217 Washington St · Bismarck, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.9/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 2,204 sq ft lot
- Built 1905
- Listed 132 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($233/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (11.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Bismarck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#5 in ND, #2,213 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Bismarck 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #25 of 53 in ND (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Dorothy Moses Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 236 statewide, top 73%, 371 students, 66% FRL); Wachter Middle School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #26 of 35 statewide, top 79%, 1,000 students, 30% FRL); Bismarck High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #90 of 144 statewide, top 66%, 1,333 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 41% FRL vs 19% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 117d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 259 units permitted in Burleigh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Burleigh County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.44%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $278,789
- List price
- $189,900
- Delta
- -31.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 419 Broadway Ave W | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (-1%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $156 | 75 |
| 512 W Broadway Ave | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,774 (+1%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $138 | 71 |
| 621 Garden Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (-5%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $165 | 63 |
| 515 W Avenue A | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,756 (+0%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $117 | 58 |
| 611 Anderson St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,832 (+4%) | 1mo | $298,000 | $163 | 54 |
| 319 Willow Ln | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,824 (+4%) | 16mo | $309,900 | $170 | 44 |
| 527 Meadow Ln | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,966 (+12%) | 16mo | $230,000 | $117 | 43 |
| 908 Lincoln Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,002 (+14%) | 4mo | $364,900 | $182 | 38 |
| 313 9th St S | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,904 (+9%) | 12mo | $259,900 | $137 | 38 |
| 912 Summit Blvd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,993 (+14%) | 14mo | $239,900 | $120 | 35 |
| 1318 Pocatello Dr | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,920 (+10%) | 6mo | $359,900 | $187 | 35 |
| 318 C Ave W | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,940 (+11%) | 12mo | $257,000 | $132 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-29,834
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-25,601
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 7 active · 14 under contract
- Months of supply
- 3.0 mo (33%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $279,900 ($162/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 38 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -2.0% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 58504
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,686 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$237 /mo · $2,848/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $19
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $151 | -5% $85 | +0% $19 | +5% $-46 | +10% $-112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-114 | -5% $-47 | +0% $19 | +5% $86 | +10% $153 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $115 | -0.5pp $68 | base $19 | +0.5pp $-30 | +1.0pp $-80 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 E Arbor Ave Bismarck, ND | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 215 E Arbor Ave Unit 205-201G Bismarck, ND | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $1,295 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 505 1/2 S 10th St Bismarck, ND | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,600 | $1.07 | 117d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1543 S Washington St Bismarck, ND | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,050 | $1.37 | 117d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 926 N Mandan St Bismarck, ND | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $2,436 | $1.20 | 117d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 308 N 13th St Unit 1 Bismarck, ND | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1680 | $1,999 | $1.19 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 127 Stuttgart Dr Unit 1 Bismarck, ND | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,400 | $0.88 | 117d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1304 N 4th St Bismarck, ND | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1975 | $1,800 | $0.91 | 117d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1121 N 12th St Unit Main Bismarck, ND | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,500 | $0.94 | 117d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Off-street parkingNo garage
- Security
- Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single family residenceResidential propertyThree or more levels
- Construction
- Metal sidingSteel siding
- Exterior features
- Shingle roofNo exterior features listedNo fencing
Interior
- Kitchen
- RangeRefrigeratorDishwasher not listed
- Bedrooms
- Total of 9 rooms (bedrooms included)
- Flooring
- CarpetHardwoodLinoleum
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Hot water heatingCeiling fan(s) for cooling
- Interior features
- Finished full basementSmoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerHot water heating
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-21days on market $189,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $189,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $189,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $189,900 Active 129 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $189,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $189,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $189,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $189,900 Active 124 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $189,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $189,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $189,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $189,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $189,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $189,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $189,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $189,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $189,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricedays on market $189,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $207,500 Active 111 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $207,500 Active 110 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $207,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $207,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $207,500 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $207,500 Active 104 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $207,500 Active 103 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $207,500 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $207,500 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $207,500 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $207,500 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $207,500 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $207,500 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $207,500 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $207,500 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $207,500 Active 91 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $207,500 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $207,500 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $207,500 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $207,500 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $207,500 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $207,500 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $207,500 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $207,500 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $207,500 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $207,500 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $207,500 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $207,500 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $207,500 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $207,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $207,500 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $207,500 Active 74 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$2,848
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,618
- − Management
- −$1,618
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$2,967
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$712
- After-tax cash flow
- $945/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathroom, and some exterior maintenance. Fresh paint and new countertops would significantly enhance its resale value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and in need of updating
- Minor exterior siding — some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint interior walls — fresh paint enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale replace kitchen countertops — new countertops improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale update kitchen cabinets — new cabinets modernize the space ↑
- Resale replace bathroom fixtures — new fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Resale landscape front yard — improved landscaping enhances curb appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bismarck 1
- NCES district ID
- 3800014
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,649
- Composite
- 36.76/100
- National rank
- #4577
- State rank
- #25 of 53 in ND
Livability — Bismarck
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #5
- US rank
- #2213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bismarck, ND
- County
- Burleigh County · 119,359 people
- City population
- 97,300
- Metro
- Bismarck, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,212
- Household income
- $85,637
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Burleigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 119,359 people
- By 2030
- 133,047 · +11.5%
- By 2040
- 161,545 · +35.3%
- By 2050
- 191,960 · +60.8%
- By 2075
- 274,569 · +130.0%
- By 2100
- 350,910 · +194.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Native American 8% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 13% Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Burleigh
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.2) · D 27.5% · R 70.7% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.7pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -43.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.2 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.1 2008: R+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.70%
- Current HPI
- 210.0651
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.81%
- Metro
- Bismarck, ND
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Listed $207,500 GNMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…