408 Tim Garcia St · La Feria, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special. Priced for quick cash sale. A total of 2 properties on 3 lots (one is a 1/2 lot) and ready for make it grand again! CASH only.
Key facts
- 5,000 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 188 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $398 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 4.4% in La Feria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#667 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- La Feria ISD (suburban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #630 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.90%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $196,886
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -70.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 315 N Drift St N | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,112 (+7%) | 4mo | $212,700 | $191 | 70 |
| 606 Avenue B | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-7%) | 18mo | $129,500 | $135 | 66 |
| 1401 W Drift St | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+11%) | 14mo | $209,000 | $182 | 60 |
| 217 S Drift St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+11%) | 11mo | $209,900 | $183 | 58 |
| 205 S Drift St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (+12%) | 14mo | $209,000 | $179 | 54 |
| 317 S Drift St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+11%) | 16mo | $209,000 | $182 | 53 |
| 716 Hibiscus Ave | 0.52mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 960 (-7%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $99 | 51 |
| 118 S Drift St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,175 (+13%) | 14mo | $209,000 | $178 | 47 |
| 203 N Drift St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+11%) | 20mo | $209,000 | $182 | 47 |
| 213 S Drift St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (+12%) | 18mo | $209,000 | $179 | 45 |
| 402 N Drift St | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,165 (+12%) | 14mo | $209,000 | $179 | 38 |
| 517 Marjory Ave | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (+11%) | 16mo | $185,900 | $162 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $15,795
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 31.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $46,445
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78559
- Home prices YoY
- -6.1%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,020 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $398
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $439 | -5% $418 | +0% $398 | +5% $377 | +10% $357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $317 | -5% $358 | +0% $398 | +5% $438 | +10% $478 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $428 | -0.5pp $413 | base $398 | +0.5pp $383 | +1.0pp $367 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 508 6th St Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 926 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 910 S Palmera Dr La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $950 | $0.64 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 405 Lion's Villa Ave Unit 15 La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 992 | $999 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 200 Cub Cir La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,024 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 300 Cub Cir Unit 2 La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2328 S Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2114 E Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2432 S Valley Cir Unit B La Feria, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1149 | $1,275 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 2332 S Valley Cir Unit A La Feria, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-03-24price $59,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Investor Special. Priced for quick cash sale. A total of 2 properties on 3 lots (one is a 1/2 lot) and ready for make it grand again! CASH only.
-
2025-12-12$65,000 Active 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Investor Special. Priced for quick cash sale. A total of 2 properties on 3 lots (one is a 1/2 lot) and ready for make it grand again! CASH only.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$979
- − Management
- −$979
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $4,078
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$979
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive renovations, including kitchen and bathroom updates, exterior siding and window repairs, and HVAC system replacement. The high level of needed work suggests a significant investment, but the potential for increased value makes it a worthwhile project for investors.
Repairs flagged
- Major kitchen cabinets — severely worn and outdated
- Major bathroom fixtures — dated and in poor condition
- Major exterior siding — weathered and in need of replacement
- Major windows — boarded-up and in need of repair
- Major HVAC system — outdated and in poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value
- Both bathroom renovation — updating the bathroom can also boost both resale and rental value
- Both exterior siding and windows — replacing the siding and repairing the windows can greatly improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · severely worn and outdated | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · weathered and in need of replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| windows · boarded-up and in need of repair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC system · outdated and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $75,000–250,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen can significantly increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both bathroom renovation — updating the bathroom can also boost both resale and rental value ↑
- Both exterior siding and windows — replacing the siding and repairing the windows can greatly improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Feria ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4826040
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,306
- Composite
- 25.41/100
- National rank
- #7460
- State rank
- #630 of 826 in TX
Livability — La Feria
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #667
- US rank
- #12330
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Feria, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,752
Population outlook (Cameron County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 441,603 people
- By 2030
- 448,113 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 456,385 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 456,294 · +3.3%
- By 2075
- 423,851 · -4.0%
- By 2100
- 342,787 · -22.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 35% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 87%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 40% English-only · Spanish 60%
Political lean MEDSL · Cameron
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.8) · D 46.7% · R 52.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.6pp toward R · 2008: 28.8pp · 2024: -5.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.8 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+32.5 2012: D+32.4 2008: D+28.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.21%
- Current HPI
- 187.8512
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-9.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $59,000 RGVMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listed $65,000 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…