4618 Sharon St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great investment opportunity! Property located in the historical Fifth Ward in close proximity to East River and EaDo developments. Positioned on a corner lot, it provides an opportunity to either rehab the current structure or create a great investment opportunity.
Key facts
- Eado developments
- East river proximity
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 1942
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Subdivision lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the first floor; Two additional bedrooms on the second floor; One bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $892 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Henderson N El (math 12% / reading 8%, grade F, #4,259 of 4,322 statewide, top 99%, 227 students, 100% FRL); Mcreynolds Middle (math 10% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 398 students, 98% FRL); Wheatley H S (math 17% / reading 19%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 643 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 339 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 54% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.30%
- DSCR
- 2.26
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $323,249
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -58.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 659 Press St | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,682 (-7%) | 2mo | $299,900 | $178 | 62 |
| 4441 Gunter St | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,027 (+12%) | 2mo | $329,000 | $162 | 61 |
| 4439 Gunter St | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,027 (+12%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $160 | 61 |
| 1266 Finnigan Dr | 0.26mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,988 (+10%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $189 | 58 |
| 1264 Finnigan Dr | 0.26mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,988 (+10%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $189 | 58 |
| 2303 Wipprecht St | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,764 (-2%) | 2mo | $329,000 | $187 | 55 |
| 4430 Edmund St | 0.31mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,023 (+12%) | 2mo | $394,990 | $195 | 53 |
| 3605 New Orleans St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,884 (+4%) | 1mo | $374,900 | $199 | 50 |
| 3415 Stonewall St | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,969 (+9%) | 1mo | $369,000 | $187 | 44 |
| 3616 Market St | 0.59mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,607 (-11%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $202 | 43 |
| 3409 Stonewall St | 0.73mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,969 (+9%) | 1mo | $349,900 | $178 | 43 |
| 5408 Mulvey St | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (+11%) | 5mo | $348,900 | $174 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.54×
- Total profit
- $133,712
- Equity at exit
- $121,619
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.43×
- Total profit
- $356,366
- Equity at exit
- $262,275
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77020
- Home prices YoY
- 29.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 339
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,523 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$337 /mo · $4,048/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $892
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $968 | -5% $930 | +0% $892 | +5% $853 | +10% $815 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $692 | -5% $792 | +0% $892 | +5% $991 | +10% $1,091 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $960 | -0.5pp $926 | base $892 | +0.5pp $857 | +1.0pp $821 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1222 Upton St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2055 | $2,600 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4300 Lyons Ave Unit 304 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,460 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4109 Hare St Unit A Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1913 | $6,950 | $3.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4109 Hare St Unit 1019559P Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1905 | $6,852 | $3.60 | 9d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4706 Hershe St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2283 | $3,300 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 4712 Rawley St Unit a Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,070 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4712 Rawley St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1501 | $2,045 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5217 Noble St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1897 | $2,750 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3419 Gillespie St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2168 | $2,300 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3410 Baer St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2040 | $3,500 | $1.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1513 Cage St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,550 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2105 Sam Wilson St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1416 | $6,750 | $4.77 | 45d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5605 Mulvey St Unit 1019610P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1410 | $4,376 | $3.10 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1023 Hahlo St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1434 | $1,775 | $1.24 | 7d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 308 Grove St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1701 | $2,350 | $1.38 | 9d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3300 Lyons Ave Unit 304 Houston, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,460 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1303 Bayou St Unit C Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1869 | $3,200 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1307 Bayou St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1814 | $2,400 | $1.32 | 9d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 611 Sydnor St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2157 | $2,400 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2905 Baer St Unit 1047953P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1991 | $2,922 | $1.47 | 0d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4509 Courtney St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1456 | $1,150 | $0.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 800 Middle St Houston, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,867 | $1.86 | 7d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 91 Jensen Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 970 | $3,420 | $3.52 | 0d | 67 | 1.42mi |
| 3503 Wyrick St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1746 | $2,850 | $1.63 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-01status $135,000 Pending 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical Active Under Contract 266-char remark
-
2026-05-07status Active 266-char remark
-
2026-05-07status Pending 266-char remark
-
2026-04-21$135,000 Active 266-char remark
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,048 · $337/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,048 · $337/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,275
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$4,048
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,422
- − Management
- −$2,422
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $9,218
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,212
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,486/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,686
- Household income
- $50,119
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 969.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Black 24% Two or more races 22% White 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 23% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 39% English-only · Spanish 59% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 55.64%
- Current HPI
- 246.5578
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.27%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-31 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — HARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-05-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $135,000 HARMLS
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,048 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…