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3629 Hawthorne St
D+ Composite 45.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$19,900

3629 Hawthorne St · Village of Clarkston, MI 48348
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily · 28 Days on market
Built 1986 $895/mo HOA · 46% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits in Sashabaw Meadows! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,456 sq ft of living space with a functional layout and great potential. The home is in need of repairs and some TLC, making it an excellent option for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize and add value. Features include a spacious living area, generously sized bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. With the right vision and updates, this home could truly shine. Located in Sashabaw Meadows, offering a convenient location and community setting. Priced to reflect condition - bring your ideas and make it your own!

Key facts

  • Community setting
  • Private bath
  • Spacious living area

Tags

PRIVATE BATHSPACIOUS LIVING AREACOMMUNITY SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed; Lot size listed as 10 x 10 Acres (as provided)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $439 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level (ground-level entry with steps)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built living area above grade: 1,456
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s); Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Microwave; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); No central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace in the family room; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $20k).
  • Recommended offer: $20k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 36.0% vs local median 3.3% in Village of Clarkston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#98 in MI, #2,255 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Brandon School District In The Counties Of Oakland And Lapee (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #152 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Oakwood Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #433 of 1,397 statewide, top 34%, 442 students, 48% FRL); Brandon Middle School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #202 of 493 statewide, top 42%, 411 students, 46% FRL); Brandon High School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #187 of 713 statewide, top 29%, 733 students, 37% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($20k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 46% of rent.
Recommended offer $19,601 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
9.70%
Cap rate
35.98%
Cash-on-cash
106.03%
DSCR
5.72
GRM
0.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$420,784
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4101 Lake Knolls Dr 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,600 (+10%) 3mo $325,000 $203 56
4059 Lake Knolls Dr 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,520 (+4%) 18mo $299,000 $197 50
3206 Dartmouth Rd 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,316 (-10%) 19mo $380,000 $289 34
3224 S Sashabaw Rd 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,270 (-13%) 18mo $379,900 $299 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.15×
Total profit
$28,711
Equity at exit
$2,967
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.16×
Total profit
$67,730
Equity at exit
$1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48348

Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
0.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,930 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$104
Tax est. 1.5%
$25 /mo · $298/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$895
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$405
Net cashflow
$492

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,307
Max offer price $19,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $506 -5% $499 +0% $492 +5% $485 +10% $479
Rent -10% $340 -5% $416 +0% $492 +5% $569 +10% $645
Rate -1.0pp $502 -0.5pp $497 base $492 +0.5pp $487 +1.0pp $482

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,975
Closing costs
$597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3618 Juniper St Unit 795 Village of Clarkston, MI 3.0 2.0 1056 $1,399 $1.32 0d 1 0.31mi
3628 Birch St Unit 837 Village of Clarkston, MI 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,379 $1.31 3d 1 0.32mi
4000 Brookside Rd Clarkston, MI 2.0 2.0 1672 $3,032 $1.81 0d 1 0.33mi
3684 Willow Ct Unit 747 Village of Clarkston, MI 3.0 2.0 1216 $1,329 $1.09 0d 1 0.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$895 · $10,740/yr

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $19,900 Pending 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $19,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $19,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $19,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $19,900 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $19,900 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $19,900 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $19,900 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $19,900 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $19,900 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $19,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $19,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $19,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-20
    listed $19,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in Sashabaw Meadows! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,456 sq ft of living space with a functional layout and great potential. The home is in need of repairs and some TLC, making it an excellent option for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize and add value. Features include a spacious living area, generously sized bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. With the right vision and updates, this home could truly shine. Located in Sashabaw Meadows, offering a convenient location and community setting. Priced to reflect condition - bring your ideas and make it your own!

  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $19,900 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in Sashabaw Meadows! This 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home offers 1,456 sq ft of living space with a functional layout and great potential. The home is in need of repairs and some TLC, making it an excellent option for investors, renovators, or buyers looking to customize and add value. Features include a spacious living area, generously sized bedrooms, and a primary suite with a private bath. With the right vision and updates, this home could truly shine. Located in Sashabaw Meadows, offering a convenient location and community setting. Priced to reflect condition - bring your ideas and make it your own!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,162
− Mortgage interest
−$1,115
− Property taxes
−$298
− Insurance
−$100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,853
− Management
−$1,853
− HOA
−$10,740
− Depreciation
−$579
Taxable income
$6,625
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,590
After-tax cash flow
$4,318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brandon School District In The Counties Of Oakland And Lapee
NCES district ID
2606570
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$73,593
Composite
37.94/100
National rank
#4306
State rank
#152 of 540 in MI

Livability — Village of Clarkston

Score
79/100
State rank
#98
US rank
#2255

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
24,574
Household income
$129,410
Rent vs Own
8.1% rent · 91.9% own
Severe rent burden
212.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.65%
Current HPI
196.4302
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $19,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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