3606 24th Ave · Valley, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don’t miss this great deal in a peaceful neighborhood right in the heart of Shawmut. This cozy home offers two bedrooms, one full bath, an open layout, and updated appliances. Stylish LVP flooring runs throughout for a fresh, modern touch. Act fast—call today to set up your showing! Home is being sold “AS IS. ”
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Open layout
- Lvp flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $319 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.9% in Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#96 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Chambers County (town): math 10% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #101 of 129 in AL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 43 units permitted in Chambers County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chambers County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.54%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $131,268
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -16.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2408 37th St | 0.10mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-0%) | 12mo | $119,900 | $130 | 79 |
| 2411 35th St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 1,039 (+12%) | 18mo | $113,000 | $109 | 56 |
| 3013 22nd Ave | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 985 (+6%) | 11mo | $158,000 | $160 | 53 |
| 1814 30th St | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,028 (+11%) | 8mo | $159,900 | $156 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,597
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $28,205
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36854
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $258/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $319
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $381 | -5% $350 | +0% $319 | +5% $288 | +10% $257 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $223 | -5% $271 | +0% $319 | +5% $367 | +10% $415 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $374 | -0.5pp $347 | base $319 | +0.5pp $291 | +1.0pp $262 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $109,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $109,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-03-31$109,000 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Don’t miss this great deal in a peaceful neighborhood right in the heart of Shawmut. This cozy home offers two bedrooms, one full bath, an open layout, and updated appliances. Stylish LVP flooring runs throughout for a fresh, modern touch. Act fast—call today to set up your showing! Home is being sold “AS IS. ”
-
2026-03-31$109,000 Active 336-char remark
Show marketing remark (336 chars)
Don’t miss this great deal in a peaceful neighborhood right in the heart of Shawmut. This cozy home offers two bedrooms, one full bath, an open layout, and updated appliances. Stylish LVP flooring runs throughout for a fresh, modern touch. Act fast—call today to set up your showing! Home is being sold “AS IS. ”
-
2026-03-20$109,000 New
-
2023-06-23soldstatus $102,000
-
2023-06-22soldstatus $102,000 Closed
-
2023-06-22soldstatus $102,000 Sold
-
2023-04-25status Pending
-
2023-04-25status Under Contract
-
2023-04-21$95,000 Active
-
2023-04-19$95,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $258 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $447 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- +$189/yr (+$16/mo · 73.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,544
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$258
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,164
- − Management
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $2,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$513
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chambers County
- NCES district ID
- 0100600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,011
- Composite
- 19.37/100
- National rank
- #8785
- State rank
- #101 of 129 in AL
Livability — Valley
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #96
- US rank
- #11347
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Valley, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,913
Population outlook (Chambers County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,868 people
- By 2030
- 33,504 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 32,594 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 31,422 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 29,054 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 25,431 · -24.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chambers
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.2) · D 38.0% · R 61.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.5pp · 2024: -23.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+5.1 2008: R+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.05%
- Current HPI
- 186.0298
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+14.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $109,000 LCMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $109,000 EABOR
- 2026-03-20 Listed $109,000 GAMLS
- 2023-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2023-06-22 Sold (MLS) $102,000 GAMLS
- 2023-06-22 Sold (MLS) $102,000 LCMLS
- 2023-04-25 Pending — LCMLS
- 2023-04-25 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-04-21 Listed $95,000 LCMLS
- 2023-04-19 Listed $95,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
-4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $258 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…