619 Geary St · Harrisburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent
Key facts
- Built 1910
- Listed 48 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $135k implies a 671% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.11%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $146,664
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 619 Geary St | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,372 (-9%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $95 | 79 |
| 2414 Reel St | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,522 (+1%) | 3mo | $168,500 | $111 | 76 |
| 2660 Jefferson St | 0.06mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,391 (-8%) | 5mo | $135,500 | $97 | 73 |
| 626 Geary St | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,668 (+10%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $48 | 71 |
| 2639 N 6th St | 0.02mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,680 (+11%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $86 | 70 |
| 625 Oxford St | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,332 (-12%) | 1mo | $94,000 | $71 | 64 |
| 542 Seneca St | 0.30mi | 5/1.5 | 1,722 (+14%) | 2mo | $170,000 | $99 | 59 |
| 3211 N 4th St | 0.66mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,470 (-3%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $126 | 59 |
| 3227 N 4th St | 0.69mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,530 (+1%) | 3mo | $144,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 2152 Penn St | 0.73mi | 5/1.0 | 1,596 (+6%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $66 | 53 |
| 3007 N 3rd St | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,654 (+9%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $124 | 49 |
| 2119 Green St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,600 (+6%) | 2mo | $176,000 | $110 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $11,795
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $46,475
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17110
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,835 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,391/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $570
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $646 | -5% $608 | +0% $570 | +5% $532 | +10% $494 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $425 | -5% $497 | +0% $570 | +5% $642 | +10% $715 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $638 | -0.5pp $604 | base $570 | +0.5pp $535 | +1.0pp $499 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,750 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1498 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,395 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 652 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,740 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2118 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1383 | $1,595 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3216 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,595 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1792 | $1,495 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-04-09status Pending
-
2026-03-25price $134,900
-
2026-02-21$139,900 Active
-
2026-02-18historical $139,900
-
2019-12-13historical
-
2019-11-04status Active
-
2019-10-22status Pending
-
2019-10-08$20,000 Active
-
2019-03-25soldstatus $17,500 Closed 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent
-
2019-03-12status Pending 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent
-
2019-01-13$21,000 Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent
-
2018-04-17soldstatus $13,000
-
2018-04-03historical
-
2018-03-08$21,900
-
2017-08-25soldstatus $13,000
-
2017-06-06historical
-
2016-12-13$16,000
-
2015-10-29soldstatus $6,000
-
2015-10-09historical
-
2013-08-08$10,000
-
2008-06-13soldstatus $38,000
-
2008-05-13historical
-
2008-04-08$44,900
-
2007-01-30soldstatus $16,500
-
2006-11-28$18,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,391 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,761 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$370/yr (+$31/mo · 26.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,018
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,391
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,761
- − Management
- −$1,761
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $4,948
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,188
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,651/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrisburg City SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211580
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,432
- Composite
- 7.6/100
- National rank
- #9945
- State rank
- #535 of 539 in PA
Livability — Harrisburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #107
- US rank
- #826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrisburg, PA
- County
- Dauphin County · 247,857 people
- City population
- 184,296
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,364
- Household income
- $80,699
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1037.0
Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,628 people
- By 2030
- 283,549 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 285,385 · +1.3%
- By 2050
- 286,188 · +1.6%
- By 2075
- 291,053 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 282,374 · +0.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, India, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.07%
- Current HPI
- 257.826
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- Metro
- Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+613.8% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-21 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-18 Coming Soon $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-12-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-11-04 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-22 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-10-08 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-25 Sold (MLS) $17,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-03-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-01-13 Listed $21,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-04-17 Sold (MLS) $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-04-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-03-08 Listed $21,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-08-25 Sold (MLS) $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-06-06 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-12-13 Listed $16,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-10-29 Sold (MLS) $6,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-10-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2013-08-08 Listed $10,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-06-13 Sold (MLS) $38,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-05-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-04-08 Listed $44,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-01-30 Sold (MLS) $16,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-11-28 Listed $18,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,391 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…