5451 Kuhns Rd · Twentynine Palms, CA 92277

$150,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 617 Days on market

Built 1958 5.00 ac lot Est $182k · 18% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +4.9/10.0
• 1% rule +4.1/10.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Diamond in the Rough! This property has soo much potential. It has a great well, 5 acres surrounded by BLM Land, very few neighbors and horse stables. It will need a complete remodel, but there is water, power and septic connected. Unilimited views and privacy. The views are protected by over 700 acres of BLM Land which surround this property. The prior owner had several horses, hens and a small garden with irrigation.

Key facts

• Septic connected
• Blm land views
• Horse stables

Tags

• BLM LAND VIEWS
• HORSE STABLES
• SEPTIC CONNECTED

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property contains 2 total units; Has a view; Parcel number available
• HOA & community: Mountainous setting near BLM/National Forest and public preserve land

Exterior

• Parking: 1 garage space; 1 total parking space
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
• Home design: House; Single story; Entry level at ground floor; East-facing entry
• Construction: No common walls (detached); Year built source: Assessor
• Exterior features: Rectangular, secluded lot; No pool

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Evaporative cooling
• Interior features: One-level home; East-facing entry; Walk-in closet; Dressing area; Kitchen included in room list
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($822/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (8.8% below list).
• Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.1% in Twentynine Palms — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#622 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment D-, health & safety F.
• Morongo Unified (town): math 15% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #395 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Twentynine Palms Elementary (math 10% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,335 of 1,571 statewide, top 85%, 548 students, 47% FRL); Twentynine Palms Junior High (math 17% / reading 39%, grade F, #236 of 498 statewide, top 48%, 413 students, 63% FRL); Twentynine Palms High (math 32% / reading 62%, grade D-, #389 of 1,170 statewide, top 35%, 729 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 751 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 617 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $23k; list at $150k implies a 552% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 617 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.91% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.96%
• DSCR: 1.09
• GRM: 9.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $182,364
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
82525 Amboy Rd	0.55mi	1/1.0	960 (-12%)	13mo	$160,000	$167	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.57×
• Total profit: $-17,914
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: -0.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.97×
• Total profit: $-1,405
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 92277

• Home prices YoY: -3.1%
• Rents YoY: 4.5%
• Active inventory: 751
• Price-to-rent: 9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,368 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$163 /mo · $1,953/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,281

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $153	-5% $111	+0% $68	+5% $26	+10% $-16
Rent	-10% $-40	-5% $14	+0% $68	+5% $123	+10% $177
Rate	-1.0pp $144	-0.5pp $107	base $68	+0.5pp $30	+1.0pp $-10

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $150,000 Active 617 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $150,000 Active 614 DOM
3. 2026-06-18
   statusdays on marketlisting id $150,000 Active 613 DOM
4. 2026-05-14
   status Pending Sale
5. 2026-04-13
   historical Active Under Contract
6. 2026-01-30
   listed $150,000 Active
7. 2024-12-07
   price $150,000 423-char remark

   Show marketing remark (423 chars)

   Diamond in the Rough! This property has soo much potential. It has a great well, 5 acres surrounded by BLM Land, very few neighbors and horse stables. It will need a complete remodel, but there is water, power and septic connected. Unilimited views and privacy. The views are protected by over 700 acres of BLM Land which surround this property. The prior owner had several horses, hens and a small garden with irrigation.

8. 2024-10-12
   listed $170,000 Active 423-char remark

   Show marketing remark (423 chars)

   Diamond in the Rough! This property has soo much potential. It has a great well, 5 acres surrounded by BLM Land, very few neighbors and horse stables. It will need a complete remodel, but there is water, power and septic connected. Unilimited views and privacy. The views are protected by over 700 acres of BLM Land which surround this property. The prior owner had several horses, hens and a small garden with irrigation.

9. 1997-02-20
   soldstatus $23,000
10. 1993-10-15
    soldstatus $27,000
11. 1992-01-09
    soldstatus $40,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,953 · $163/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,953 · $163/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,411
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$1,953
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,313
• − Management: −$1,313
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable loss: −$1,684
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$404
• After-tax cash flow: $1,226/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Morongo Unified
• NCES district ID: 0625860
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 38% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $39,399
• Composite: 22.19/100
• National rank: #8156
• State rank: #395 of 517 in CA

Livability — Twentynine Palms

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #622
• US rank: #19731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living C Crime C Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
• City population: 26,277
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• Population (ZIP): 26,277
• Household income: $60,901
• Rent vs Own: 56.7% rent · 43.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 1057.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,300,329 people
• By 2030: 2,378,907 · +3.4%
• By 2040: 2,523,137 · +9.7%
• By 2050: 2,642,388 · +14.9%
• By 2075: 2,880,769 · +25.2%
• By 2100: 2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 49% Two or more races 24% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 9% Asian 4% Pacific Islander 1% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20%
• Common ancestry: Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
• Foreign-born: 9% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -12.15%
• Current HPI: 380.5083
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.45%
• Metro: Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

+270.4% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Pending — CRMLS
• 2026-04-13 Contingent — CRMLS
• 2026-01-30 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
• 2024-12-07 Price Changed $150,000 CRMLS
• 2024-10-12 Listed $170,000 CRMLS
• 1997-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
• 1993-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
• 1992-01-09 Sold (Public Records) $40,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,953 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.