5302 War Cloud Dr · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)
Key facts
- Laundry connections
- Tuff shed
- Converted garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment resources available
- HOA & community: Located in the Indian Creek subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Converted garage
- Utilities: Sewer service
- Home design: Pre-owned single-family residence; Approximate age 55 years
- Construction: Asbestos shingle exterior; Rock/stone veneer; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fence; Storage building / shed; Sidewalks; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove/Range; Kitchen approximately 14 x 12
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level (12 x 12); Bedroom 2 (12 x 10); Bedroom 3 (12 x 12)
- Flooring: Carpeting; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric and natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Washer and dryer connections; Gas cooking; Gas water heater; City garbage service; Utility room inside; Converted garage; Some window coverings remain
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Utility room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Indian Creek El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 442 students, 95% FRL); Sharon Christa Mcauliffe Middle (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 677 students, 92% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.29%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $151,313
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -37.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5411 Indian Desert | 0.11mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,210 (0%) | 8mo | $115,000 | $95 | 83 |
| 8518 Big Crk | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (-5%) | 9mo | $155,000 | $135 | 74 |
| 8519 Rain Dance | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,173 (-3%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $141 | 74 |
| 5530 Prairie Flower | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (+9%) | 2mo | $104,900 | $79 | 70 |
| 8603 Standing Rock St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+4%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $135 | 69 |
| 5130 Fedora Dr | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,209 (-0%) | 3mo | $114,400 | $95 | 67 |
| 8631 Sweet Maiden | 0.31mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,101 (-9%) | 8mo | $129,900 | $118 | 56 |
| 5318 Beryl Cv | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-4%) | 4mo | $99,000 | $85 | 55 |
| 5907 Stoney Crk | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-3%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $136 | 54 |
| 9015 Spanish Cv | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+9%) | 8mo | $212,000 | $161 | 50 |
| 5815 Kim Vly | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (+14%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $105 | 46 |
| 5742 White Feather | 0.54mi | 3/4.0 | 1,374 (+14%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $62 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $443
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $9,647
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78242
- Home prices YoY
- -17.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.3%
- Active inventory
- 92
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,537 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$360 /mo · $4,316/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $317
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $623 | -5% $344 | +0% $317 | +5% $290 | +10% $263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $195 | -5% $256 | +0% $317 | +5% $377 | +10% $438 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $365 | -0.5pp $341 | base $317 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $267 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5427 Indian Desert St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,195 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5507 Prairie Flower Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $2,000 | $1.71 | 12d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 5523 Indian Desert St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1192 | $1,325 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 8722 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1170 | $1,475 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 8619 Standing Rock St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,420 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 5542 Snow Fox St San Antonio, TX | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1280 | $1,900 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 8905 Seacliff St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1230 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 18d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 8715 Yellow Knife St San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,125 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5331 Beryl Cv San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1301 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5415 Ray Ellison Blvd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 878 | $1,240 | $1.41 | 6d | 24 | 0.71mi |
| 7515 Holm Rd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,404 | $1.58 | 5d | 31 | 0.76mi |
| 9228 Balboa Port Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1064 | $1,500 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 5611 Elm Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,700 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 6943 Emerald Vly San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1341 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5510 Seahorse Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1060 | $1,395 | $1.32 | 6d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5806 Machaela Trce San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1322 | $1,497 | $1.13 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5810 Machaela Trce San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,800 | $1.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5927 Mohave Vly San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 326 Whitewood Dr San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $1,216 | $1.82 | 3d | 8 | 1.41mi |
| 6214 Slate Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5547 Stonybrook Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,395 | $1.38 | 0d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5619 Stonybrook Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,425 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6243 Indian Valley Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,400 | $1.44 | 6d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 703-char remark
-
2026-05-07price $95,000 703-char remark
-
2026-04-17$100,000 New 703-char remark
-
2009-02-10historical
-
2008-10-13$76,900
-
2007-04-26soldstatus
-
2007-04-24soldstatus
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)
-
2007-03-21historical
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)
-
2006-12-02$67,000
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,316 · $360/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,316 · $360/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,443
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$4,316
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,475
- − Management
- −$1,475
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable income
- $2,616
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$628
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,173/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southwest ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4840950
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,362
- Composite
- 22.22/100
- National rank
- #8153
- State rank
- #701 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,168
- Household income
- $50,644
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1778.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 25% White 8% Black 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 55%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.63%
- Current HPI
- 259.9788
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.32%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+41.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Pending — LERA
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $95,000 LERA
- 2026-04-17 Listed $100,000 LERA
- 2009-02-10 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2008-10-13 Listed $76,900 LERA
- 2007-04-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-04-24 Sold (MLS) — LERA
- 2007-03-21 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2006-12-02 Listed $67,000 LERA
Property tax history
+10.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,316 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…