714 La Quinta Dr · Pharr, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.9/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4 bedroom 2 full baths with a spacious enclosed single car garage that adds living space for a family room, game room, or an additional bedroom. Washer / Dryer connections inside. Spacious living area, Master bedroom has its own bathroom.
Key facts
- 6,023 sq ft lot
- Built 2001
- Listed 324 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-159 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $142k (16.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.4% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.01%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,352
- List price
- $169,900
- Delta
- -0.85%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 903 W La Quinta Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,587 (+3%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $158 | 80 |
| 711 W Dipper Ave | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,472 (-5%) | 6mo | $174,000 | $118 | 74 |
| 503 W Green Jay Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,480 (-4%) | 6mo | $142,000 | $96 | 70 |
| 509 W Starr Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,500 (-3%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $126 | 63 |
| 409 W Flores St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-3%) | 5mo | $145,000 | $97 | 60 |
| 1000 W La Quinta Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-14%) | 7mo | $163,000 | $123 | 55 |
| 6707 S Amarillo Ln | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-9%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $167 | 55 |
| 1007 Blue Jay Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (-14%) | 4mo | $189,000 | $142 | 54 |
| 6706 Primavera St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,588 (+3%) | 5mo | $195,000 | $123 | 53 |
| 6707 S Rivera St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (-14%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $83 | 50 |
| 708 W Villa Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,349 (-13%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $104 | 38 |
| 6608 Primavera St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-13%) | 8mo | $223,000 | $165 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-41,782
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -41.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.37×
- Total profit
- $-65,373
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78577
- Home prices YoY
- -8.1%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 451
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,445 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$339 /mo · $4,066/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $-159
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-63 | -5% $-111 | +0% $-159 | +5% $-207 | +10% $-255 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-273 | -5% $-216 | +0% $-159 | +5% $-102 | +10% $-45 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-73 | -0.5pp $-116 | base $-159 | +0.5pp $-203 | +1.0pp $-248 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6703 S Oro Ln Pharr, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1786 | $1,700 | $0.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6707 S Rios St Pharr, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1545 | $1,200 | $0.78 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 719 Sherryl Ave Pharr, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 321 E Greg Dr Pharr, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 901 E Thomas Dr Pharr, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $169,900 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $169,900 Active 323 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $169,900 Active 322 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $169,900 Active 321 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $169,900 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $169,900 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $169,900 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $169,900 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $169,900 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,900 Active 313 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,900 Active 309 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,900 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,900 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,900 Active 305 DOM
-
2025-11-08price $169,900 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
4 bedroom 2 full baths with a spacious enclosed single car garage that adds living space for a family room, game room, or an additional bedroom. Washer / Dryer connections inside. Spacious living area, Master bedroom has its own bathroom.
-
2025-07-28$175,000 Active 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
4 bedroom 2 full baths with a spacious enclosed single car garage that adds living space for a family room, game room, or an additional bedroom. Washer / Dryer connections inside. Spacious living area, Master bedroom has its own bathroom.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,066 · $339/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,066 · $339/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$4,066
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,388
- − Management
- −$1,388
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$4,806
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,154
- After-tax cash flow
- $-752/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,757
- Composite
- 19.63/100
- National rank
- #8744
- State rank
- #740 of 826 in TX
Livability — Pharr
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #5852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pharr, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 80,540
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,540
- Household income
- $52,770
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2161.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 45% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 92%
- Foreign-born
- 29% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 81%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -23.00%
- Current HPI
- 261.1606
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.24%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-2.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-08 Price Changed $169,900 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-07-28 Listed $175,000 MCALLENMLS
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,066 · -8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…