509 Norfolk Ave · Bristol, VA 24201

$35,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,510 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market

Built 1906

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.2/10.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investors and handy buyers—this is your opportunity! Major demo work has already been completed, leaving a clean slate ready for renovation and customization. Bring your vision and transform this property into something truly special. Property is being sold As Is, Where Is. All information is taken from third-party sources and deemed reliable; buyer and buyer's agent to verify. Subject to E & O.

Key facts

• Parking
• Built 1906
• Listed 68 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
• Recommended offer: $33k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 52.7% vs local median 4.9% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#140 in VA, #4,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment F.
• Bristol City Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #53 of 131 in VA (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Highland View Elementary (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #696 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 175 students, 98% FRL); Virginia Middle (math 56% / reading 71%, grade B+, #128 of 342 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 101% FRL); Virginia High (math 62% / reading 77%, grade B, #159 of 319 statewide, top 53%, 637 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (42 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15 units permitted in Bristol city in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bristol County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $32,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.70% ✓
• Cap rate: 52.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 165.84%
• DSCR: 8.38
• GRM: 1.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $132,880
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
345 Montpelier Ave	0.19mi	3/2.0	1,500 (-1%)	3mo	$193,000	$129	84
729 Fairview St	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,603 (+6%)	8mo	$60,000	$37	66
1434 New Hampshire Ave	0.36mi	3/1.0	1,375 (-9%)	5mo	$175,000	$127	64
919 Russell St	0.49mi	3/1.0	1,582 (+5%)	7mo	$96,000	$61	63
128 South St	0.57mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,526 (+1%)	5mo	$38,000	$25	63
1010 Maple St	0.46mi	3/1.0	1,354 (-10%)	0mo	$25,000	$18	61
708 Portsmouth Ave	0.26mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,671 (+11%)	7mo	$75,000	$45	59
1404 New Hampshire Ave	0.34mi	3/2.0	1,315 (-13%)	10mo	$225,000	$171	51
911 Russell St	0.50mi	3/2.0	1,652 (+9%)	10mo	$145,000	$88	48
631 Taylor St	0.66mi	3/1.0	1,664 (+10%)	5mo	$232,000	$139	48
1180 Mary St	0.75mi	4/1.0 (+1)	1,632 (+8%)	7mo	$33,230	$20	41
403 Washington St	0.59mi	4/3.0 (+1)	1,286 (-15%)	8mo	$162,000	$126	28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 9.23×
• Total profit: $80,606
• Equity at exit: $5,219

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 19.50×
• Total profit: $181,338
• Equity at exit: $3,026

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 24201

• Active inventory: 156
• Price-to-rent: 1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,996 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$184
• Tax from tax record: −$25 /mo · $294/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$419
• Net cashflow: $1,354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $282

Max offer price $35,000

Occupancy floor 27%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,750
• Closing costs: $1,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
279 Reservoir St Bristol, VA	3.0	1.5	1300	$1,600	$1.23	13d	1	0.48mi
201 Springdale Rd Bristol, TN	3.0	2.0	1635	$2,750	$1.68	43d	1	0.74mi
924 Maryland Ave Unit F Bristol, TN	2.0	2.0	1780	$2,000	$1.12	13d	1	1.09mi
314 Crossway Rd Bristol, VA	2.0	2.0	1909	$1,800	$0.94	13d	1	1.10mi
970 Long Crescent Dr Bristol, VA	3.0	2.0	1886	$1,850	$0.98	13d	1	1.26mi

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-04-15
   status Pending 408-char remark

   Show marketing remark (408 chars)

   Investors and handy buyers—this is your opportunity! Major demo work has already been completed, leaving a clean slate ready for renovation and customization. Bring your vision and transform this property into something truly special. Property is being sold As Is, Where Is. All information is taken from third-party sources and deemed reliable; buyer and buyer's agent to verify. Subject to E & O.

2. 2026-04-15
   status Pending

   Show marketing remark (408 chars)

   Investors and handy buyers—this is your opportunity! Major demo work has already been completed, leaving a clean slate ready for renovation and customization. Bring your vision and transform this property into something truly special. Property is being sold As Is, Where Is. All information is taken from third-party sources and deemed reliable; buyer and buyer's agent to verify. Subject to E & O.

3. 2026-02-05
   listed $35,000 Active 408-char remark

   Show marketing remark (408 chars)

   Investors and handy buyers—this is your opportunity! Major demo work has already been completed, leaving a clean slate ready for renovation and customization. Bring your vision and transform this property into something truly special. Property is being sold As Is, Where Is. All information is taken from third-party sources and deemed reliable; buyer and buyer's agent to verify. Subject to E & O.

4. 2026-02-05
   listed $35,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (408 chars)

   Investors and handy buyers—this is your opportunity! Major demo work has already been completed, leaving a clean slate ready for renovation and customization. Bring your vision and transform this property into something truly special. Property is being sold As Is, Where Is. All information is taken from third-party sources and deemed reliable; buyer and buyer's agent to verify. Subject to E & O.

5. 2025-08-09
   price $40,000
6. 2025-08-09
   price $40,000
7. 2025-07-12
   price $45,000
8. 2025-07-12
   price $45,000
9. 2023-09-25
   soldstatus $35,000
10. 2022-11-04
    soldstatus $18,000
11. 1998-03-05
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $294 · $25/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $294 · $25/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $23,954
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,961
• − Property taxes: −$294
• − Insurance: −$175
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,916
• − Management: −$1,916
• − Depreciation: −$1,018
• Taxable income: $16,674
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$4,002
• After-tax cash flow: $12,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bristol City Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5100450
• Math proficiency: 57% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 70% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $33,978
• Composite: 52.4/100
• National rank: #1579
• State rank: #53 of 131 in VA

Livability — Bristol

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #140
• US rank: #4544

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bristol, VA
• City population: 16,039
• Population (ZIP): 16,039

Population outlook (Bristol County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 16,113 people
• By 2030: 15,510 · -3.7%
• By 2040: 14,121 · -12.4%
• By 2050: 12,847 · -20.3%
• By 2075: 9,870 · -38.7%
• By 2100: 7,883 · -51.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Black 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 4% Serbian 1% Iranian 0%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Bristol

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -39.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+43.8 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -206.40%
• Current HPI: 196.2099
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

+169.2% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-15 Pending — SWVAR
• 2026-04-15 Pending — TVRMLS
• 2026-02-05 Listed $35,000 SWVAR
• 2026-02-05 Listed $35,000 TVRMLS
• 2025-08-09 Price Changed $40,000 SWVAR
• 2025-08-09 Price Changed $40,000 TVRMLS
• 2025-07-12 Price Changed $45,000 TVRMLS
• 2025-07-12 Price Changed $45,000 SWVAR
• 2023-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
• 2022-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
• 1998-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records