417 Brobst · Shillington, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- ARV discount +8.8/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1930
- Listed 5 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade finished area reported by assessor
Exterior
- Parking: Detached rear-entry garage with 2 spaces; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 Amp electric service with circuit breakers; Cable TV available; Natural gas for heating and hot water
- Home design: Semi-detached; Pitched shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Pitched shingle roof
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Street lights; Exterior lighting; Patio(s); Porch(es); Level lot with front and rear yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in range; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Wood; Fully carpeted areas; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (natural gas); Wall air conditioning unit (electric)
- Interior features: Butler's pantry; Ceiling fans; Stain/lead glass; Eat-in kitchen
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-260/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (1.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (10.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $192k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.9% in Shillington — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#230 in PA, #2,007 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Governor Mifflin SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #325 of 539 in PA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Governor Mifflin Shs (math 50% / reading 24%, grade F, #288 of 437 statewide, top 66%, 1,480 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 44% FRL vs 27% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $108k; list at $215k implies a 98% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.43%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,435
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -2.91%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-36,159
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-33,019
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19607
- Home prices YoY
- -14.1%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,918 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$320 /mo · $3,840/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$403
- Net cashflow
- $-22
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330 N Wyomissing Ave Reading, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $1,950 | $2.16 | 43d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 101 Washington St Shillington, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,775 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 311 Mifflin Blvd Reading, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1242 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 8 Nassau Ct Reading, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $1,900 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1401 Pershing Blvd Reading, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,700 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1375 Pershing Blvd Unit D4 Reading, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1342 W Wyomissing Blvd West Lawn, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $1,775 | $2.05 | 13d | 16 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 1272-char remark
-
2026-05-05historical 1272-char remark
-
2026-05-01$215,000 Active 1272-char remark
-
2026-04-30historical $215,000 1272-char remark
-
2016-07-08soldstatus $108,500 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-07-08soldstatus $108,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-07-08soldstatus $108,500
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-05-27status Under Contract
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-05-19price $109,900
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-05-19historical
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-04-29price $105,000
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-03-01price $109,900
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-01-04$114,900 Active
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2016-01-04$109,900 373-char remark
Show marketing remark (373 chars)
Great starter home in Gov. Mifflin Schools. 2 car detached garage. Fenced yard with pond. 1st floor has decent kitchen, dining room and living room. Original hardwood flooring throughout. Upstairs is 3 bedroom, full bath and an attic for storage or could be easily converted into additional space. Basement is finished with a bar and gas fireplace. Gas heat, gas hot water.
-
2015-12-08historical
-
2015-07-10$124,900
-
2011-07-01historical
-
2011-06-24$124,900
-
2000-06-28historical
-
2000-06-28$88,800
-
1999-01-05soldstatus $84,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,840 · $320/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,840 · $320/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,019
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$3,840
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,842
- − Management
- −$1,842
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$3,877
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$931
- After-tax cash flow
- $670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Governor Mifflin SD
- NCES district ID
- 4210860
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,881
- Composite
- 35.88/100
- National rank
- #4815
- State rank
- #325 of 539 in PA
Livability — Shillington
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #230
- US rank
- #2007
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Shillington, PA
- County
- Berks County · 195,629 people
- Metro
- Reading, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,045
- Household income
- $81,346
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 469.0
Population outlook (Berks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 425,767 people
- By 2030
- 428,814 · +0.7%
- By 2040
- 433,463 · +1.8%
- By 2050
- 439,426 · +3.2%
- By 2075
- 478,647 · +12.4%
- By 2100
- 518,507 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Berks
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.2) · D 43.4% · R 55.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -12.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.2 2020: R+8.2 2016: R+10.2 2012: R+0.6 2008: D+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.25%
- Current HPI
- 282.2782
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Reading, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+156.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Coming Soon $215,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $108,500 Public Records
- 2016-07-08 Sold (MLS) $108,500 TREND
- 2016-07-08 Sold (MLS) $108,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-05-27 Pending — TREND
- 2016-05-19 Delisted — TREND
- 2016-05-19 Price Changed $109,900 TREND
- 2016-04-29 Price Changed $105,000 TREND
- 2016-03-01 Price Changed $109,900 TREND
- 2016-01-04 Listed $114,900 TREND
- 2016-01-04 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-12-08 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-07-10 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-07-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-06-24 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-06-28 Listed $88,800 BRIGHT MLS
- 2000-06-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2026): $3,840 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…