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417 Brobst
D Composite 41.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

417 Brobst · Shillington, PA 19607
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,282 sqft · Other public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1930 2,613 sqft lot $168/sqft · at area comps Est $221k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade finished area reported by assessor

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached rear-entry garage with 2 spaces; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers; Cable TV available; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Semi-detached; Pitched shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Pitched shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Exterior lighting; Patio(s); Porch(es); Level lot with front and rear yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in range; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Wood; Fully carpeted areas; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Wall air conditioning unit (electric)
  • Interior features: Butler's pantry; Ceiling fans; Stain/lead glass; Eat-in kitchen
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-260/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (1.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (10.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.9% in Shillington — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#230 in PA, #2,007 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Governor Mifflin SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #325 of 539 in PA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Governor Mifflin Shs (math 50% / reading 24%, grade F, #288 of 437 statewide, top 66%, 1,480 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 27% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $108k; list at $215k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,823 (10.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.17%
Cash-on-cash
-0.43%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$221,435
List price
$215,000
Delta
-2.91%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.0%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-36,159
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-8.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-33,019
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19607

Home prices YoY
-14.1%
Active inventory
87
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,918 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$320 /mo · $3,840/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$-22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,946
Max offer price $211,171
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
330 N Wyomissing Ave Reading, PA 2.0 1.0 903 $1,950 $2.16 43d 1 0.07mi
101 Washington St Shillington, PA 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,775 $1.76 43d 1 0.39mi
311 Mifflin Blvd Reading, PA 2.0 1.0 1242 $1,600 $1.29 13d 1 0.67mi
8 Nassau Ct Reading, PA 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,900 $1.51 13d 1 0.97mi
1401 Pershing Blvd Reading, PA 2.0 1.0 1040 $1,700 $1.63 43d 1 0.98mi
1375 Pershing Blvd Unit D4 Reading, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,700 $1.70 43d 1 1.07mi
1342 W Wyomissing Blvd West Lawn, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 865 $1,775 $2.05 13d 16 1.35mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1272-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    historical 1272-char remark
  3. 2026-05-01
    listed $215,000 Active 1272-char remark
  4. 2026-04-30
    historical $215,000 1272-char remark
  5. 2016-07-08
    soldstatus $108,500 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  6. 2016-07-08
    soldstatus $108,500 Sold
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  7. 2016-07-08
    soldstatus $108,500
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  8. 2016-05-27
    status Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  9. 2016-05-19
    price $109,900
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  10. 2016-05-19
    historical
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  11. 2016-04-29
    price $105,000
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  12. 2016-03-01
    price $109,900
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  13. 2016-01-04
    listed $114,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  14. 2016-01-04
    listed $109,900 373-char remark
    Show marketing remark (373 chars)

    Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.

  15. 2015-12-08
    historical
  16. 2015-07-10
    listed $124,900
  17. 2011-07-01
    historical
  18. 2011-06-24
    listed $124,900
  19. 2000-06-28
    historical
  20. 2000-06-28
    listed $88,800
  21. 1999-01-05
    soldstatus $84,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,840 · $320/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,840 · $320/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,019
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,840
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,842
− Management
−$1,842
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$3,877
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$931
After-tax cash flow
$670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Governor Mifflin SD
NCES district ID
4210860
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$60,881
Composite
35.88/100
National rank
#4815
State rank
#325 of 539 in PA

Livability — Shillington

Score
79/100
State rank
#230
US rank
#2007

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Shillington, PA
County
Berks County · 195,629 people
Metro
Reading, PA
Population (ZIP)
24,045
Household income
$81,346
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
469.0

Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
425,767 people
By 2030
428,814 · +0.7%
By 2040
433,463 · +1.8%
By 2050
439,426 · +3.2%
By 2075
478,647 · +12.4%
By 2100
518,507 · +21.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berks

2024 margin
R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.25%
Current HPI
282.2782
Rent YoY
Metro
Reading, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+156.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $108,500 Public Records
  • 2016-07-08 Sold (MLS) $108,500 TREND
  • 2016-07-08 Sold (MLS) $108,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-05-27 Pending TREND
  • 2016-05-19 Delisted TREND
  • 2016-05-19 Price Changed $109,900 TREND
  • 2016-04-29 Price Changed $105,000 TREND
  • 2016-03-01 Price Changed $109,900 TREND
  • 2016-01-04 Listed $114,900 TREND
  • 2016-01-04 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-12-08 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-07-10 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-07-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-06-24 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-28 Listed $88,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2000-06-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 1999-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,840 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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