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5302 War Cloud Dr
B Composite 74.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

5302 War Cloud Dr · San Antonio, TX 78242
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,210 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1971 5,662 sqft lot $79/sqft · 37% below area Est $151k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)

Key facts

  • Laundry connections
  • Tuff shed
  • Converted garage

Tags

CENTRAL AIR SYSTEMLAUNDRY CONNECTIONSCONVERTED GARAGEENTIRE LOT FENCEDTUFF SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Down payment resources available
  • HOA & community: Located in the Indian Creek subdivision

Exterior

  • Parking: Converted garage
  • Utilities: Sewer service
  • Home design: Pre-owned single-family residence; Approximate age 55 years
  • Construction: Asbestos shingle exterior; Rock/stone veneer; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fence; Storage building / shed; Sidewalks; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stove/Range; Kitchen approximately 14 x 12
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level (12 x 12); Bedroom 2 (12 x 10); Bedroom 3 (12 x 12)
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric and natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Washer and dryer connections; Gas cooking; Gas water heater; City garbage service; Utility room inside; Converted garage; Some window coverings remain
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Utility room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Southwest ISD (rural): math 21% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Indian Creek El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 442 students, 95% FRL); Sharon Christa Mcauliffe Middle (math 12% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 677 students, 92% FRL); Southwest H S (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,152 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,575 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
10.29%
Cash-on-cash
14.29%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$151,313
List price
$95,000
Delta
-37.22%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5411 Indian Desert 0.11mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,210 (0%) 8mo $115,000 $95 83
8518 Big Crk 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-5%) 9mo $155,000 $135 74
8519 Rain Dance 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,173 (-3%) 2mo $165,000 $141 74
5530 Prairie Flower 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,320 (+9%) 2mo $104,900 $79 70
8603 Standing Rock St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,260 (+4%) 1mo $170,000 $135 69
5130 Fedora Dr 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,209 (-0%) 3mo $114,400 $95 67
8631 Sweet Maiden 0.31mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,101 (-9%) 8mo $129,900 $118 56
5318 Beryl Cv 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,160 (-4%) 4mo $99,000 $85 55
5907 Stoney Crk 0.63mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,176 (-3%) 8mo $160,000 $136 54
9015 Spanish Cv 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,320 (+9%) 8mo $212,000 $161 50
5815 Kim Vly 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,376 (+14%) 1mo $145,000 $105 46
5742 White Feather 0.54mi 3/4.0 1,374 (+14%) 6mo $85,000 $62 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$443
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
5.9%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$9,647
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78242

Home prices YoY
-17.6%
Rents YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,537 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$360 /mo · $4,316/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $623 -5% $344 +0% $317 +5% $290 +10% $263
Rent -10% $195 -5% $256 +0% $317 +5% $377 +10% $438
Rate -1.0pp $365 -0.5pp $341 base $317 +0.5pp $292 +1.0pp $267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5427 Indian Desert St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 888 $1,195 $1.35 23d 1 0.14mi
5507 Prairie Flower Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1172 $2,000 $1.71 12d 1 0.23mi
5523 Indian Desert St San Antonio, TX 4.0 1.5 1192 $1,325 $1.11 19d 1 0.23mi
8722 Tesoro Hls San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.5 1170 $1,475 $1.26 12d 1 0.35mi
8619 Standing Rock St San Antonio, TX 4.0 2.0 1176 $1,420 $1.21 6d 1 0.36mi
5542 Snow Fox St San Antonio, TX 4.0 1.5 1280 $1,900 $1.48 45d 1 0.43mi
8905 Seacliff St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1230 $1,250 $1.02 18d 1 0.50mi
8715 Yellow Knife St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 900 $1,125 $1.25 25d 1 0.63mi
5331 Beryl Cv San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,000 $1.54 5d 1 0.65mi
5415 Ray Ellison Blvd San Antonio, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 878 $1,240 $1.41 6d 24 0.71mi
7515 Holm Rd San Antonio, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 886 $1,404 $1.58 5d 31 0.76mi
9228 Balboa Port Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,500 $1.41 45d 1 0.80mi
5611 Elm Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,700 $1.18 45d 1 0.99mi
6943 Emerald Vly San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1341 $1,650 $1.23 16d 1 1.05mi
5510 Seahorse Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.5 1060 $1,395 $1.32 6d 1 1.11mi
5806 Machaela Trce San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1322 $1,497 $1.13 0d 1 1.29mi
5810 Machaela Trce San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,800 $1.25 0d 1 1.29mi
5927 Mohave Vly San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1464 $1,750 $1.20 25d 1 1.35mi
326 Whitewood Dr San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 668 $1,216 $1.82 3d 8 1.41mi
6214 Slate Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 920 $1,050 $1.14 0d 1 1.42mi
5547 Stonybrook Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,395 $1.38 0d 1 1.44mi
5619 Stonybrook Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 888 $1,425 $1.60 45d 1 1.46mi
6243 Indian Valley Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 975 $1,400 $1.44 6d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending 703-char remark
  2. 2026-05-07
    price $95,000 703-char remark
  3. 2026-04-17
    listed $100,000 New 703-char remark
  4. 2009-02-10
    historical
  5. 2008-10-13
    listed $76,900
  6. 2007-04-26
    soldstatus
  7. 2007-04-24
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)

  8. 2007-03-21
    historical
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)

  9. 2006-12-02
    listed $67,000
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    EXTREME MAKEOVER repairs complete This home ready for move-in. New central a/c and heat, flooring, H20 heater, counter tops, light and plumbing fixtures. Including 4 ceiling fans. Washer/Dryer inside utilities Outside a/c unit installed immediately before closing. SQ.FT. approx.1210 per owner. (converted garage)

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,316 · $360/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,316 · $360/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,443
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$4,316
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,475
− Management
−$1,475
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$2,616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$628
After-tax cash flow
$3,173/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest ISD
NCES district ID
4840950
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,362
Composite
22.22/100
National rank
#8153
State rank
#701 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
36,168
Household income
$50,644
Rent vs Own
46.4% rent · 53.6% own
Severe rent burden
1778.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 86% Two or more races 25% White 8% Black 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 67%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 55%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.63%
Current HPI
259.9788
Rent YoY
▼ -1.32%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+41.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending LERA
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $95,000 LERA
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $100,000 LERA
  • 2009-02-10 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2008-10-13 Listed $76,900 LERA
  • 2007-04-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-04-24 Sold (MLS) LERA
  • 2007-03-21 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2006-12-02 Listed $67,000 LERA

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,316 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…