1309 N Sunset Dr · Harlingen, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing starter home or one you can raise your family in. This 3 bedroom one bath home has a lot of character. Beautifully updated; central air & heat, new ductwork, new roof, all new laminate floors throughout, new water heater, new laundry room, interior & exterior paint. One of a kind industrial farmhouse kitchen with all new kitchen cabinets, tile counter tops, tile back splash, sink and light fixtures. Covered porch and large fenced yard for children's safety. This home must be seen to be appreciated.
Key facts
- Kitchen appliances
- Fenced yard
- Indoor laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; House; 1 story
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Tile flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $117 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.8% in Harlingen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#217 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
- Harlingen CISD (urban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #647 of 826 in TX (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Zavala El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 295 students, 98% FRL); Gutierrez Middle (math 26% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 819 students, 71% FRL); Harlingen H S (math 32% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,204 of 1,632 statewide, top 75%, 1,942 students, 82% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 465 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $695 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.00%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $166,766
- List price
- $100,500
- Delta
- -35.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 918 N T St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,113 (-6%) | 15mo | $179,000 | $161 | 65 |
| 3017 S Vista Verde Cir S | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,197 (+1%) | 2mo | $112,800 | $94 | 64 |
| 1008 Beaumont St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-3%) | 15mo | $184,900 | $161 | 52 |
| 622 T St | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,226 (+4%) | 20mo | $179,900 | $147 | 49 |
| 534 P | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 1,262 (+7%) | 19mo | $160,000 | $127 | 47 |
| 613 N P St E | 0.50mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,278 (+8%) | 20mo | $194,000 | $152 | 36 |
| 2118 Vista Verde Cir W | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+14%) | 21mo | $199,900 | $149 | 20 |
| 1917 W Vista Verde Cir | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+14%) | 21mo | $174,900 | $130 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-8,211
- Equity at exit
- $14,985
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,988
- Equity at exit
- $8,689
Cash invested: $28,140 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78550
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 465
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$527
- Tax from tax record
- −$232 /mo · $2,789/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $117
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $174 | -5% $146 | +0% $117 | +5% $89 | +10% $60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $25 | -5% $71 | +0% $117 | +5% $163 | +10% $209 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $168 | -0.5pp $143 | base $117 | +0.5pp $91 | +1.0pp $65 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,125
- Closing costs
- $3,015
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421 W Madison Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $925 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2005 Southridge Ave Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 848 | $1,250 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 821 W Matz Ave Unit B Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2101 N G St Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1004 | $950 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 902 N D St Unit A Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2205 Multi National Unit A Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2209 Multi National Unit D Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2104 Multi National Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,100 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2218 Multi National Unit B Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 877 | $1,100 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2211 Northridge Ave Unit C Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 877 | $1,150 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2219 Northridge Ave Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 830 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2204 Northridge Ave Unit 2 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2204 Northridge Ave Unit 23 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 955 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1917 New Combes Hwy Unit H Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $975 | $0.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 917 N 1st St Unit 917 Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $770 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 226 W Darrell Wayne Shipp St Harlingen, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 18586 Primera Rd Harlingen, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 228-char remark
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2026-06-14pricedays on market $100,500 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $108,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $108,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $108,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $108,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $108,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $108,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-04-28price $108,000 92-char remark
-
2026-03-09price $115,000 92-char remark
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2026-02-12price $123,000 92-char remark
-
2026-01-14price $129,700 92-char remark
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2025-11-26$136,500 Active 92-char remark
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2019-04-16soldstatus
-
2019-04-15soldstatus 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Amazing starter home or one you can raise your family in. This 3 bedroom one bath home has a lot of character. Beautifully updated; central air & heat, new ductwork, new roof, all new laminate floors throughout, new water heater, new laundry room, interior & exterior paint. One of a kind industrial farmhouse kitchen with all new kitchen cabinets, tile counter tops, tile back splash, sink and light fixtures. Covered porch and large fenced yard for children's safety. This home must be seen to be appreciated.
-
2019-02-05$74,900 519-char remark
Show marketing remark (519 chars)
Amazing starter home or one you can raise your family in. This 3 bedroom one bath home has a lot of character. Beautifully updated; central air & heat, new ductwork, new roof, all new laminate floors throughout, new water heater, new laundry room, interior & exterior paint. One of a kind industrial farmhouse kitchen with all new kitchen cabinets, tile counter tops, tile back splash, sink and light fixtures. Covered porch and large fenced yard for children's safety. This home must be seen to be appreciated.
-
2018-04-13soldstatus
-
2018-02-12$38,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,789 · $232/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,789 · $232/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,630
- − Property taxes
- −$2,789
- − Insurance
- −$502
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$2,924
- Taxable loss
- −$125
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$30
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harlingen CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822530
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,182
- Composite
- 24.94/100
- National rank
- #7566
- State rank
- #647 of 826 in TX
Livability — Harlingen
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #5347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harlingen, TX
- County
- Cameron County · 310,734 people
- City population
- 95,667
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,335
- Household income
- $49,007
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 83% Two or more races 29% White 14% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 76%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 51% English-only · Spanish 48%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.60%
- Current HPI
- 167.7038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.45%
- Metro
- Brownsville-Harlingen, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+161.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $100,500 RGVMLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $108,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $115,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $123,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $129,700 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-11-26 Listed $136,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2019-04-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-04-15 Sold (MLS) — MCALLENMLS
- 2019-02-05 Listed $74,900 MCALLENMLS
- 2018-04-13 Sold (MLS) — RGVMLS
- 2018-02-12 Listed $38,500 RGVMLS
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,789 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…