505 Chipmunk Rd · Pocono Mountain Lake Estates, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- Appreciation +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Escape to the heart of the Pocono Mountains with this charming 2-bedroom raised ranch, perfectly suited as an affordable starter home or a serene vacation retreat. The main level welcomes you with an open floor plan and an updated kitchen that makes meal preparation and entertaining a breeze. You can step directly from the living area onto a beautiful, spacious deck designed for relaxing while surrounded by the quiet beauty of a wooded, private community. Comfort continues on the lower level in the fully finished basement, which significantly expands the home's functional living space. This versatile area features a large recreation room and a dedicated bonus room that works perfectly as a home office or extra guest quarters. A classic coal stove serves as a cozy focal point. For added convenience, the lower level also includes a second full bathroom, ensuring privacy and ease for residents and visitors alike. This property combines modern updates with the rustic charm of mountain living at a price point that is hard to beat in today's market. Whether you are looking for a full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this home offers the lifestyle you have been dreaming of.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Dedicated bonus room
- Spacious deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Annual association fee of $1,200
Exterior
- Parking: 3-car garage; Driveway parking; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: 2-story home; Residential zoning
- Construction: T1-11 siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Sloped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedrooms not itemized)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood; Laminate; Resilient; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard electric heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Daylight, full, finished basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,507 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- East Stroudsburg Area SD (rural): math 25% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #413 of 539 in PA (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 290 active listings in the ZIP; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.5% local appreciation)).
- Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.80%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $234,501
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -14.76%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.51% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $37,911
- Equity at exit
- $95,633
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $116,897
- Equity at exit
- $152,018
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18324
- Home prices YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 290
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$257 /mo · $3,086/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$100
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $100 · $1,200/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-14$199,900 Active 1189-char remark
Show marketing remark (1189 chars)
Escape to the heart of the Pocono Mountains with this charming 2-bedroom raised ranch, perfectly suited as an affordable starter home or a serene vacation retreat. The main level welcomes you with an open floor plan and an updated kitchen that makes meal preparation and entertaining a breeze. You can step directly from the living area onto a beautiful, spacious deck designed for relaxing while surrounded by the quiet beauty of a wooded, private community. Comfort continues on the lower level in the fully finished basement, which significantly expands the home's functional living space. This versatile area features a large recreation room and a dedicated bonus room that works perfectly as a home office or extra guest quarters. A classic coal stove serves as a cozy focal point. For added convenience, the lower level also includes a second full bathroom, ensuring privacy and ease for residents and visitors alike. This property combines modern updates with the rustic charm of mountain living at a price point that is hard to beat in today's market. Whether you are looking for a full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this home offers the lifestyle you have been dreaming of.
-
2026-05-14$199,900 Active 1189-char remark
Show marketing remark (1189 chars)
Escape to the heart of the Pocono Mountains with this charming 2-bedroom raised ranch, perfectly suited as an affordable starter home or a serene vacation retreat. The main level welcomes you with an open floor plan and an updated kitchen that makes meal preparation and entertaining a breeze. You can step directly from the living area onto a beautiful, spacious deck designed for relaxing while surrounded by the quiet beauty of a wooded, private community. Comfort continues on the lower level in the fully finished basement, which significantly expands the home's functional living space. This versatile area features a large recreation room and a dedicated bonus room that works perfectly as a home office or extra guest quarters. A classic coal stove serves as a cozy focal point. For added convenience, the lower level also includes a second full bathroom, ensuring privacy and ease for residents and visitors alike. This property combines modern updates with the rustic charm of mountain living at a price point that is hard to beat in today's market. Whether you are looking for a full-time residence or a weekend getaway, this home offers the lifestyle you have been dreaming of.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,086 · $257/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,122 · $260/mo
- Expected delta
- +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 1.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$3,086
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,968
- − Management
- −$1,968
- − HOA
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$1,634
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$392
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,961/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Stroudsburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4208670
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,142
- Composite
- 30.13/100
- National rank
- #6332
- State rank
- #413 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pocono Mountain Lake Estates
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1507
- US rank
- #19519
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pocono Mountain Lake Estates, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,591
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,548 people
- By 2030
- 51,622 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 46,490 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 40,372 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 31,951 · -40.3%
- By 2100
- 26,821 · -49.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 21% Two or more races 12% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.6% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+19.0 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+11.0 2008: R+4.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.51%
- Current HPI
- 243.6754
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-19 Pending — PMAR
- 2026-05-14 Listed $199,900 PMAR
- 2026-05-14 Listed $199,900 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2026): $3,086 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…