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1902 Jean Dr
C Composite 58.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$208,000

1902 Jean Dr · Jonesboro, AR 72404
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,582 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 106 Days on market
Built 1976 0.32 ac lot $131/sqft · 8% below area Est $233k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful home close to the valley view area, three bed, 2 bath.

Key facts

  • Storage building
  • Custom built-ins
  • Wood privacy fence

Tags

TREE SHADED CORNER LOTCUSTOM BUILT-INSLAMINATE VINYL PLANK FLOORINGNEW ROOFSTORAGE BUILDINGWOOD PRIVACY FENCE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $208k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (6.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.4% in Jonesboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#145 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Valley View School District (rural): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #4 of 238 in AR (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 309 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 926 units permitted in Craighead County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Craighead County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,280 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
8.15%
Cash-on-cash
6.64%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$232,668
List price
$208,000
Delta
-10.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4904 Bedrock Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,556 (-2%) 0mo $200,000 $129 78
5104 Johnwood Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-9%) 7mo $230,000 $160 69
2504 Brighton Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,632 (+3%) 0mo $235,000 $144 67
4817 Bedrock Dr Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,370 (-13%) 8mo $220,000 $161 53
4630 Bedrock Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,716 (+8%) 10mo $239,900 $140 52
5701 Pope St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (-8%) 4mo $207,000 $142 46
5704 Boone St 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (-8%) 4mo $207,000 $142 44
5701 Boone St 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-11%) 5mo $202,550 $144 42
5705 Pope St 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,402 (-11%) 7mo $214,775 $153 42
5702 Boone St 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,373 (-13%) 3mo $214,900 $157 41
5409 Cordova Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-15%) 5mo $204,500 $152 40
5507 Cordova Ln 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-12%) 10mo $220,000 $157 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-17,613
Equity at exit
$31,013
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-6,336
Equity at exit
$17,984

Cash invested: $58,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72404

Home prices YoY
-14.5%
Rents YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
309
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,951 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,091
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $499/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,543
Max offer price $208,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,000
Closing costs
$6,240
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5303 Southwest Dr Jonesboro, AR 3.0 2.5 2064 $2,000 $0.97 43d 1 0.14mi
5707 Pope St Jonesboro, AR 4.0 2.0 1459 $1,750 $1.20 43d 1 0.71mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $208,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $208,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $208,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $208,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $208,000 Active 102 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $208,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $208,000 Active 99 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $208,000 Active 97 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $208,000 Active 96 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $208,000 Active 95 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $208,000 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $208,000 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $208,000 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $208,000 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $208,000 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $208,000 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $208,000 Active 86 DOM
  18. 2026-04-17
    soldstatus $202,000 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Beautiful home close to the valley view area, three bed, 2 bath.

  19. 2026-04-17
    listed $202,000 64-char remark
    Show marketing remark (64 chars)

    Beautiful home close to the valley view area, three bed, 2 bath.

  20. 2026-03-05
    listed $208,000 Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    This beautiful updated home sits on a tree shaded corner lot. Home features 3 bedrooms 2 baths, large living room, separate dining room with custom built-ins, large kitchen with pantry. Some of the updates include laminate Vinyl plank flooring, neutral paint through out, and a new roof. Bedrooms are all large, main bath has been updated as well. Outside has a storage building as well as a storage room attached to carport. Storage is plentiful inside and out in this home. a wood privacy fence encloses backyard. Appliances are included in sale. Come look at this wonderful home.

  21. 2019-03-28
    soldstatus $138,500
  22. 2019-01-03
    listed $144,900
  23. 2018-07-23
    listed $146,500
  24. 2008-07-23
    soldstatus $123,660
  25. 2006-10-23
    soldstatus $109,000
  26. 2004-12-17
    soldstatus $88,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$499 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Expected delta
+$833/yr (+$69/mo · 167.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,414
− Mortgage interest
−$11,651
− Property taxes
−$499
− Insurance
−$1,040
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,873
− Management
−$1,873
− Depreciation
−$6,051
Taxable income
$427
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$102
After-tax cash flow
$3,767/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Valley View School District
NCES district ID
0513380
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$79,148
Composite
51.78/100
National rank
#1672
State rank
#4 of 238 in AR

Livability — Jonesboro

Score
65/100
State rank
#145
US rank
#12692

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jonesboro, AR
County
Craighead County · 97,185 people
City population
91,245
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
Population (ZIP)
29,968
Household income
$70,269
Rent vs Own
36.3% rent · 63.7% own
Severe rent burden
869.0

Population outlook (Craighead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,235 people
By 2030
131,338 · +7.4%
By 2040
149,862 · +22.6%
By 2050
168,034 · +37.5%
By 2075
208,094 · +70.2%
By 2100
233,251 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Craighead

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.1% · R 67.5% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -37.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.4 2020: R+35.4 2016: R+35.2 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -35.22%
Current HPI
208.3772
Rent YoY
▲ 0.74%
Metro
Jonesboro, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $202,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Sold (MLS) $202,000 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-05 Listed $208,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2019-03-28 Sold (MLS) $138,500 NEABOR MLS
  • 2019-01-03 Listed $144,900 NEABOR MLS
  • 2018-07-23 Listed $146,500 NEABOR MLS
  • 2008-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $123,660 Public Records
  • 2006-10-23 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $499 · -16.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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