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408 Tim Garcia St
B- Composite 66.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,000

408 Tim Garcia St · La Feria, TX 78559
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,036 sqft · SingleFamily · 188 Days on market
Built 1960 Poor condition 5,000 sqft lot $57/sqft · 70% below area ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special. Priced for quick cash sale. A total of 2 properties on 3 lots (one is a 1/2 lot) and ready for make it grand again! CASH only.

Key facts

  • 5,000 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 188 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 4.4% in La Feria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.38%
Cash-on-cash
28.90%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,886
List price
$59,000
Delta
-70.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
315 N Drift St N 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,112 (+7%) 4mo $212,700 $191 70
606 Avenue B 0.15mi 3/1.0 960 (-7%) 18mo $129,500 $135 66
1401 W Drift St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+11%) 14mo $209,000 $182 60
217 S Drift St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+11%) 11mo $209,900 $183 58
205 S Drift St 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,165 (+12%) 14mo $209,000 $179 54
317 S Drift St 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+11%) 16mo $209,000 $182 53
716 Hibiscus Ave 0.52mi 2/1.5 (-1) 960 (-7%) 7mo $95,000 $99 51
118 S Drift St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,175 (+13%) 14mo $209,000 $178 47
203 N Drift St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+11%) 20mo $209,000 $182 47
213 S Drift St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,165 (+12%) 18mo $209,000 $179 45
402 N Drift St 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,165 (+12%) 14mo $209,000 $179 38
517 Marjory Ave 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,150 (+11%) 16mo $185,900 $162 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$15,795
Equity at exit
$8,797
10-year hold
IRR
31.2%
Equity multiple
3.81×
Total profit
$46,445
Equity at exit
$5,101

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78559

Home prices YoY
-6.1%
Active inventory
260
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,020 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax est. 1.5%
$74 /mo · $885/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$214
Net cashflow
$398

Break-even live

Break-even rent $516
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $439 -5% $418 +0% $398 +5% $377 +10% $357
Rent -10% $317 -5% $358 +0% $398 +5% $438 +10% $478
Rate -1.0pp $428 -0.5pp $413 base $398 +0.5pp $383 +1.0pp $367

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
508 6th St Unit A La Feria, TX 2.0 2.0 926 $1,000 $1.08 21d 1 0.13mi
910 S Palmera Dr La Feria, TX 2.0 2.0 1480 $950 $0.64 14d 1 0.40mi
405 Lion's Villa Ave Unit 15 La Feria, TX 2.0 1.5 992 $999 $1.01 14d 1 0.52mi
200 Cub Cir La Feria, TX 2.0 1.5 966 $1,024 $1.06 14d 1 0.63mi
300 Cub Cir Unit 2 La Feria, TX 2.0 1.5 966 $1,050 $1.09 44d 1 0.64mi
2328 S Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX 2.0 2.0 954 $1,100 $1.15 44d 1 1.42mi
2114 E Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX 2.0 2.0 954 $1,100 $1.15 14d 1 1.45mi
2432 S Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX 3.0 2.0 1149 $1,275 $1.11 44d 1 1.47mi
2332 S Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX 2.0 2.0 954 $1,000 $1.05 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 188 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 187 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 186 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 185 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,000 Active 183 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 182 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,000 Active 180 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 179 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 178 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 177 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,000 Active 173 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 172 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 171 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 170 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 169 DOM
  16. 2026-03-24
    price $59,000 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    Investor Special. Priced for quick cash sale. A total of 2 properties on 3 lots (one is a 1/2 lot) and ready for make it grand again! CASH only.

  17. 2025-12-12
    listed $65,000 Active 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    Investor Special. Priced for quick cash sale. A total of 2 properties on 3 lots (one is a 1/2 lot) and ready for make it grand again! CASH only.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,237
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$885
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$979
− Management
−$979
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,078
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$979
After-tax cash flow
$3,796/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovations, including kitchen and bathroom updates, exterior siding and window repairs, and HVAC system replacement. The high level of needed work suggests a significant investment, but the potential for increased value makes it a worthwhile project for investors.

Repairs flagged

  • Major kitchen cabinets — severely worn and outdated
  • Major bathroom fixtures — dated and in poor condition
  • Major exterior siding — weathered and in need of replacement
  • Major windows — boarded-up and in need of repair
  • Major HVAC system — outdated and in poor condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — updating the bathroom can also boost both resale and rental value
  • Both exterior siding and windows — replacing the siding and repairing the windows can greatly improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · severely worn and outdated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · weathered and in need of replacement Major $15,000–50,000
windows · boarded-up and in need of repair Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · outdated and in poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value
  • Both bathroom renovation — updating the bathroom can also boost both resale and rental value
  • Both exterior siding and windows — replacing the siding and repairing the windows can greatly improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Feria ISD
NCES district ID
4826040
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$33,306
Composite
25.41/100
National rank
#7460
State rank
#630 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Feria

Score
65/100
State rank
#667
US rank
#12330

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Feria, TX
Population (ZIP)
12,752

Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
441,603 people
By 2030
448,113 · +1.5%
By 2040
456,385 · +3.3%
By 2050
456,294 · +3.3%
By 2075
423,851 · -4.0%
By 2100
342,787 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 35% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 87%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
40% English-only · Spanish 60%

Political lean MEDSL · Cameron

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
2008→2024 swing
-34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.21%
Current HPI
187.8512
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $59,000 RGVMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $65,000 RGVMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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