315 Byron St · Mankato, MN 56001

$179,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,604 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1952 6,534 sqft lot Est $241k · 25% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +6.9/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Rent growth +4.6/5.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming one-family owned home with more than meets the eye! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home features beautiful hardwood floors and a spacious eat-in kitchen—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The tuck-under garage adds convenience, while the unfinished basement offers endless possibilities for future living space. With great potential for updates and customization, this home is ready for you to make it your own. Don’t miss this opportunity to create your dream home!

Key facts

• 6,534 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1952

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
• Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.4% in Mankato — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#133 in MN, #2,970 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, commute F.
• Mankato Public School District (urban): math 48% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #98 of 301 in MN (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.6%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 269 units permitted in Blue Earth County in 2024 (154 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Blue Earth County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $179,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.47%
• DSCR: 1.29
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $240,600
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
315 Byron St	0.00mi	4/2.0	1,604 (0%)	1mo	$179,500	$112	100
133 Lincoln St	0.07mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,596 (-0%)	3mo	$189,000	$118	84
212 Locke St	0.17mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,657 (+3%)	8mo	$203,000	$123	73
212 W Pleasant St	0.09mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,382 (-14%)	3mo	$155,000	$112	65
106 Blue Earth St	0.58mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,620 (+1%)	1mo	$320,000	$198	64
301 James Ave	0.57mi	4/2.5	1,695 (+6%)	1mo	$230,000	$136	61
309 Locust St	0.58mi	3/2.5 (-1)	1,716 (+7%)	7mo	$274,000	$160	48
215 Christensen St	0.69mi	4/2.0	1,503 (-6%)	11mo	$237,900	$158	48
215 James Ave	0.49mi	4/2.0	1,820 (+14%)	8mo	$280,000	$154	48
407 W 6 St	0.74mi	5/1.5 (+1)	1,662 (+4%)	8mo	$331,650	$200	46
420 South	0.70mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,470 (-8%)	10mo	$220,000	$150	40
117 W 9th St	0.68mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,384 (-14%)	0mo	$205,900	$149	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.96×
• Total profit: $-2,132
• Equity at exit: $26,824

10-year hold

• IRR: 13.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.28×
• Total profit: $64,681
• Equity at exit: $15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 46 Balanced
• State Minnesota: 46 Balanced · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 56001

• Rents YoY: 8.6%
• Active inventory: 352
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,842 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$943
• Tax from tax record: −$165 /mo · $1,982/yr
• Insurance: −$75
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$387
• Net cashflow: $272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,498

Max offer price $179,900

Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $44,975
• Closing costs: $5,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
101 Glenwood Ave Mankato, MN	2.0–3.0	1.0	1075	$1,330	$1.24	44d	8	0.41mi
200 Briargate Rd Mankato, MN	1.0–3.0	1.0–3.0	912	$1,799	$1.97	44d	32	1.15mi
1050 Marsh St Unit 326 Van Tol Mankato, MN	3.0	2.0	1461	$2,360	$1.62	44d	1	1.33mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-21
   historical
2. 2026-04-20
   listed $179,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,982 · $165/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,998 · $167/mo
• Expected delta: +$16/yr (+$1/mo · 0.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,103
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,077
• − Property taxes: −$1,982
• − Insurance: −$900
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,768
• − Management: −$1,768
• − Depreciation: −$5,233
• Taxable income: $374
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$90
• After-tax cash flow: $3,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mankato Public School District
• NCES district ID: 2718780
• Math proficiency: 48% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 56% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $49,469
• Composite: 44.36/100
• National rank: #2819
• State rank: #98 of 301 in MN

Livability — Mankato

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #133
• US rank: #2970

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mankato, MN
• County: Blue Earth County · 51,585 people
• City population: 51,585
• Metro: Mankato, MN
• Population (ZIP): 51,585
• Household income: $69,531
• Rent vs Own: 45.9% rent · 54.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 2394.0

Population outlook (Blue Earth County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 70,208 people
• By 2030: 72,708 · +3.6%
• By 2040: 77,481 · +10.4%
• By 2050: 82,842 · +18.0%
• By 2075: 99,990 · +42.4%
• By 2100: 116,795 · +66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 11% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blue Earth

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.5% · Other 2.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.9pp · 2024: -1.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+1.2 2020: D+4.4 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.5 2008: D+12.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -192.46%
• Current HPI: 189.8485
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.55%
• Metro: Mankato, MN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.41%
• F500 in state: 34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	2	$407B
▸Retail	2	$150B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$32B
▸Industrial Machinery	2	$6B
▸Agriculture	1	$40B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$32B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-21 Delisted — RASM
• 2026-04-20 Listed $179,900 RASM

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,982 · -12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.