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8617 Clarington St Duplex
D+ Composite 48.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.6/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$360,000

8617 Clarington St · Houston, TX 77016
6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,302 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 2022 7,995 sqft lot $156/sqft · at area comps Est $369k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Attention investors! Great investment opportunity with stable rental income and modern upgrades throughout. These well-maintained duplexes feature two units, each offering 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Each unit includes a kitchen, dining area, living area, and a primary bedroom with an ensuite bathroom. Enjoy private fenced backyards, perfect for outdoor use. Conveniently located just minutes from Minute Maid Park, Downtown Houston, the George R. Brown Convention Center, and easy access to major freeways.

Key facts

  • Modern upgrades
  • 7,995 sq ft lot
  • Built 2022

Tags

MODERN UPGRADESPRIVATE FENCED BACKYARDSMINUTES FROM MINUTE MAID PARKEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR FREEWAYS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Has heating and cooling
  • Home design: Residential income property; Built in 2022
  • Construction: Shingle and wood roof
  • Exterior features: Subdivision lot; Fire alarm

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
  • Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
  • Flooring: Plank flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Window treatments / coverings; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Insulated doors; Low emissivity windows
  • Laundry & utility: Includes standard laundry/utility provisions

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2-bath units multifamily listed at $360k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-107 ($-1k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-54/mo.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $341k (5.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $324k (10.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $324k (10.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 372 active listings in the ZIP; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,235/mo this rent would consume 81% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 1297% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (8.7% local appreciation)).
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($349k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $323,500 (10.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.28%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$369,287
List price
$360,000
Delta
-2.51%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4812 Cruse Rd 0.09mi 6/1.0 2,274 (-1%) 16mo $289,000 $127 69
5003 Jones St 0.13mi 6/2.0 2,420 (+5%) 19mo $430,000 $178 62
7809 Glass St 0.71mi 6/— 2,325 (+1%) 20mo $274,500 $118 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.65% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$148,575
Equity at exit
$289,539
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
5.19×
Total profit
$422,517
Equity at exit
$590,741

Cash invested: $100,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77016

Home prices YoY
2.8%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
18.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,235 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,888
Tax from tax record
$625 /mo · $7,500/yr
Insurance
$150
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$679
Net cashflow
$-107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,371
Max offer price $341,053
Occupancy floor 98%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,235

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$90,000
Closing costs
$10,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 45 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $360,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $360,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $360,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $360,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $360,000 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $360,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $360,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $360,000 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $360,000 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $360,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-04-27
    listed $360,000 Active 514-char remark
  12. 2026-04-21
    historical
  13. 2026-03-12
    price $380,000
  14. 2026-02-20
    listed $395,000 Active
  15. 2026-02-16
    price $395,000
  16. 2026-02-16
    historical
  17. 2026-01-26
    price $400,000
  18. 2025-12-22
    price $405,000
  19. 2025-11-06
    listed $409,350 Active
  20. 2025-10-22
    historical
  21. 2025-10-22
    listed $409,350
  22. 2024-12-19
    soldstatus Sold
  23. 2024-12-18
    soldstatus
  24. 2024-12-04
    status Pending
  25. 2024-11-30
    status Option Pending
  26. 2024-11-12
    listed $419,000 Active
  27. 2024-07-27
    historical
  28. 2024-07-05
    price $390,000
  29. 2024-04-10
    listed $395,000 Active
  30. 2023-04-25
    soldstatus Sold
  31. 2023-03-10
    status Pending, Continue to Show
  32. 2023-02-02
    listed $379,999 Active
  33. 2021-11-30
    historical
  34. 2021-08-22
    listed $61,999 Active
  35. 2021-08-16
    soldstatus
  36. 2021-08-10
    soldstatus Sold
  37. 2021-07-28
    status Pending
  38. 2021-07-24
    price $53,000
  39. 2021-07-18
    price $65,000
  40. 2021-07-14
    listed $70,000 Active
  41. 2021-04-09
    soldstatus
  42. 2019-04-29
    soldstatus
  43. 2009-12-09
    soldstatus
  44. 2009-10-08
    soldstatus
  45. 1991-04-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,500 · $625/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,500 · $625/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,820
− Mortgage interest
−$20,166
− Property taxes
−$7,500
− Insurance
−$1,800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,106
− Management
−$3,106
− Depreciation
−$10,473
Taxable loss
−$7,330
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,759
After-tax cash flow
$472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,841
Household income
$47,677
Rent vs Own
38.8% rent · 61.2% own
Severe rent burden
1297.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (56%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 28%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
61% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.65%
Current HPI
315.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 0.44%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+414.3% since first listed
36 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $360,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $380,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Listed $395,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $395,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $400,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Price Changed $405,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $409,350 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Listed $409,350 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-22 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-12-19 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2024-12-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-12-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-11-30 Pending HARMLS
  • 2024-11-12 Listed $419,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-07-27 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-07-05 Price Changed $390,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Listed $395,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-04-25 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2023-03-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2023-02-02 Listed $379,999 HARMLS
  • 2021-11-30 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2021-08-22 Listed $61,999 HARMLS
  • 2021-08-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-08-10 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2021-07-28 Pending HARMLS
  • 2021-07-24 Price Changed $53,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-07-18 Price Changed $65,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-07-14 Listed $70,000 HARMLS
  • 2021-04-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-04-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-12-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-10-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1991-04-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+19.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,500 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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