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619 Geary St
B Composite 70.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.1/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

619 Geary St · Harrisburg, PA 17110
5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Townhouse public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1910 871 sqft lot Est $147k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent

Key facts

  • Built 1910
  • Listed 48 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 6.7% in Harrisburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#107 in PA, #826 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Harrisburg City SD (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #535 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harrisburg Hs (math 24% / reading 10%, grade F, #399 of 437 statewide, top 92%, 1,230 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 82% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 173 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $135k implies a 671% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,853 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.36%
Cash-on-cash
18.11%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$146,664
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
619 Geary St 0.00mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,372 (-9%) 1mo $130,000 $95 79
2414 Reel St 0.30mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,522 (+1%) 3mo $168,500 $111 76
2660 Jefferson St 0.06mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,391 (-8%) 5mo $135,500 $97 73
626 Geary St 0.03mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,668 (+10%) 2mo $80,000 $48 71
2639 N 6th St 0.02mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,680 (+11%) 5mo $145,000 $86 70
625 Oxford St 0.23mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,332 (-12%) 1mo $94,000 $71 64
542 Seneca St 0.30mi 5/1.5 1,722 (+14%) 2mo $170,000 $99 59
3211 N 4th St 0.66mi 4/1.0 (-1) 1,470 (-3%) 1mo $185,000 $126 59
3227 N 4th St 0.69mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,530 (+1%) 3mo $144,000 $94 56
2152 Penn St 0.73mi 5/1.0 1,596 (+6%) 4mo $105,000 $66 53
3007 N 3rd St 0.53mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,654 (+9%) 5mo $205,000 $124 49
2119 Green St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+6%) 2mo $176,000 $110 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$11,795
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
16.1%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$46,475
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17110

Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,835 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,391/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$570

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,113
Max offer price $134,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $646 -5% $608 +0% $570 +5% $532 +10% $494
Rent -10% $425 -5% $497 +0% $570 +5% $642 +10% $715
Rate -1.0pp $638 -0.5pp $604 base $570 +0.5pp $535 +1.0pp $499

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2715 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1620 $1,650 $1.02 15d 1 0.06mi
2728 N 6th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1786 $1,750 $0.98 15d 1 0.10mi
514 Radnor St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1498 $1,600 $1.07 44d 1 0.16mi
2406 Reel St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,395 $0.93 44d 1 0.34mi
652 Emerald St Harrisburg, PA 5.0 1.0 1550 $1,740 $1.12 44d 1 0.43mi
2118 N 4th St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1383 $1,595 $1.15 44d 1 0.68mi
3216 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1550 $2,200 $1.42 15d 1 0.73mi
2153 Penn St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,995 $1.23 44d 1 0.74mi
2032 Susquehanna St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.5 1600 $1,595 $1.00 44d 1 0.83mi
1834 Green St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0 1792 $1,495 $0.83 24d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-04-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-25
    price $134,900
  3. 2026-02-21
    listed $139,900 Active
  4. 2026-02-18
    historical $139,900
  5. 2019-12-13
    historical
  6. 2019-11-04
    status Active
  7. 2019-10-22
    status Pending
  8. 2019-10-08
    listed $20,000 Active
  9. 2019-03-25
    soldstatus $17,500 Closed 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent

  10. 2019-03-12
    status Pending 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent

  11. 2019-01-13
    listed $21,000 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Investor Alert! Add this income producing, tenant occupied rental to your portfolio today! 5 bedrooms, 1 bath ready for a new owner! Tenant pays 750 rent

  12. 2018-04-17
    soldstatus $13,000
  13. 2018-04-03
    historical
  14. 2018-03-08
    listed $21,900
  15. 2017-08-25
    soldstatus $13,000
  16. 2017-06-06
    historical
  17. 2016-12-13
    listed $16,000
  18. 2015-10-29
    soldstatus $6,000
  19. 2015-10-09
    historical
  20. 2013-08-08
    listed $10,000
  21. 2008-06-13
    soldstatus $38,000
  22. 2008-05-13
    historical
  23. 2008-04-08
    listed $44,900
  24. 2007-01-30
    soldstatus $16,500
  25. 2006-11-28
    listed $18,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,391 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,761 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$370/yr (+$31/mo · 26.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,018
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$1,391
− Insurance
−$674
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,761
− Management
−$1,761
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable income
$4,948
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,188
After-tax cash flow
$5,651/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrisburg City SD
NCES district ID
4211580
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$33,432
Composite
7.6/100
National rank
#9945
State rank
#535 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#826

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harrisburg, PA
County
Dauphin County · 247,857 people
City population
184,296
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,364
Household income
$80,699
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1037.0

Population outlook (Dauphin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
281,628 people
By 2030
283,549 · +0.7%
By 2040
285,385 · +1.3%
By 2050
286,188 · +1.6%
By 2075
291,053 · +3.3%
By 2100
282,374 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, India, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dauphin

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.9) · D 52.4% · R 46.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.1pp · 2024: 5.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.9 2020: D+8.5 2016: D+2.8 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+9.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -144.07%
Current HPI
257.826
Rent YoY
▲ 1.55%
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+613.8% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-21 Listed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Coming Soon $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-12-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-11-04 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-10-08 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-03-25 Sold (MLS) $17,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-03-12 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-01-13 Listed $21,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-17 Sold (MLS) $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-03-08 Listed $21,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-08-25 Sold (MLS) $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-06-06 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-12-13 Listed $16,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-10-29 Sold (MLS) $6,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-10-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-08-08 Listed $10,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-06-13 Sold (MLS) $38,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-05-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-04-08 Listed $44,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-01-30 Sold (MLS) $16,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-11-28 Listed $18,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,391 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…