706 S Fallon Ct · Hampton, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great house to make your own, house has good bones but to be sold as is. Seller do no repairs.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Built 1963
- Listed 26 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA fees
Exterior
- Parking: Street parking; Driveway space; Close to mass transit
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater
- Home design: Detached property; Tri-level style; 2 stories; Crawl space foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum and brick siding; Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac; Back yard fenced with chain link; Storage shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Breakfast area; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Bedroom with full bathroom on the first floor; Master bedroom with bath; Spare room
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Scuttle access
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (2.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $195k (2.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.5% in Hampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#133 in VA, #4,302 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Hampton City Public School District (urban): math 60% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #40 of 131 in VA (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: A.W.E. Bassette Elementary (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #900 of 1,108 statewide, top 83%, 494 students, 87% FRL); Hampton High (math 60% / reading 75%, grade B, #183 of 319 statewide, top 58%, 1,359 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 86% FRL vs 49% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+21.4%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 68 units permitted in Hampton city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hampton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $200k implies a 1180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.54%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $304,119
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -34.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470 Algonquin Rd | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+4%) | 5mo | $318,000 | $212 | 72 |
| 27 Maplewood St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,427 (-1%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $200 | 70 |
| 429 Lee St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (-2%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $187 | 68 |
| 355 Ivy Home Rd | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-3%) | 0mo | $299,800 | $214 | 65 |
| 806 Fairland Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,620 (+12%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $204 | 65 |
| 405 Seminole Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 1,400 (-3%) | 4mo | $253,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 812 Ridgeway Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,240 (-14%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $202 | 63 |
| 421 Glendale Rd | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 4mo | $280,000 | $194 | 61 |
| 8 Roundtree Cir | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,502 (+4%) | 4mo | $306,000 | $204 | 56 |
| 44 Henry St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-11%) | 0mo | $299,900 | $234 | 52 |
| 55 Victor St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,589 (+10%) | 4mo | $337,000 | $212 | 52 |
| 615 Bell St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,265 (-12%) | 4mo | $195,350 | $154 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-8,639
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $56,648
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23661
- Home prices YoY
- -16.7%
- Rents YoY
- 21.4%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,947 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$194 /mo · $2,328/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $325 | -5% $268 | +0% $212 | +5% $155 | +10% $99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $135 | +0% $212 | +5% $289 | +10% $366 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $263 | base $212 | +0.5pp $160 | +1.0pp $107 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 534 Brightwood Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1528 | $2,095 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 607 Lee St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $2,150 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 626 Chapel St Hampton, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,900 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 708 Westwood Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 16d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 507 Highland Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 16d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 901 W Queen St Hampton, VA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1096 | $1,600 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 702 Rutherford St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $1,795 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 448 Chapel St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $1,850 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 310 Lasalle Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1625 W Pembroke Ave Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1625 W Pembroke Ave Unit 7 Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3750 Kecoughtan Rd Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 316 Fountain Way Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $2,600 | $1.41 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 101 Prince James Dr Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1766 | $1,645 | $0.93 | 16d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 600 Freeman Dr Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 892 | $2,008 | $2.25 | 3d | 8 | 1.21mi |
| 27 Capps Qtrs #1 Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1734 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 63 Algonquin Rd Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2 Abbott Dr Hampton, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1187 | $2,891 | $2.43 | 3d | 18 | 1.27mi |
| 640 Rolfe St Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 234 Washington St Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1111 | $2,000 | $1.80 | 11d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 236 Pocahontas Pl Hampton, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1262 | $1,795 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 130 Pocahontas Pl Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,695 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 100 Spanish Trl Hampton, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 812 | $1,450 | $1.79 | 3d | 12 | 1.50mi |
| 1105 Easterly Ave Hampton, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1204 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $200,000 Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$212,500 Active 94-char remark
-
1968-05-01soldstatus $15,628
-
1963-11-01soldstatus $14,250
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,328 · $194/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,328 · $194/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$2,328
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,869
- − Management
- −$1,869
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$726
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$174
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,715/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hampton City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5101800
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,089
- Composite
- 55.19/100
- National rank
- #1272
- State rank
- #40 of 131 in VA
Livability — Hampton
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #133
- US rank
- #4302
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hampton, VA
- County
- Hampton City · 132,421 people
- City population
- 132,421
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,005
- Household income
- $65,446
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 704.0
Population outlook (Hampton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,055 people
- By 2030
- 131,753 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 125,017 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 116,825 · -12.9%
- By 2075
- 97,033 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 76,188 · -43.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 31% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hampton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+39.9) · D 69.2% · R 29.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.0pp no change · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 39.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+39.9 2020: D+42.2 2016: D+37.8 2012: D+45.4 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.95%
- Current HPI
- 274.2769
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 21.35%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+1303.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $200,000 REINMLS
- 2026-05-13 Listed $212,500 REINMLS
- 1968-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,628 Public Records
- 1963-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $14,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,328 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…