    soldstatus $16,400
  14. 1993-06-25
    soldstatus $14,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$222 · $19/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$544 · $45/mo
Expected delta
+$322/yr (+$27/mo · 144.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,122
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$222
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,570
− Management
−$2,570
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$17,839
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,281
After-tax cash flow
$14,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Boulder Valley School District No. Re2
NCES district ID
0802490
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
67% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$70,395
Composite
51.3/100
National rank
#1747
State rank
#6 of 86 in CO

Livability — Boulder

Score
77/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#2958

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Boulder, CO
County
Boulder County · 271,666 people
City population
121,246
Metro
Boulder, CO
Population (ZIP)
25,007
Household income
$95,207
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
1296.0

Population outlook (Boulder County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
380,833 people
By 2030
412,028 · +8.2%
By 2040
472,764 · +24.1%
By 2050
532,029 · +39.7%
By 2075
679,723 · +78.5%
By 2100
766,278 · +101.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Boulder

2024 margin
Solid D (+55.8) · D 76.5% · R 20.8% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 46.1pp · 2024: 55.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+55.8 2020: D+56.6 2016: D+48.6 2012: D+41.5 2008: D+46.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -674.67%
Current HPI
286.4092
Rent YoY
▼ -2.27%
Metro
Boulder, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+573.5% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-04 Relisted IRES
  • 2025-09-13 Relisted IRES
  • 2025-09-05 Pending IRES
  • 2025-09-02 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed $99,000 IRES
  • 2025-06-04 Listed $110,000 IRES
  • 2024-11-08 Listing Removed IRES
  • 2024-09-30 Price Changed $105,000 IRES
  • 2024-09-02 Price Changed $125,000 IRES
  • 2024-07-14 Listed $135,000 IRES
  • 2010-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
  • 2008-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $17,900 Public Records
  • 1994-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $16,400 Public Records
  • 1993-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $14,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $222 · +153.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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