3005 Acuff Rd · Vernon, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 2022 double wide mobile home situated on 1.7 acres at the corner of Creek Road and Acuff Road. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a comfortable layout with plenty of room both inside and out. The main living area is open to the kitchen and dining space, creating an inviting setup for everyday living and entertaining. The nice-sized kitchen features ample workspace, and a kitchen island, making it both functional and welcoming. The master bedroom features a spacious attached bathroom with a nice-sized shower, double vanity, and a separate vanity space, creating a functional and inviting retreat. Step outside and enjoy your own private outdoor oasis featuri
Key facts
- Attached bathroom
- Open living area
- Kitchen island
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Private pool
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available
- Home design: Double-wide mobile home; Zoned for single-family residential
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fence; Irregular-shaped lot; Dirt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Additional bedroom(s)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 7 total rooms; Living room; Dining room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-195 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (15.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (31.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $155k (31.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.2% in Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#834 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Washington (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #45 of 73 in FL (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.2% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $225k implies a 603% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.71%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 12.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $5,711
- Equity at exit
- $91,651
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $49,118
- Equity at exit
- $134,278
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32462
- Home prices YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 12.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,551 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$147 /mo · $1,766/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $-195
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-68 | -5% $-131 | +0% $-195 | +5% $-259 | +10% $-322 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-317 | -5% $-256 | +0% $-195 | +5% $-134 | +10% $-72 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-82 | -0.5pp $-138 | base $-195 | +0.5pp $-253 | +1.0pp $-313 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $224,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$224,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,766 · $147/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,867 · $156/mo
- Expected delta
- +$101/yr (+$8/mo · 5.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,613
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$1,766
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,489
- − Management
- −$1,489
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$6,396
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,535
- After-tax cash flow
- $-804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington
- NCES district ID
- 1202010
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,948
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3561
- State rank
- #45 of 73 in FL
Livability — Vernon
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #834
- US rank
- #20536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,452
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,087 people
- By 2030
- 23,600 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 22,643 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 21,524 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 18,432 · -23.5%
- By 2100
- 13,298 · -44.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 20% Two or more races 8% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Greek 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.4) · D 17.0% · R 82.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.7pp toward R · 2008: -47.8pp · 2024: -65.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.4 2020: R+61.1 2016: R+57.1 2012: R+47.4 2008: R+47.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.24%
- Current HPI
- 221.7113
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+602.8% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $224,900 CPARMLS
- 2007-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,766 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…