203 E 4th St · De Pue, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$92,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained 3-bedroom home. Recently remodeled bathroom with walk in shower. Main level laundry, full basement. Replacement windows throughout. 2 1-car garages, fenced yard. This home is truly move in ready!
Key facts
- His-and-hers closets
- Two garages
- Gas heat
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Depue (Township: Selby); Directions: Entering Depue on East St, turn east onto W 4th St and continue about half a mile; property is on the right
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 total parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story design; Fee simple ownership; Over 100 years old; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Not rebuilt or recently rehabbed
- Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 6098 (source: other)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (9 x 19)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Master bedroom on second level (13 x 13); Second bedroom on second level (15 x 9); Third bedroom on main level (11 x 7)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Enclosed heated porch (7 x 19); Family room; Living room (13 x 12); Dining room; Unfinished full basement; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (9 x 7)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#760 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Depue USD 103 (rural): math 6% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #782 of 919 in IL (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Depue Elem School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 228 students, 0% FRL); Depue High School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 101 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 61% district-wide (61 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Bureau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($636 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Bureau County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $92k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.73%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $18,959
- Equity at exit
- $41,367
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $56,586
- Equity at exit
- $63,752
Cash invested: $25,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61322
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,016 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$482
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,904/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $123
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $175 | -5% $149 | +0% $123 | +5% $97 | +10% $71 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $43 | -5% $83 | +0% $123 | +5% $163 | +10% $203 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $169 | -0.5pp $146 | base $123 | +0.5pp $99 | +1.0pp $75 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,000
- Closing costs
- $2,760
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $92,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $92,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $92,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$92,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,904 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,996 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 4.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,190
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,153
- − Property taxes
- −$1,904
- − Insurance
- −$460
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$975
- − Management
- −$975
- − Depreciation
- −$2,676
- Taxable income
- $45
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,465/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Depue USD 103
- NCES district ID
- 1712090
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,525
- Composite
- 16.57/100
- National rank
- #14242
- State rank
- #782 of 919 in IL
Livability — De Pue
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #760
- US rank
- #15323
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- De Pue, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,550
Population outlook (Bureau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,938 people
- By 2030
- 29,461 · -4.8%
- By 2040
- 26,296 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 23,271 · -24.8%
- By 2075
- 17,749 · -42.6%
- By 2100
- 13,107 · -57.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% White 31% Two or more races 22% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 62%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 36%
Political lean MEDSL · Bureau
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.3) · D 36.9% · R 61.2% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.0pp toward R · 2008: 5.7pp · 2024: -24.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.3 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+5.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+77.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $92,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-10-02 Sold (Public Records) $44,500 Public Records
- 2017-09-29 Sold (MLS) $44,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-07-15 Listed $51,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,904 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…