6804 66th St · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.7/30.0
- ARV discount +11.5/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
For Comps only
Key facts
- New deck
- New full bathroom
- 4,791 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Oliver K5 School (math 37% / reading 37%, grade F, #267 of 627 statewide, top 45%, 389 students, 87% FRL); Woodlawn High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 738 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 6144% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.63%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $109,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6616 4th Ave S | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,311 (-1%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $80 | 84 |
| 900 Dublin Ave | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,190 (-10%) | 10mo | $60,000 | $50 | 73 |
| 6909 Suburban Ter | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,287 (-2%) | 8mo | $107,500 | $84 | 67 |
| 515 72nd St S | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,290 (-2%) | 7mo | $105,500 | $82 | 60 |
| 539 63rd St | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,272 (-4%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $151 | 57 |
| 216 59th Way S | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (-4%) | 4mo | $23,500 | $19 | 55 |
| 7028 1st Ave, Ave S | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (+5%) | 9mo | $62,000 | $45 | 54 |
| 6724 S 2nd Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-10%) | 3mo | $113,000 | $95 | 54 |
| 532 Athens Ct | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,139 (-14%) | 3mo | $95,000 | $83 | 51 |
| 7416 67th St S | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,491 (+13%) | 12mo | $17,000 | $11 | 50 |
| 6712 2nd Ave S | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,132 (-14%) | 2mo | $149,900 | $132 | 46 |
| 6032 5th Ct S | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-7%) | 12mo | $324,000 | $263 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,085
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $23,198
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35212
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,189 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,228/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $271
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $328 | -5% $299 | +0% $271 | +5% $243 | +10% $215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $224 | +0% $271 | +5% $318 | +10% $365 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $297 | base $271 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $219 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6936 66th St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 417 Athens Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 978 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 6732 Frankfort Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $995 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 601 Dublin Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1288 | $1,050 | $0.82 | 45d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 6309 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,495 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 532 Athens Ct Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,125 | $0.99 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 7025 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $845 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 605 71st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,303 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 201 70th St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $950 | $0.96 | 45d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 7005 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $950 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 7125 6th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $1,188 | $0.75 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6820 Division Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 559 63rd St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 7129 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,095 | $0.87 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 117 67th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1202 | $800 | $0.67 | 17d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7017 Division Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 126 66th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 16d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 7716 Sunrise Cir Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 6241 Crest Green Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,210 | $0.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 224 69th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $975 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6107 Crest Green Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1273 | $995 | $0.78 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7112 Naples Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1858 | $1,731 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7420 3rd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1705 | $1,450 | $0.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 7213 Naples Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7213 Naples Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 937 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7330 1st Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1299 | $1,000 | $0.77 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 7216 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5811 2nd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 7620 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $1,025 | $0.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7313 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 630 77th St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $983 | $0.89 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5620 8th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $2,400 | $1.59 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2884 Montevallo Park Rd Irondale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $2,206 | $1.73 | 4d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7341 Rome Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7341 Rome Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7721 1st Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $949 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7728 1st Ave S Apt C Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 756 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 7801 3rd Ave S Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 805 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,291 | $0.76 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-07historical $1,345
-
2026-01-25price $1,345
-
2025-11-25price $1,395
-
2025-11-01$1,600
-
2025-10-31soldstatus $97,500
-
2025-09-16status Pending
-
2025-07-07price $99,900
-
2025-06-24$119,900 Active
-
2024-11-14price $114,999
-
2023-10-03soldstatus $47,500
-
2023-09-20soldstatus $47,500 14-char remark
Show marketing remark (14 chars)
For Comps only
-
2023-06-28$47,500 14-char remark
Show marketing remark (14 chars)
For Comps only
-
1979-11-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,228 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,228 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,228
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,141
- − Management
- −$1,141
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,751
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$420
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,160
- Household income
- $36,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 798.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.24%
- Current HPI
- 120.1264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-96.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-07 Rental Removed $1,345 TENANTTURNER2
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $1,345 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $1,395 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-11-01 Listed for Rent $1,600 TENANTTURNER2
- 2025-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
- 2025-09-16 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-07-07 Price Changed $99,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-06-24 Listed $119,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-11-14 Price Changed $114,999 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $47,500 Public Records
- 2023-09-20 Sold (MLS) $47,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2023-06-28 Listed $47,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1979-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+50.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,228 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…