1902 Jean Dr · Jonesboro, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$208,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful home close to the valley view area, three bed, 2 bath.
Key facts
- Storage building
- Custom built-ins
- Wood privacy fence
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (6.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $189k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Valley View School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #4 of 238 in AR (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.64%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $232,668
- List price
- $208,000
- Delta
- -10.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4904 Bedrock Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,556 (-2%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $129 | 78 |
| 5104 Johnwood Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-9%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $160 | 69 |
| 2504 Brighton Ln | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+3%) | 0mo | $235,000 | $144 | 67 |
| 4817 Bedrock Dr Dr | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,370 (-13%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $161 | 53 |
| 4630 Bedrock Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (+8%) | 10mo | $239,900 | $140 | 52 |
| 5701 Pope St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,459 (-8%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $142 | 46 |
| 5704 Boone St | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,459 (-8%) | 4mo | $207,000 | $142 | 44 |
| 5701 Boone St | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-11%) | 5mo | $202,550 | $144 | 42 |
| 5705 Pope St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,402 (-11%) | 7mo | $214,775 | $153 | 42 |
| 5702 Boone St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,373 (-13%) | 3mo | $214,900 | $157 | 41 |
| 5409 Cordova Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-15%) | 5mo | $204,500 | $152 | 40 |
| 5507 Cordova Ln | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-12%) | 10mo | $220,000 | $157 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-17,613
- Equity at exit
- $31,013
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-6,336
- Equity at exit
- $17,984
Cash invested: $58,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72404
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 309
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,951 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,091
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $499/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $322
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,000
- Closing costs
- $6,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5303 Southwest Dr Jonesboro, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2064 | $2,000 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5707 Pope St Jonesboro, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1459 | $1,750 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $208,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $208,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $208,000 Active 104 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $208,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $208,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $208,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $208,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $208,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $208,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $208,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $208,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $208,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $208,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $208,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $208,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $208,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $208,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-04-17soldstatus $202,000 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Beautiful home close to the valley view area, three bed, 2 bath.
-
2026-04-17$202,000 64-char remark
Show marketing remark (64 chars)
Beautiful home close to the valley view area, three bed, 2 bath.
-
2026-03-05$208,000 Active 582-char remark
Show marketing remark (582 chars)
This beautiful updated home sits on a tree shaded corner lot. Home features 3 bedrooms 2 baths, large living room, separate dining room with custom built-ins, large kitchen with pantry. Some of the updates include laminate Vinyl plank flooring, neutral paint through out, and a new roof. Bedrooms are all large, main bath has been updated as well. Outside has a storage building as well as a storage room attached to carport. Storage is plentiful inside and out in this home. a wood privacy fence encloses backyard. Appliances are included in sale. Come look at this wonderful home.
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2019-03-28soldstatus $138,500
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2019-01-03$144,900
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2018-07-23$146,500
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2008-07-23soldstatus $123,660
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2006-10-23soldstatus $109,000
-
2004-12-17soldstatus $88,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $499 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,331 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$833/yr (+$69/mo · 167.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,414
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,651
- − Property taxes
- −$499
- − Insurance
- −$1,040
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,873
- − Management
- −$1,873
- − Depreciation
- −$6,051
- Taxable income
- $427
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,767/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley View School District
- NCES district ID
- 0513380
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,148
- Composite
- 51.78/100
- National rank
- #1672
- State rank
- #4 of 238 in AR
Livability — Jonesboro
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #145
- US rank
- #12692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jonesboro, AR
- County
- Craighead County · 97,185 people
- City population
- 91,245
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,968
- Household income
- $70,269
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 869.0
Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,235 people
- By 2030
- 131,338 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 149,862 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 168,034 · +37.5%
- By 2075
- 208,094 · +70.2%
- By 2100
- 233,251 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craighead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -35.22%
- Current HPI
- 208.3772
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.74%
- Metro
- Jonesboro, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+129.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $202,000 CARMLS
- 2026-04-17 Sold (MLS) $202,000 CARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Listed $208,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2019-03-28 Sold (MLS) $138,500 NEABOR MLS
- 2019-01-03 Listed $144,900 NEABOR MLS
- 2018-07-23 Listed $146,500 NEABOR MLS
- 2008-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $123,660 Public Records
- 2006-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
- 2004-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $499 · -16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…