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603 Shirley St
F Composite 32.13
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$320,900

603 Shirley St · Hardeeville, SC 29927
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,058 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 1983 8,712 sqft lot Est $264k · 21% over ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

603 Shirley St - Hardeeville, SC 29927 Welcome to this charming single-family home located in a quiet, established neighborhood in Hardeeville, South Carolina. This cozy single-story residence offers approximately 1,058 square feet of living space situated on a generous 8,712 sq ft lot, providing both comfortable indoor living and ample outdoor space. The spacious yard offers plenty of room for gardening, entertaining, or future expansion, making it a versatile property for a variety of lifestyles. A storage shed with power adds additional functionality for hobbies, storage, or workshop use. Recent updates include a new roof installed in 2021 and a new HVAC system installed in 2022, offeri

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1983

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions to property provided
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA information not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: No attached garage
  • Security: Security: information not provided
  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story (implied by crawl foundation and total building area); Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Property address: 603 Shirley Street, Hardeeville, SC 29927
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Building area approximately 1,058 (unit not restated as per instructions)
  • Exterior features: Residential zoning; Lot approximately 0.2 acres

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Automatic garage door opener (listed with appliances)
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms: information not provided
  • Flooring: Flooring: information not provided
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric central heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan (implied by appliances and single-level layout)
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: information not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $321k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-258 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (14.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (35.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (35.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Hardeeville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#136 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jasper 01 (rural): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #77 of 80 in SC (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 503 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,385 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jasper County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($292k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,603 (35.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.44%
DSCR
0.85
GRM
12.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$264,500
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 Charles St 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,062 (+0%) 21mo $265,000 $250 50
1693 Paynesville Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,107 (+5%) 11mo $275,000 $248 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$152,082
Equity at exit
$289,092
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.00×
Total profit
$449,500
Equity at exit
$623,438

Cash invested: $89,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29927

Home prices YoY
18.8%
Rents YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
503
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,086 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,683
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,070/yr
Insurance
$134
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$-258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,412
Max offer price $275,371
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-76 -5% $-167 +0% $-258 +5% $-349 +10% $-439
Rent -10% $-423 -5% $-340 +0% $-258 +5% $-175 +10% $-93
Rate -1.0pp $-96 -0.5pp $-176 base $-258 +0.5pp $-341 +1.0pp $-425

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,225
Closing costs
$9,627
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
118 Garr Ln Unit F-102 Hardeeville, SC 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 21d 1 0.65mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $320,900 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $320,900 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $320,900 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $320,900 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $320,900 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $320,900 Active 92 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $320,900 Active 90 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $320,900 Active 89 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $320,900 Active 88 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $320,900 Active 87 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $320,900 Active 83 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $320,900 Active 82 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $320,900 Active 81 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $320,900 Active 80 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $320,900 Active 79 DOM
  16. 2026-04-10
    price $320,900
  17. 2026-03-12
    listed $324,900 Active
  18. 2026-03-12
    price $324,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,070 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,829 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$759/yr (+$63/mo · 71.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,032
− Mortgage interest
−$17,975
− Property taxes
−$1,070
− Insurance
−$1,604
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,003
− Management
−$2,003
− Depreciation
−$9,335
Taxable loss
−$8,958
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,150
After-tax cash flow
$-943/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jasper 01
NCES district ID
4502520
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,878
Composite
14.23/100
National rank
#9450
State rank
#77 of 80 in SC

Livability — Hardeeville

Score
65/100
State rank
#136
US rank
#13105

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment B Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hardeeville, SC
County
Jasper County · 26,362 people
City population
11,373
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
Population (ZIP)
11,373
Household income
$72,821
Rent vs Own
24.4% rent · 75.6% own
Severe rent burden
337.0

Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,428 people
By 2030
37,718 · +9.6%
By 2040
44,061 · +28.0%
By 2050
50,302 · +46.1%
By 2075
66,869 · +94.2%
By 2100
110,455 · +220.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 41% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 27% Two or more races 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 26% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jasper

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.6) · D 44.7% · R 54.3% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-32.5pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -9.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.6 2020: D+0.8 2016: D+11.9 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 60.81%
Current HPI
384.6071
Rent YoY
▼ -1.68%
Metro
Hilton Head Island-Bluffton, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $320,900 LRMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $324,900 LRMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $324,900 LRMLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,070 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…