366 Kelso Dr · Fairfax, IA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$168,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Kelso Drive, where condo living makes life a little simpler. Enjoy the convenience of low-maintenance living with lawn care and snow removal handled for you—no more spending weekends mowing or braving Iowa winters with a shovel in hand. HOA fees are only $150/month! This well-maintained condo offers an inviting open-concept main level featuring a spacious kitchen, living room, and convenient half bathroom. The kitchen includes all stainless steel appliances, and the freshly power-washed deck provides the perfect space to enjoy your morning coffee or summer grilling. Upstairs, you’ll find a laundry closet and two generously sized bedrooms, each featuring large closets
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Large closets
- Laundry closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential property type; Above-grade finished area listed
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $150 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space; Garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Condominium; Two levels
- Construction: Brick, frame, and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Breakfast bar / eat-in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater; Owned water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $168k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $168k).
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.6% in Fairfax — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#232 in IA, #4,402 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- College Community School District (urban): math 62% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #173 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $146k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.27%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $104,768
- Equity at exit
- $151,348
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.34×
- Total profit
- $298,377
- Equity at exit
- $326,387
Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52228
- Home prices YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,887 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$881
- Tax from tax record
- −$183 /mo · $2,198/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$396
- Net cashflow
- $207
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $302 | -5% $254 | +0% $207 | +5% $159 | +10% $112 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $132 | +0% $207 | +5% $281 | +10% $356 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $249 | base $207 | +0.5pp $163 | +1.0pp $119 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,000
- Closing costs
- $5,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
- Likely covers
- landscapingsnow removal
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-28status Pending
-
2026-05-27$168,000 Active
-
2022-04-13soldstatus $146,000
-
2022-04-13soldstatus $146,000
-
2022-04-08soldstatus $146,000
-
2022-03-04$146,000
-
2010-10-13soldstatus $106,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,198 · $183/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,418 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- +$220/yr (+$18/mo · 10.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,647
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,411
- − Property taxes
- −$2,198
- − Insurance
- −$840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,812
- − Management
- −$1,812
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$4,887
- Taxable loss
- −$113
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- College Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907860
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 70% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,575
- Composite
- 57.32/100
- National rank
- #1086
- State rank
- #173 of 289 in IA
Livability — Fairfax
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #232
- US rank
- #4402
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fairfax, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,865
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 239,589 people
- By 2030
- 248,587 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 264,817 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 278,685 · +16.3%
- By 2075
- 311,754 · +30.1%
- By 2100
- 336,773 · +40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% English 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.9) · D 54.2% · R 44.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.5pp · 2024: 9.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.9 2020: D+13.7 2016: D+9.0 2012: D+17.6 2008: D+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 12.59%
- Current HPI
- 280.74
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+58.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Pending — CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $168,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2022-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-08 Sold (MLS) $146,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2022-03-04 Listed $146,000 CRAAR, CDRMLS
- 2010-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,198 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…